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MGMistras Group IncBuy Wait6.1·$17.43-0.11%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

MG shows a strong Piotroski trend and a prior earnings-beat streak, but failed momentum and asymmetry gates, elevated put/call positioning, and bearish insider selling weigh on the setup.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Below Floor Despite PiotroskiImproving
  • Momentum And Asymmetry Gates FailedImproving
  • Elevated Put Call And Implied VolDeteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Mistras Group Inc (MG) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge

Buy WaitValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Security & Protection Services

Wait for pullback to $15.21. At $17.43 the A.R:R is 0.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $15.21 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: North America segment (81.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Mistras Group provides technology-enabled industrial asset integrity and laboratory testing services - including non-destructive testing, pipeline inspections, condition monitoring and specialized engineering - to oil & gas, aerospace & defense, power & utilities, and... Read more

$17.43+2.4% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#2 of 10 Security & Protection Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.45%
Entry $15.21(support + ATR (held))Stop $13.38Target $17.85(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$21.00+20.5%2 analysts
$17.85our TP
$17.43price
$21.00mean
$22

Wait for pullback to $15.21. At $17.43 the A.R:R is 0.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $15.21 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: North America segment (81.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Mistras Group Inc

About Mistras Group Inc

Mistras Group generated $724.0 million in revenue and $16.9 million in net income during 2025, with approximately 81% of revenue coming from its North America segment and roughly 55% tied to oil & gas industry customers such as refineries, pipelines and petrochemical facilities. The company's top ten customers accounted for approximately 36% of 2025 revenue, with no single customer exceeding 10%.

Mistras earns revenue from non-destructive testing field inspections, in-house laboratory quality-control services, mechanical maintenance, engineering consulting, and proprietary NDT equipment, much of it delivered on a recurring "run and maintain" basis at customer facilities. Its OneSuite cloud software integrates more than 90 applications for data management, while Plant Condition Management Software is used by approximately 50% of U.S. refiners along with midstream pipeline operators in Canada and Europe. Aerospace and defense customers are served primarily through a network of in-house laboratories holding Nadcap, AS9100/ISO-9001, and FAA Repair Station certifications. The company has diversified beyond its historically oil-and-gas-heavy customer base into power and utilities, chemical processing, and infrastructure end markets, and completed its "Project Phoenix" operational review - begun in 2023 - to cut costs through headcount optimization and streamlined workflows, with related cost-containment efforts continuing through 2025.

Show full overview

Mistras' North America segment holds radioactive-material licenses from the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, more than 30 state regulatory agencies, and the Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission to perform radiography inspections, and its aerospace and industrial laboratories depend on maintaining ISO 9001, Nadcap, and FAA Repair Station certifications that customers require before purchasing NDT services. Losing any of these licenses or certifications - whether through an alleged compliance violation or a failed audit - would restrict Mistras from performing the specific inspection services tied to that credential, a risk distinct from the demand-cycle exposure already tied to its oil & gas customer base.

See also: Industrials · Security & Protection Services

From Mistras Group Inc's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202683d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: North America segment (81.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.0
P/E (Fwd)13.8
Mkt Cap$556M
EV/EBITDA9.0
Profit Mgn3.6%
ROE11.8%
Rev Growth4.2%
Beta0.90
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.14bullish
IV88%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicNorth America segment81%
    10-K Item 1: 'we generated approximately 81%, 81% and 82%, respectively, of our revenues from our North America segment'
  • MEDIUMCustomeroil and gas industry customers55%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our customers in the oil and gas industry have accounted for a substantial portion of our historical revenues. Specifically, they accounted for approximately 55%'
  • MEDIUMCustomertop ten customers36%
    10-K Item 1: 'our top ten customers accounting for approximately 36%, 36% and 35% of our revenues during the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024 and 2023'
  • MEDIUMGeographicrevenue from outside the United States30%
    10-K Item 1A: 'we generated approximately 30%, 31%, and 29% of our revenues outside the United States, respectively'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.0
Quality Rank
2.0
Value Rank
7.8
GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
65 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $14.76Resistance $19.60

Price Targets

$13
$15
$18
A.Upside+2.4%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.4% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MG stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $15.21. At $17.43 the A.R:R is 0.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $15.21 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: North America segment (81.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $17.85 (+2.4%), stop $13.38 (−30.3%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.85 (+2.4% upside). Target $17.85 (+2.4%), stop $13.38 (−30.3%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Stop-loss: $13.38.

What are the risks of investing in MG?

Concentration risk — Geographic: North America segment (81.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5.

Is MG overvalued or undervalued?

Mistras Group Inc trades at a P/E of 21.0 (forward 13.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about MG?

11 analysts cover MG with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $21.

What does Mistras Group Inc do?Mistras Group provides technology-enabled industrial asset integrity and laboratory testing services - including...

Mistras Group provides technology-enabled industrial asset integrity and laboratory testing services - including non-destructive testing, pipeline inspections, condition monitoring and specialized engineering - to oil & gas, aerospace & defense, power & utilities, and infrastructure customers, centralizing data through its OneSuite cloud software platform. The company generated $724.0 million in revenue and $16.9 million in net income in 2025, with approximately 81% of revenue from its North America segment and top ten customers accounting for about 36% of revenue.

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