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MSAMSA Safety IncorporatedHold6.3·$174.64+0.33%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

MSA Safety has delivered 4 consecutive earnings beats, a Piotroski score of 9 out of 9, and strong 15% operating margins, but a confirmed death cross price pattern with RSI at 32 and a flat 200-day moving average presents a significant near-term technical headwind that warrants patience before adding exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings QualityStable
  • High Quality Industrial BusinessStable
  • Death Cross Rsi 32Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

MSA Safety Incorporated (MSA) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

HoldDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Security & Protection Services

Earnings in 5 days (2026-07-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $174.64, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

MSA Safety designs, manufactures, and sells safety products across detection, fire service, and industrial PPE categories through Americas and International segments, employing approximately 5,300 people as of December 31, 2025. Products are sold through more than 1,800... Read more

$174.64+2.5% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#2 of 10 Security & Protection Services
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.56%
IncomeYield1.24%(5y avg 1.22%)Payout28.61%sustainable
Stop $166.92Target $178.97(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$205.71+17.8%7 analysts
$178.97our TP
$174.64price
$205.71mean
$225

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $174.64, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.5
P/E (Fwd)18.0
Mkt Cap$6.7B
EV/EBITDA14.5
Profit Mgn15.2%
ROE22.8%
Rev Growth10.0%
Beta0.94
Dividend1.24%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
IV39%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.7
Support Resistance
1.8
52w Position
6.8
GatesA.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dDeath cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 7.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $165.92Resistance $176.56

Price Targets

$167
$179
A.Upside+2.5%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.5% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MSA stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $174.64, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $178.97 (+2.5%), stop $166.92 (−4.6%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MSA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $178.97 (+2.5% upside). Target $178.97 (+2.5%), stop $166.92 (−4.6%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Stop-loss: $166.92.

What are the risks of investing in MSA?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Is MSA overvalued or undervalued?

MSA Safety Incorporated trades at a P/E of 23.5 (forward 18.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MSA?

12 analysts cover MSA with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $206.

What does MSA Safety Incorporated do?MSA Safety designs, manufactures, and sells safety products across detection, fire service, and industrial PPE...

MSA Safety designs, manufactures, and sells safety products across detection, fire service, and industrial PPE categories through Americas and International segments, employing approximately 5,300 people as of December 31, 2025. Products are sold through more than 1,800 authorized distributor locations worldwide, with no individual customer exceeding 10% of annual sales.

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