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VRRMVerra Mobility CorporationHold6.0·$5.07+1.82%
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Verra Mobility Corporation (VRRM) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Technology · Information Technology Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $5.07, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $0.76B below $1B minimum.

Verra Mobility provides smart mobility technology solutions — toll management, photo enforcement, and parking — through three segments: Government Solutions (47% of 2025 revenue), Commercial Services (45%), and Parking Solutions (8%). It sells to rental car companies, fleet... Read more

$5.07+68.3% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#7 of 34 Information Technology Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield7.13%
Stop $4.67Target $8.45(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.6:1
Analyst target$9.71+91.6%7 analysts
$8.45our TP
$5.07price
$9.71mean
$28

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $5.07, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $0.76B below $1B minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 68. Market cap $0.76B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17

Recent Developments — Verra Mobility Corporation

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Jun 1, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: David Roberts departed as President and CEO effective May 31, 2026. Jonathan Keyser (age 44, EVP/Chief Transformation Officer since 2025, Chief Legal Officer since Dec 2022) appointed Interim President and CEO. No reason cited for Roberts' departure.

Generated 2026-06-17T09:31:49Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Market cap $0.76B below $1B minimum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)6.1
P/E (Fwd)4.8
Mkt Cap$756M
EV/EBITDA5.0
Profit Mgn13.4%
ROE45.9%
Rev Growth0.1%
Beta0.42
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.27bullish
IV116%elevated
Max Pain$15+195.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerNYCDOT18%
    10-K Item 1A: 'NYCDOT represented approximately 17.9% and 15.8% of our total revenues for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively.'
  • MEDIUMCustomertop-3 Commercial Services customers35%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Three of our Commercial Services customers collectively accounted for 34.8% and 36.0% of our total revenues for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-01Item 5.02MEDIUM
    David Roberts departed as President and CEO effective May 31, 2026. Jonathan Keyser (age 44, EVP/Chief Transformation Officer since 2025, Chief Legal Officer since Dec 2022) appointed Interim President and CEO. No reason cited for Roberts' departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 4.8>=4.5A.R:R 4.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $3.40Resistance $13.67

Price Targets

$5
$8
A.Upside+66.7%
A.R:R4.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Market cap $0.76B below $1B minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VRRM stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $5.07, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $0.76B below $1B minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 68. Market cap $0.76B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Target $8.45 (+66.7%), stop $4.67 (−8.6%), A.R:R 4.6:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VRRM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $8.45 (+68.3% upside). Target $8.45 (+66.7%), stop $4.67 (−8.6%), A.R:R 4.6:1. Stop-loss: $4.67.

What are the risks of investing in VRRM?

Market cap $0.76B below $1B minimum.

Is VRRM overvalued or undervalued?

Verra Mobility Corporation trades at a P/E of 6.1 (forward 4.8). TrendMatrix value score: 9.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about VRRM?

13 analysts cover VRRM with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $10.

What does Verra Mobility Corporation do?Verra Mobility provides smart mobility technology solutions — toll management, photo enforcement, and parking — through...

Verra Mobility provides smart mobility technology solutions — toll management, photo enforcement, and parking — through three segments: Government Solutions (47% of 2025 revenue), Commercial Services (45%), and Parking Solutions (8%). It sells to rental car companies, fleet operators, and government agencies in the U.S., Australia, Europe, and Canada, with 1,901 employees at December 31, 2025.

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