The bundle shows a wide economic moat, 25% return on equity, and best-in-class peer margins — durable quality indicators — but the stock is in a confirmed downtrend declining at roughly 5% per month and offers only 2% upside to its near-term target with unfavorable risk/reward, making the current setup more suitable for existing holders than new entrants.
Thesis pillars
- Confirmed Downtrend Headwind→Stable
- Fcf Conversion Quality Gap→Stable
- Wide Moat Quality Franchise→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
McCormick & Company, Incorporat (MKC-V) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $53.40: Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Weak growth.
McCormick manufactures and distributes herbs, spices, seasonings, condiments, and flavor solutions globally in two segments — Consumer (58% of 2025 net sales) and Flavor Solutions (42%) — with approximately 39% of sales from non-U.S. operations and 14,100 employees. Walmart and... Read more
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $53.40: Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 65. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomerWal-Mart Stores, Inc.12%10-K Item 1: 'Sales to one of our Consumer segment customers, Wal-Mart Stores, Inc., accounted for consolidated sales of approximately 12% in 2025'
- LOWCustomerPepsiCo, Inc.12%10-K Item 1: 'Sales to one of our Flavor Solutions segment customers, PepsiCo, Inc., accounted for consolidated sales of approximately 12% in 2025'
- MEDIUMCustomertop three Flavor Solutions customers49%10-K Item 1: 'the top three customers in our Flavor Solutions segment represented 49% of our global Flavor Solutions sales'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-26Item 5.02LOWCindy Hoots appointed to McCormick Board effective June 1, 2026, joining Audit Committee. Ms. Hoots is recently retired Chief Digital Officer and CIO of AstraZeneca PLC. No departures cited.SEC filing →
- 2026-04-17Item 5.02MEDIUMAndrew Foust, President Americas, appointed Chief Integration Officer for Unilever PLC foods combination. Patrick Davis named Interim President Americas. Foust expected to return to President Americas post-integration.SEC filing →
- 2026-03-18Item 5.02MEDIUMGregory P. Repas retiring as VP & Controller (Principal Accounting Officer) effective April 1, 2026. Julie Giese appointed successor VP & Controller and PAO effective April 1, 2026 at $400,000 annual base salary.SEC filing →
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Analyst Consensus
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $53.40: Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 65. Prior stop was $49.60. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $52.22 (-1.3% upside). Prior stop was $49.60. Stop-loss: $49.60.
Weak growth; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
McCormick & Company, Incorporat trades at a P/E of 8.9 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
What does McCormick & Company, Incorporat do?McCormick manufactures and distributes herbs, spices, seasonings, condiments, and flavor solutions globally in two...
McCormick manufactures and distributes herbs, spices, seasonings, condiments, and flavor solutions globally in two segments — Consumer (58% of 2025 net sales) and Flavor Solutions (42%) — with approximately 39% of sales from non-U.S. operations and 14,100 employees. Walmart and PepsiCo each represented roughly 12% of 2025 consolidated sales, and the top three Flavor Solutions customers accounted for 49% of global Flavor Solutions sales.