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MSA Safety Incorporated (MSA) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Temp Headwind edge

HoldModerate Confidence

Industrials · Security & Protection Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $165.11, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 8.4%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

MSA Safety manufactures safety products across Detection, Fire Service, and Industrial PPE categories sold globally through Americas and International segments. Revenue comes from selling to distributors and end-user customers in fire service, energy, utility, construction, and... Read more

$165.11+8.4% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#4 of 8 Security & Protection Services
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.67%
IncomeYield1.27%(5y avg 1.22%)Payout28.61%sustainable
Stop $158.42Target $178.97(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$205.71+24.6%7 analysts
$178.97our TP
$165.11price
$205.71mean
$225

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $165.11, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 8.4%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — MSA Safety Incorporated

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.8 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Thin upside margin: 8.4%
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.9
P/E (Fwd)17.5
Mkt Cap$6.5B
EV/EBITDA14.1
Profit Mgn15.2%
ROE22.8%
Rev Growth10.0%
Beta0.97
Dividend1.27%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.46bullish
IV37%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.2
Ma Position
1.5
Rsi
4.5
Macd
8.3
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $163.32Resistance $178.20

Price Targets

$158
$179
A.Upside+8.4%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MSA stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $165.11, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 8.4%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $178.97 (+8.4%), stop $158.42 (−4.2%), A.R:R 1.4:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MSA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $178.97 (+8.4% upside). Target $178.97 (+8.4%), stop $158.42 (−4.2%), A.R:R 1.4:1. Stop-loss: $158.42.

What are the risks of investing in MSA?

Thin upside margin: 8.4%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum.

Is MSA overvalued or undervalued?

MSA Safety Incorporated trades at a P/E of 22.9 (forward 17.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MSA?

11 analysts cover MSA with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $206.

What does MSA Safety Incorporated do?MSA Safety manufactures safety products across Detection, Fire Service, and Industrial PPE categories sold globally...

MSA Safety manufactures safety products across Detection, Fire Service, and Industrial PPE categories sold globally through Americas and International segments. Revenue comes from selling to distributors and end-user customers in fire service, energy, utility, construction, and industrial markets; approximately 2,880 employees as of Dec 31, 2025.

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