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NOVTNovanta Inc.Sell5.4·$141.54-1.20%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Novanta is a high-quality scientific instruments company with a perfect Piotroski score, excellent free cash flow conversion of 162%, and four consecutive earnings beats, but negative price momentum with a falling on-balance volume and a price already above analyst consensus targets reduce near-term appeal.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Cash Conversion And QualityStable
  • Consecutive Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Negative Price MomentumStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Novanta Inc. (NOVT) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthShortModerate Confidence

Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $141.54: Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Elevated put/call ratio: 20.20; Negative price momentum.

Novanta supplies precision motion, laser, and medical-grade component subsystems to OEMs in two segments: Automation Enabling Technologies ($500.8M in 2025 revenue) and Medical Solutions ($479.8M). Customers are predominantly medical, life science, and advanced industrial OEMs... Read more

$141.54+5.1% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#12 of 17 Scientific & Technical Instruments
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.73%
Stop $135.25Target $148.75(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$175.00+23.6%2 analysts
$148.75our TP
$141.54price
$175.00mean
$180

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $141.54: Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Elevated put/call ratio: 20.20; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Novanta Inc.

About Novanta Inc.

Novanta reported 2025 segment revenue of $500.8 million in Automation Enabling Technologies (47.8% gross margin) and $479.8 million in Medical Solutions (41.6% gross margin), with the medical end market comprising 53% of consolidated revenue and advanced industrial 47%. Two unnamed OEM customers in the medical segment each represented approximately 12% and 11% of 2025 consolidated revenue. The company employs approximately 3,000 people globally — 36% in the U.S., 55% in Europe, 9% in Asia — including about 600 engineers.

Novanta generates revenue from OEM customers who integrate the company's proprietary components into their own systems, with products sold primarily through a direct technical sales force and supplemented by resellers and distributors. Once Novanta components are designed into an OEM platform, significant switching barriers typically persist through the end of the product lifecycle, especially in the medical market. Supply chain risk exists because certain principal products rely on a limited number of suppliers or, in some instances, a single source of supply; the company has also outsourced key subassembly manufacturing to suppliers in other countries, heightening geopolitical and tariff exposure. U.S. tariffs on Chinese exports increased manufacturing costs and Chinese retaliatory tariffs affected finished products sold into China, and the 10-K warns that further tariff escalation may weigh on results.

Show full overview

Two unnamed OEM customers each representing approximately 12% and 11% of 2025 consolidated revenue have been material to the medical segment for multiple years — one OEM in the medical market also accounted for roughly 10% of revenue in both 2024 and 2023. Medical OEM customer demand depends on hospital capital spending cycles, OEM product launch timing, and regulatory changes, all outside Novanta's direct control. Consolidated backlog was $481.2 million at December 31, 2025, up from $445.5 million at year-end 2024, providing partial forward visibility, though the 10-K notes backlog is not a complete revenue indicator because customers retain the ability to reschedule orders.

See also: Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments

From Novanta Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202611d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)103.3
P/E (Fwd)34.2
Mkt Cap$5.0B
EV/EBITDA27.6
Profit Mgn5.3%
ROE5.2%
Rev Growth10.4%
Beta1.68
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C20.20bearish
IV68%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Volatile — 5.6% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Short Interest
1.4
Days To Cover
1.4
Implied Vol
2.0
Beta
4.4
Debt Equity
9.1
High short interest: 17%Elevated put/call: 20.20High IV: 68%

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.1
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.2
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 27)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.1
Value Rank
2.6
Growth Rank
4.1
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 11d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
27 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $139.43Resistance $166.75

Price Targets

$135
$149
A.Upside+5.1%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0)
! momentum at 2.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (11d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NOVT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $141.54: Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Elevated put/call ratio: 20.20; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $135.25. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NOVT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $148.75 (+5.1% upside). Prior stop was $135.25. Stop-loss: $135.25.

What are the risks of investing in NOVT?

Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0).

Is NOVT overvalued or undervalued?

Novanta Inc. trades at a P/E of 103.3 (forward 34.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NOVT?

9 analysts cover NOVT with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $175.

What does Novanta Inc. do?Novanta supplies precision motion, laser, and medical-grade component subsystems to OEMs in two segments: Automation...

Novanta supplies precision motion, laser, and medical-grade component subsystems to OEMs in two segments: Automation Enabling Technologies ($500.8M in 2025 revenue) and Medical Solutions ($479.8M). Customers are predominantly medical, life science, and advanced industrial OEMs served through a direct technical sales force and select distributors.

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