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NSPInsperity, Inc.Sell4.4·$48.35+0.77%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

NSP shows insiders buying into weakness, but the stock already trades well below its analyst target with quality scoring below the engine's floor, a negative asymmetry ratio, and a recent string of earnings misses.

Thesis pillars

  • Target Reached Limited UpsideImproving
  • Quality Below Engine FloorImproving
  • Negative Asymmetry Risk RewardStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Insperity, Inc. (NSP) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Staffing & Employment Services

Earnings in 4 days (2026-07-29). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $48.35: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

We provide an array of human resources ("HR") and business solutions designed to help improve business performance. Since our formation in 1986, we have evolved from being solely a professional employer organization ("PEO"), an industry we pioneered, to our current position as a... Read more

$48.35-23.1% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#7 of 9 Staffing & Employment Services
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield4.61%
IncomeYield5.00%(5y avg 2.91%)Payout500.00%at-risk
Stop $44.97Target $51.28(resistance)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst target$43.75-9.5%4 analysts
$51.28our TP
$48.35price
$43.75mean
$33
$54

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $48.35: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.40, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-25

Recent Developments — Insperity, Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-07-25T14:12:24Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 20264d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Target reached (-23.1% upside)
Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)17.3
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA114.7
Profit Mgn-0.4%
ROE-26.9%
Rev Growth1.7%
Beta0.57
Dividend5.00%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.29bearish
IV86%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-20Item 5.02MEDIUM
    . Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangement of Certain Officers.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -0.4%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
1.3
Moat
3.1
Current Ratio
4.3
Piotroski F
4.4
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.9
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.5
Rsi
5.0
Ma Position
8.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.1
Value Rank
5.6
Growth Rank
5.6

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
4.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MEarnings in 4 daysYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $38.25Resistance $52.33

Price Targets

$45
$51
A.Upside-23.1%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-23.1% upside)
! Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NSP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $48.35: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $44.97. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NSP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $51.28 (-23.1% upside). Prior stop was $44.97. Stop-loss: $44.97.

What are the risks of investing in NSP?

Target reached (-23.1% upside); Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0).

Is NSP overvalued or undervalued?

Insperity, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 17.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NSP?

12 analysts cover NSP with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $44.

What does Insperity, Inc. do?We provide an array of human resources ("HR") and business solutions designed to help improve business performance....

We provide an array of human resources ("HR") and business solutions designed to help improve business performance. Since our formation in 1986, we have evolved from being solely a professional employer organization ("PEO"), an industry we pioneered, to our current position as a comprehensive business performance solutions provider.

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Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga3d agoAnalyst