N-able screens cheap on both earnings and cash-flow measures, but a confirmed downtrend below the 200-day moving average and falling analyst estimates complicate the value case despite strong balance-sheet quality signals.
Thesis pillars
- Deep Value Multiple Support↑Improving
- Positive Fcf Despite Gaap Loss↓Deteriorating
- Confirmed Downtrend Below 200ma↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
N-able, Inc. (NABL) Stock Analysis
Inst Constrain edge
Technology · Information Technology Services
Sell if holding. At $3.54, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum; Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (50.4%).
N-able is a global cybersecurity provider whose software platform delivers unified endpoint management, security operations and data protection to more than 500,000 businesses through a channel-led model of managed service providers, value-added resellers and distributors. The... Read more
Sell if holding. At $3.54, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum; Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (50.4%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-08-14Recent Developments — N-able, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS NABL|N-Able Inc|Price:4.480| - TradingKey — TradingKey neutral
- NEWS NABL|N-Able Inc|Price:4.480| - tradingkey.com — tradingkey.com neutral
- NEWS Edgestream Partners L.P. Cuts Stock Holdings in N-able, Inc. $NABL - MarketBeat — MarketBeat negative
- NEWS Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership Invests $2.64 Million in N-able, Inc. $NABL - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS N-Able Inc (NABL) Earnings Forecast: Future EPS & Revenue Growth Estimates - TradingKey — TradingKey neutral
Generated 2026-08-14T15:42:35Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicoutside the United States50%10-K Item 1: 'Our business is global, with 50.4%, 51.8% and 51.2% of our revenue generated outside of the United States for the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-11Item 5.02LOWOn May 7, 2026 director Ann Johnson notified N-able's Board of her resignation, effective immediately, from the Board and all committees. Resignation was not due to any disagreement with the company.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $3.54, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum; Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (50.4%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $3.30. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $4.07 (+14.7% upside). Prior stop was $3.30. Stop-loss: $3.30.
Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (50.4%); Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -9.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
N-able, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 8.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
12 analysts cover NABL with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $5.
What does N-able, Inc. do?N-able is a global cybersecurity provider whose software platform delivers unified endpoint management, security...
N-able is a global cybersecurity provider whose software platform delivers unified endpoint management, security operations and data protection to more than 500,000 businesses through a channel-led model of managed service providers, value-added resellers and distributors. The company generated $511.4 million in revenue for 2025, up 9.7% from $466.1 million in 2024, with 50.4% of revenue earned outside the United States. Customers with more than $50,000 in annualized recurring revenue grew 13.7% to 2,671 in 2025 and represented approximately 61% of total ARR.