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KFRCKforce, Inc.Sell5.1·$54.04-1.55%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Kforce shows excellent underlying quality with a 27% return on equity and strong cash conversion, and a technical breakout with a golden cross, but the stock has already reached its analyst price target with an implied -29.3% downside to fair value and a negative asymmetry gate, leaving guidance to consider reducing the position.

Thesis pillars

  • Target Reached Limited UpsideDeteriorating
  • Excellent Roe Cash QualityStable
  • Negative Asymmetry GateStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Kforce, Inc. (KFRC) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Industrials · Staffing & Employment Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $54.04 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1).

Over time, our service offerings have expanded beyond traditional staffing to include solutions-oriented engagements in response to evolving client demand. Clients continue to prioritize efficient access to specialized talent and view our solutions offering as a cost-effective... Read more

$54.04-4.6% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#5 of 9 Staffing & Employment Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield3.73%
IncomeYield2.90%(5y avg 2.62%)Payout74.53%
Stop $52.12Target $59.78(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$60.67+12.3%3 analysts
$59.78our TP
$54.04price
$60.67mean
$63

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $54.04 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 61d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-03
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 2, 202661d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.9
P/E (Fwd)17.8
Mkt Cap$983M
EV/EBITDA18.3
Profit Mgn2.7%
ROE28.3%
Rev Growth4.5%
Beta0.88
Dividend2.90%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.33bearish
IV63%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
3.2
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.4
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 24)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 61d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
24 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $53.73Resistance $61.00

Price Targets

$52
$60
A.Upside-4.6%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.6% upside)
! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-02 (61d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KFRC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $54.04 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $52.12. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

What is the KFRC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $59.78 (-4.6% upside). Prior stop was $52.12. Stop-loss: $52.12.

What are the risks of investing in KFRC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is KFRC overvalued or undervalued?

Kforce, Inc. trades at a P/E of 25.9 (forward 17.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KFRC?

12 analysts cover KFRC with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $61.

What does Kforce, Inc. do?Over time, our service offerings have expanded beyond traditional staffing to include solutions-oriented engagements in...

Over time, our service offerings have expanded beyond traditional staffing to include solutions-oriented engagements in response to evolving client demand. Clients continue to prioritize efficient access to specialized talent and view our solutions offering as a cost-effective means for advancing their technology initiatives.

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