N-able screens cheap on both earnings and cash-flow measures, but a confirmed downtrend below the 200-day moving average and falling analyst estimates complicate the value case despite strong balance-sheet quality signals.
Thesis pillars
- Deep Value Multiple Support↑Improving
- Positive Fcf Despite Gaap Loss↓Deteriorating
- Confirmed Downtrend Below 200ma↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
N-able, Inc. (NABL) Stock Analysis
Inst Constrain edge
Technology · Information Technology Services
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $3.68 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Below 200-MA, MA slope -9.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (50.4%).
N-able is a global cybersecurity provider whose software platform delivers unified endpoint management, security operations and data protection to more than 500,000 businesses through a channel-led model of managed service providers, value-added resellers and distributors. The... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $3.68 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Below 200-MA, MA slope -9.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (50.4%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-08-13Recent Developments — N-able, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS NABL|N-Able Inc|Price:4.480| - TradingKey — TradingKey neutral
- NEWS NABL|N-Able Inc|Price:4.480| - tradingkey.com — tradingkey.com neutral
- NEWS Edgestream Partners L.P. Cuts Stock Holdings in N-able, Inc. $NABL - MarketBeat — MarketBeat negative
- NEWS Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership Invests $2.64 Million in N-able, Inc. $NABL - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS N-Able Inc (NABL) Earnings Forecast: Future EPS & Revenue Growth Estimates - TradingKey — TradingKey neutral
Generated 2026-08-14T11:47:20Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicoutside the United States50%10-K Item 1: 'Our business is global, with 50.4%, 51.8% and 51.2% of our revenue generated outside of the United States for the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-11Item 5.02LOWOn May 7, 2026 director Ann Johnson notified N-able's Board of her resignation, effective immediately, from the Board and all committees. Resignation was not due to any disagreement with the company.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $3.68 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Below 200-MA, MA slope -9.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (50.4%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $3.42. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $4.85 (+31.9% upside). Prior stop was $3.42. Stop-loss: $3.42.
Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (50.4%); Below 200-MA, MA slope -9.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
N-able, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 7.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
12 analysts cover NABL with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $6.
What does N-able, Inc. do?N-able is a global cybersecurity provider whose software platform delivers unified endpoint management, security...
N-able is a global cybersecurity provider whose software platform delivers unified endpoint management, security operations and data protection to more than 500,000 businesses through a channel-led model of managed service providers, value-added resellers and distributors. The company generated $511.4 million in revenue for 2025, up 9.7% from $466.1 million in 2024, with 50.4% of revenue earned outside the United States. Customers with more than $50,000 in annualized recurring revenue grew 13.7% to 2,671 in 2025 and represented approximately 61% of total ARR.