N-able screens cheap on both earnings and cash-flow measures, but a confirmed downtrend below the 200-day moving average and falling analyst estimates complicate the value case despite strong balance-sheet quality signals.
Thesis pillars
- Deep Value Multiple Support→Stable
- Positive Fcf Despite Gaap Loss→Stable
- Confirmed Downtrend Below 200ma↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026
N-able, Inc. (NABL) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Technology · Information Technology Services
Wait for pullback to $4.97. Price sits above the model's entry target of $4.97; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (50.4%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
N-able is a global cybersecurity provider whose software platform delivers unified endpoint management, security operations and data protection to more than 500,000 businesses through a channel-led model of managed service providers, value-added resellers and distributors. The... Read more
Wait for pullback to $4.97. Price sits above the model's entry target of $4.97; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (50.4%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 75. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 4.5/10, high confidence.
Passes 5/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-11-02Recent Developments — N-able, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS NABL|N-Able Inc|Price:4.480| - TradingKey — TradingKey neutral
- NEWS NABL|N-Able Inc|Price:4.480| - tradingkey.com — tradingkey.com neutral
- NEWS Edgestream Partners L.P. Cuts Stock Holdings in N-able, Inc. $NABL - MarketBeat — MarketBeat negative
- NEWS Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership Invests $2.64 Million in N-able, Inc. $NABL - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS N-Able Inc (NABL) Earnings Forecast: Future EPS & Revenue Growth Estimates - TradingKey — TradingKey neutral
Generated 2026-11-02T12:08:44Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicoutside the United States50%10-K Item 1: 'Our business is global, with 50.4%, 51.8% and 51.2% of our revenue generated outside of the United States for the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-11Item 5.02LOWOn May 7, 2026 director Ann Johnson notified N-able's Board of her resignation, effective immediately, from the Board and all committees. Resignation was not due to any disagreement with the company.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $4.97. Price sits above the model's entry target of $4.97; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (50.4%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 75. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Analyst target $4.07 reached (−21.4%), stop $4.62 (−12.1%), A.R:R -1.4:1. Score 4.5/10, high confidence.
Analyst target $4.07 reached (−21.4% from $5.18); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $4.07 reached (−21.4%), stop $4.62 (−12.1%), A.R:R -1.4:1. Stop-loss: $4.62.
Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (50.4%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6).
N-able, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 12.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
12 analysts cover NABL with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $5.
What does N-able, Inc. do?N-able is a global cybersecurity provider whose software platform delivers unified endpoint management, security...
N-able is a global cybersecurity provider whose software platform delivers unified endpoint management, security operations and data protection to more than 500,000 businesses through a channel-led model of managed service providers, value-added resellers and distributors. The company generated $511.4 million in revenue for 2025, up 9.7% from $466.1 million in 2024, with 50.4% of revenue earned outside the United States. Customers with more than $50,000 in annualized recurring revenue grew 13.7% to 2,671 in 2025 and represented approximately 61% of total ARR.