MSA Safety Incorporated (MSA) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the MSA stock price target?

Take-profit $181.08 (+9.2% upside). Target $181.08 (+9.0%), stop $157.94 (−5.2%), A.R:R 1.8:1.

Q: What are the risks of investing in MSA?

Thin upside margin: 9.2%; Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Negative momentum; Momentum score 2.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum; EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d.

Q: Is MSA overvalued or undervalued?

MSA Safety Incorporated trades at a P/E of 23.1 (forward 17.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Overall verdict: Hold.

Q: What do analysts say about MSA?

11 analysts cover MSA with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $208.

Temp Headwind edge

HoldModerate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Industrials · Security & Protection Services

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $166.20, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 9.2%; Earnings in 4 days (event risk).

MSA Safety is a global manufacturer of safety products protecting workers and facility infrastructure, with two segments: Americas and International. Its principal product categories of gas and flame detection, fire service equipment, and industrial PPE serve fire service,... Read more

$166.20+9.2% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#5 of 8 Security & Protection Services

Stop $157.94Target $181.08(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.8:1

Analyst target$208.14+25.2%7 analysts

$181.08our TP

$166.20price

$208.14mean

$235

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $166.20, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 9.2%; Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards

Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)

High-quality business

Risks

Thin upside margin: 9.2%

Earnings in 4 days (event risk)

Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.1

P/E (Fwd)17.3

Mkt Cap$6.4B

EV/EBITDA14.2

Profit Mgn14.9%

ROE22.2%

Rev Growth2.2%

Beta1.04

Dividend1.29%

Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.33bullish

IV44%normal

Max Pain$135-18.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value6.915%1.03

Quality7.515%1.13

Growth5.815%0.87

Momentum2.210%0.22

Sentiment6.710%0.67

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank3.310%0.33

Technical Setup7.15%0.35

Risk Profile6.95%0.35

Catalyst7.15%0.35

Overall (Σ contributions)5.80

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume

0.0

Obv

1.0

Ma Position

2.2

Macd

3.5

Rsi

4.5

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.2%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank

1.3

Growth Rank

1.3

Quality Rank

5.6

GatesMomentum 2.2<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dA.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate

RSI

40 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $162.82Resistance $176.01

Price Targets

$158

$181

A.Upside+9.0%

A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

4/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-04 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is MSA stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $166.20, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 9.2%; Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $181.08 (+9.0%), stop $157.94 (−5.2%), A.R:R 1.8:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MSA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $181.08 (+9.2% upside). Target $181.08 (+9.0%), stop $157.94 (−5.2%), A.R:R 1.8:1. Stop-loss: $157.94.

What are the risks of investing in MSA?

Thin upside margin: 9.2%; Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Negative momentum.

Is MSA overvalued or undervalued?

MSA Safety Incorporated trades at a P/E of 23.1 (forward 17.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MSA?

11 analysts cover MSA with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $208.

What does MSA Safety Incorporated do?MSA Safety is a global manufacturer of safety products protecting workers and facility infrastructure, with two...