Verra Mobility trades at $4.98 with a forward P/E of 4.8x and PEG ratio of 0.19, placing it in the attractively valued tier on nearly every metric, while a confirmed death cross, capitulation-level RSI near 18, and 136% implied volatility reflect a stock in acute technical distress that must stabilize before the value thesis can be realized.
Thesis pillars
- Deep Value Multiples→Stable
- Return On Equity Quality↓Deteriorating
- Death Cross Capitulation Signal↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 24, 2026· older than 90 days
Verra Mobility Corporation (VRRM) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge
Technology · Information Technology Services
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $2.66 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.1): -1.5; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.
Verra Mobility provides smart mobility technology solutions — toll management, photo enforcement, and parking — through three segments: Government Solutions (47% of 2025 revenue), Commercial Services (45%), and Parking Solutions (8%). It sells to rental car companies, fleet... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $2.66 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.1): -1.5; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 41. Score 6.2/10, high confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 111d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and no CEO selling and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated Nov 3, 2026Recent Developments — Verra Mobility Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Verra Mobility Announces Inducement Grant for CEO Jon Newhard — fiscal.ai Nov 3, 2026 neutral
- NEWS JPMorgan Downgrades Verra Mobility to Underweight — fiscal.ai Nov 3, 2026 negative
- NEWS Verra Mobility Appoints Matthew Kvarda as Interim Chief Financial Officer — fiscal.ai Nov 1, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Verra Mobility (VRRM) Stock Tumbles As Q2 Results Swing To Loss - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance Oct 31, 2026 negative
- NEWS Why Verra Mobility (VRRM) shares are sliding today - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance Oct 31, 2026 negative
Latest item Nov 3, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:39:51Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomerNYCDOT18%10-K Item 1A: 'NYCDOT represented approximately 17.9% and 15.8% of our total revenues for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively.'
- MEDIUMCustomertop-3 Commercial Services customers35%10-K Item 1A: 'Three of our Commercial Services customers collectively accounted for 34.8% and 36.0% of our total revenues for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-06-01Item 5.02MEDIUMDavid Roberts departed as President and CEO effective May 31, 2026. Jonathan Keyser (age 44, EVP/Chief Transformation Officer since 2025, Chief Legal Officer since Dec 2022) appointed Interim President and CEO. No reason cited for Roberts' departure.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $2.66 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.1): -1.5; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 41. Prior stop was $2.47. Score 6.2/10, high confidence.
Analyst target: $4.52 (+70.1% upside). Prior stop was $2.47. Stop-loss: $2.47.
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Leverage penalty (D/E 4.1): -1.5; Negative momentum.
Verra Mobility Corporation trades at a P/E of 11.1 (forward 3.3). TrendMatrix value score: 9.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
13 analysts rate VRRM, with a consensus score of 2.6/5. 5 analysts publish price targets averaging $5.
What does Verra Mobility Corporation do?Verra Mobility provides smart mobility technology solutions — toll management, photo enforcement, and parking — through...
Verra Mobility provides smart mobility technology solutions — toll management, photo enforcement, and parking — through three segments: Government Solutions (47% of 2025 revenue), Commercial Services (45%), and Parking Solutions (8%). It sells to rental car companies, fleet operators, and government agencies in the U.S., Australia, Europe, and Canada, with 1,901 employees at December 31, 2025.