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RHIRobert Half Inc.Hold5.2·$41.96
HoldHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Robert Half faces severe pressure from 29% short interest, a put/call ratio of 4.40, declining revenue at -4%, and the stock trading 18.9% above analyst consensus targets, making the current risk profile unattractive despite consistent earnings beats.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat In Downturn↑Improving
  • Dividend Yield Support↑Improving
  • Extreme Bearish Options Positioning↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 13, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Robert Half Inc. (RHI) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldQualityShortHigh Confidence

Industrials · Staffing & Employment Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $41.96, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6).

Legal provides legal contract talent, including attorneys and paralegal professionals. The legal profession's requirements (the need for confidentiality, accuracy and reliability, a strong drive toward cost-effectiveness, and frequent peak caseload periods) are similar to the... Read more

$41.96-18.0% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#5 of 9 Staffing & Employment Services
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield5.62%(5y avg 2.81%)Payout205.22%at-risk
Stop $39.02Analyst target $34.41(reached)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst consensus$39.56-5.7%9 analysts
$41.96price
$39.56mean
$20
$53

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $41.96, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 92d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-28
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jan 28, 202792d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.77)
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)34.4
P/E (Fwd)21.3
Mkt Cap$4.3B
EV/EBITDA33.8
Profit Mgn2.3%
ROE—
Rev Growth0.4%
Beta0.83
Dividend5.62%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.20bearish
IV55%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-08-03Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Item 7.01 | Regulation FD Disclosures. On August 3, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing the leadership change described above. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and incorporated int [... truncated]
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.6
Growth Rank
3.3
Quality Rank
4.4

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.6
Earnings Growth
4.8
GatesA.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 8.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 92d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
70 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $32.27Resistance $47.14

Price Targets

A.Upside-18.0%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-18.0% upside)
! News modifier +2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-28 (92d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RHI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $41.96, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Analyst target $34.41 reached (−18.0%), stop $39.02 (−7.5%), A.R:R -1.2:1. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

What is the RHI stock price target?

Analyst target $34.41 reached (−18.0% from $41.96); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $34.41 reached (−18.0%), stop $39.02 (−7.5%), A.R:R -1.2:1. Stop-loss: $39.02.

What are the risks of investing in RHI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is RHI overvalued or undervalued?

Robert Half Inc. trades at a P/E of 34.4 (forward 21.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about RHI?

19 analysts cover RHI with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $40.

What does Robert Half Inc. do?Legal provides legal contract talent, including attorneys and paralegal professionals. The legal profession's...

Legal provides legal contract talent, including attorneys and paralegal professionals. The legal profession's requirements (the need for confidentiality, accuracy and reliability, a strong drive toward cost-effectiveness, and frequent peak caseload periods) are similar to the demands of Finance and Accounting clients.

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