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ManpowerGroup (MAN) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Staffing & Employment Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.24: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

ManpowerGroup Inc. provides workforce solutions and services under the Manpower, the Experis, and the Talent Solutions brands in the Americas, Southern Europe, Northern Europe, and the Asia Pacific/the Middle East. The company offers recruitment services, including permanent,... Read more

$27.24+14.8% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#3 of 4 Staffing & Employment Services
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield-3.69%
IncomeYield5.29%(5y avg 4.02%)Payout132.76%at-risk
Stop $25.33Target $31.27(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$35.94+32.0%9 analysts
$31.27our TP
$27.24price
$35.94mean
$45

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.24: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 32, MACD bearish. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — ManpowerGroup

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)5.7
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA6.9
Profit Mgn-0.1%
ROE-0.8%
Rev Growth10.3%
Beta0.72
Dividend5.29%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.36bullish
IV69%elevated
Max Pain$45+65.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Unprofitable operations — net margin -0.1%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Operating Margin
0.4
Roa
1.6
Current Ratio
4.4
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
5.6
Cash-burning: FCF -0% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
1.9
Rsi
3.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.5%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 56d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
32 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $25.19Resistance $32.61

Price Targets

$25
$31
A.Upside+14.8%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 3.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-16 (56d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MAN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.24: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 32, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $25.33. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MAN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $31.27 (+14.8% upside). Prior stop was $25.33. Stop-loss: $25.33.

What are the risks of investing in MAN?

Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0).

Is MAN overvalued or undervalued?

ManpowerGroup trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 5.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MAN?

16 analysts cover MAN with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $36.

What does ManpowerGroup do?ManpowerGroup Inc. provides workforce solutions and services under the Manpower, the Experis, and the Talent Solutions...

ManpowerGroup Inc. provides workforce solutions and services under the Manpower, the Experis, and the Talent Solutions brands in the Americas, Southern Europe, Northern Europe, and the Asia Pacific/the Middle East. The company offers recruitment services, including permanent, temporary, and contract recruitment of professionals, as well as administrative, industrial, and information technology professional positions; assessment, upskilling, reskilling, training and development, career management, and workforce consulting services; and outsourcing services related to human resources functions primarily in the areas of large-scale recruiting and workforce-intensive initiatives. It also offers contingent staffing and permanent recruitment services; information technology professional resourcing and project services; and recruitment process outsourcing solutions; and right management services, as well as TAPFIN, a managed service provider solution. ManpowerGroup Inc. was incorporated in 1948 and is headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

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