Verra Mobility trades at $4.98 with a forward P/E of 4.8x and PEG ratio of 0.19, placing it in the attractively valued tier on nearly every metric, while a confirmed death cross, capitulation-level RSI near 18, and 136% implied volatility reflect a stock in acute technical distress that must stabilize before the value thesis can be realized.
Thesis pillars
- Deep Value Multiples→Stable
- Return On Equity Quality→Stable
- Death Cross Capitulation Signal↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Verra Mobility Corporation (VRRM) Stock Analysis
Oversold Bounce setup · Inst Constrain edge
Technology · Information Technology Services
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $4.08 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.9): -1.5; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.
Verra Mobility provides smart mobility technology solutions — toll management, photo enforcement, and parking — through three segments: Government Solutions (47% of 2025 revenue), Commercial Services (45%), and Parking Solutions (8%). It sells to rental car companies, fleet... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $4.08 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.9): -1.5; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 26, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 53d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-05Recent Developments — Verra Mobility Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Verra Mobility stock surges 25% on Avis Budget deal - Investing.com — Investing.com positive
- NEWS Verra Mobility: New Avis Contract Is Better Than Nothing; It Should Help The Shares (VRRM) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha positive
- NEWS Verra Mobility (NASDAQ:VRRM) Shares Gap Up - Time to Buy? - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS Verra Mobility (NASDAQ:VRRM) Shares Gap Up - Time to Buy? - marketbeat.com — marketbeat.com positive
- NEWS Levi & Korsinsky Reminds Verra Mobility Investors of the Pending Class Action Lawsuit With a Lead Plaintiff Deadline of — PR Newswire negative
Generated 2026-09-05T21:12:06Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomerNYCDOT18%10-K Item 1A: 'NYCDOT represented approximately 17.9% and 15.8% of our total revenues for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively.'
- MEDIUMCustomertop-3 Commercial Services customers35%10-K Item 1A: 'Three of our Commercial Services customers collectively accounted for 34.8% and 36.0% of our total revenues for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-06-01Item 5.02MEDIUMDavid Roberts departed as President and CEO effective May 31, 2026. Jonathan Keyser (age 44, EVP/Chief Transformation Officer since 2025, Chief Legal Officer since Dec 2022) appointed Interim President and CEO. No reason cited for Roberts' departure.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $4.08 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.9): -1.5; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 26, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Prior stop was $3.92. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $6.09 (+49.6% upside). Prior stop was $3.92. Stop-loss: $3.92.
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Leverage penalty (D/E 4.9): -1.5; Negative momentum.
Verra Mobility Corporation trades at a P/E of 15.7 (forward 4.3). TrendMatrix value score: 9.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
13 analysts cover VRRM with a consensus score of 2.6/5. Average price target: $7.
What does Verra Mobility Corporation do?Verra Mobility provides smart mobility technology solutions — toll management, photo enforcement, and parking — through...
Verra Mobility provides smart mobility technology solutions — toll management, photo enforcement, and parking — through three segments: Government Solutions (47% of 2025 revenue), Commercial Services (45%), and Parking Solutions (8%). It sells to rental car companies, fleet operators, and government agencies in the U.S., Australia, Europe, and Canada, with 1,901 employees at December 31, 2025.