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ManpowerGroup (MAN) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Staffing & Employment Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $30.43: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

ManpowerGroup Inc. provides workforce solutions and services under the Manpower, the Experis, and the Talent Solutions brands in the Americas, Southern Europe, Northern Europe, and the Asia Pacific/the Middle East. The company offers recruitment services, including permanent,... Read more

$30.43+2.8% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#3 of 4 Staffing & Employment Services
Stop $28.30Target $31.27(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$35.94+18.1%9 analysts
$31.27our TP
$30.43price
$35.94mean
$45

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $30.43: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (2.8% upside)
Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 122.3), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.04% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)6.4
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA7.2
Profit Mgn-0.1%
ROE-0.8%
Rev Growth10.3%
Beta0.82
Dividend4.69%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV65%elevated
Max Pain$15-50.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -0.1%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Operating Margin
0.5
Roa
1.6
Current Ratio
4.4
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
5.6
Cash-burning: FCF -0% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.7
Support Resistance
3.9
Bollinger
4.0
Gap
6.0
GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
67 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $26.25Resistance $33.06

Price Targets

$28
$31
A.Upside+2.8%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.8% upside)
! Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 122.3), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.04% of cap)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-16 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MAN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $30.43: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $28.30. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MAN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $31.27 (+2.8% upside). Prior stop was $28.30. Stop-loss: $28.30.

What are the risks of investing in MAN?

Target reached (2.8% upside); Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 122.3), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.04% of cap).

Is MAN overvalued or undervalued?

ManpowerGroup trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 6.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MAN?

16 analysts cover MAN with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $36.

What does ManpowerGroup do?ManpowerGroup Inc. provides workforce solutions and services under the Manpower, the Experis, and the Talent Solutions...

ManpowerGroup Inc. provides workforce solutions and services under the Manpower, the Experis, and the Talent Solutions brands in the Americas, Southern Europe, Northern Europe, and the Asia Pacific/the Middle East. The company offers recruitment services, including permanent, temporary, and contract recruitment of professionals, as well as administrative, industrial, and information technology professional positions; assessment, upskilling, reskilling, training and development, career management, and workforce consulting services; and outsourcing services related to human resources functions primarily in the areas of large-scale recruiting and workforce-intensive initiatives. It also offers contingent staffing and permanent recruitment services; information technology professional resourcing and project services; and recruitment process outsourcing solutions; and right management services, as well as TAPFIN, a managed service provider solution. ManpowerGroup Inc. was incorporated in 1948 and is headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

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