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FORTYFormula Systems (1985) Ltd.Sell5.9·$114.59
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Attractive valuation metrics and best-in-class margins present a compelling long-term case, but a confirmed negative price trend, three consecutive earnings misses, and a dividend payout of 211% of earnings raise near-term concerns that need to resolve before the value case can be acted on.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Low Peg→Stable
  • Strong Margins Best In Class→Stable
  • Negative Momentum Confirmed Downtrend↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Formula Systems (1985) Ltd. (FORTY) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Information Technology Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $114.59 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Formula Systems (1985) Ltd., through its subsidiaries, operates as an information technology company in Israel and internationally. The company offers software consulting services; IT solutions and software systems; proprietary software solutions; and IT professional services,... Read more

$114.59+15.0% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#14 of 44 Information Technology Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield2.39%(5y avg 1.37%)Payout31.94%sustainable
Stop $111.77Target $131.78(default +15%)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $114.59 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 36d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 19, 202636d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.6
P/E (Fwd)—
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA5.9
Profit Mgn21.6%
ROE10.4%
Rev Growth5.3%
Beta0.18
Dividend2.39%
Rating analysts—

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.3
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
9.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 36d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $108.50Resistance $118.14

Price Targets

$112
$132
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-19 (36d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FORTY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $114.59 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $111.77. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FORTY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $131.78 (+15.0% upside). Prior stop was $111.77. Stop-loss: $111.77.

What are the risks of investing in FORTY?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is FORTY overvalued or undervalued?

Formula Systems (1985) Ltd. trades at a P/E of 23.6 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 9.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

0
What does Formula Systems (1985) Ltd. do?Formula Systems (1985) Ltd., through its subsidiaries, operates as an information technology company in Israel and...

Formula Systems (1985) Ltd., through its subsidiaries, operates as an information technology company in Israel and internationally. The company offers software consulting services; IT solutions and software systems; proprietary software solutions; and IT professional services, including implementation and integration projects of computing and software, outsourcing, software project management and development, IT managed services, operation of a network of training and instruction centers, sale of software and hardware products, and software testing and QA. It also provides cloud and computing infrastructure; packaged software solutions, such as Clicks for medical record information management systems, Hermes Cargo for managing air cargo ground handling, HR Pulse for the creation of HCM solutions, MBS solution for managing TV broadcast channels, Nativ for managing rehabilitation centers, and Mobisale for consumer goods sale and distribution; and product-related services comprising maintenance, customer support, and training. In addition, the company offers software solutions and services for payroll processing, pension administration, workforce management, and human resources, as well as financial processes, accounting workflows, and business operations; employees to vendor management systems workforce management program accounts; and digital advertising and e-commerce platforms, as well as digital services, which include search engine marketing and optimization, website design, management of social media, online business cards, and big data. Further, it is involved in aerial and satellite mapping, geographic data collection and processing, and geographic applications; installation of computer communication infrastructures, announcement and alarm systems, and electronic security systems; and planning and deployment of fiber optics, structured cabling, and coaxial and telephony systems. The company was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Or Yehuda, Israel.

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