Verra Mobility Corporation (VRRM) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Technology · Information Technology Services
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $14.73: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.6): -1.5; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).
Verra Mobility provides smart mobility tech—toll management, photo enforcement, and title/registration—across US, Australia, Europe, and Canada via Commercial Services (~45%, ~$436M), Government Solutions (~47%, ~$461M), and Parking Solutions (~8%) segments. NYCDOT accounted for... Read more
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $14.73: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.6): -1.5; Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 53. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomerNYCDOT18%10-K Item 1A: 'NYCDOT represented approximately 17.9% and 15.8% of our total revenues for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively'
- MEDIUMCustomertop-3 Commercial Services customers35%10-K Item 1A: 'Three of our Commercial Services customers collectively accounted for 34.8%...total revenues for the years ended December 31, 2025'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 ceiling hit
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $14.73: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.6): -1.5; Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 53. Prior stop was $13.86. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $21.63 (+47.4% upside). Prior stop was $13.86. Stop-loss: $13.86.
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.6): -1.5; Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Verra Mobility Corporation trades at a P/E of 17.5 (forward 9.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
14 analysts cover VRRM with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $25.
What does Verra Mobility Corporation do?Verra Mobility provides smart mobility tech—toll management, photo enforcement, and title/registration—across US,...
Verra Mobility provides smart mobility tech—toll management, photo enforcement, and title/registration—across US, Australia, Europe, and Canada via Commercial Services (~45%, ~$436M), Government Solutions (~47%, ~$461M), and Parking Solutions (~8%) segments. NYCDOT accounted for 17.9% of 2025 total revenues.