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KFRCKforce, Inc.Sell5.4·$50.60
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Kforce shows excellent underlying quality with a 27% return on equity and strong cash conversion, and a technical breakout with a golden cross, but the stock has already reached its analyst price target with an implied -29.3% downside to fair value and a negative asymmetry gate, leaving guidance to consider reducing the position.

Thesis pillars

  • Target Reached Limited Upside↓Deteriorating
  • Excellent Roe Cash Quality→Stable
  • Negative Asymmetry Gate→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Kforce, Inc. (KFRC) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Staffing & Employment Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $50.60 — A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1).

Over time, our service offerings have expanded beyond traditional staffing to include solutions-oriented engagements in response to evolving client demand. Clients continue to prioritize efficient access to specialized talent and view our solutions offering as a cost-effective... Read more

$50.60+1.9% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#4 of 9 Staffing & Employment Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield3.99%
IncomeYield3.04%(5y avg 2.34%)Payout74.53%
Stop $48.17Target $51.57(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$60.67+19.9%3 analysts
$51.57our TP
$50.60price
$60.67mean
$63

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $50.60 — A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Oct 26, 202614d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.2
P/E (Fwd)16.6
Mkt Cap$918M
EV/EBITDA17.6
Profit Mgn2.7%
ROE28.3%
Rev Growth4.5%
Beta0.92
Dividend3.04%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.40bullish
IV109%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 14d<=14d (soft)Momentum 5.4>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
44 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $49.66Resistance $54.94

Price Targets

$48
$52
A.Upside+1.9%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.9% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-26 (14d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KFRC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $50.60 — A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $48.17. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KFRC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $51.57 (+1.9% upside). Prior stop was $48.17. Stop-loss: $48.17.

What are the risks of investing in KFRC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is KFRC overvalued or undervalued?

Kforce, Inc. trades at a P/E of 24.2 (forward 16.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KFRC?

12 analysts cover KFRC with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $61.

What does Kforce, Inc. do?Over time, our service offerings have expanded beyond traditional staffing to include solutions-oriented engagements in...

Over time, our service offerings have expanded beyond traditional staffing to include solutions-oriented engagements in response to evolving client demand. Clients continue to prioritize efficient access to specialized talent and view our solutions offering as a cost-effective means for advancing their technology initiatives.

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