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MHKMohawk Industries, Inc.Hold6.1·$113.27+2.96%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Mohawk Industries combines four consecutive earnings beats, an attractively priced forward multiple at 11.3x, and improving momentum signals — but with the stock essentially at near-term resistance with less than 2% headroom, the setup rewards current holders more than it justifies adding new capital.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak ValuationImproving
  • Cash Conversion Financial StrengthStable
  • Recovery Momentum EmergingImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Mohawk Industries, Inc. (MHK) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

Earnings in 5 days (2026-07-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $113.27, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Mohawk Industries manufactures and distributes flooring products globally through three segments — Global Ceramic (40% of 2025 net sales), Flooring North America (34%), and Flooring Rest of World (26%) — generating $10.8 billion in total 2025 net sales. Revenue comes from... Read more

$113.27-5.7% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#3 of 13 Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield12.44%
Stop $105.34Target $120.36(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$122.71+8.3%14 analysts
$120.36our TP
$113.27price
$122.71mean
$109
$146

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $113.27, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.5
P/E (Fwd)11.6
Mkt Cap$6.9B
EV/EBITDA6.0
Profit Mgn3.8%
ROE5.1%
Rev Growth8.0%
Beta1.18
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.70neutral
IV56%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierone or a small number of suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'the Company is dependent on one or a small number of suppliers'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-21Item 5.02LOW
    May 21, 2026: Stockholders approved the Mohawk Industries 2026 Incentive Plan, effective May 21, 2026 (term through May 21, 2036), with 3,500,000 shares reserved for options, RSUs, and other equity awards. Replaces the prior 2017 Incentive Plan.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $105.52Resistance $122.82

Price Targets

$105
$120
A.Upside-5.7%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MHK stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $113.27, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $120.36 (+6.3%), stop $105.34 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MHK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $120.36 (-5.7% upside). Target $120.36 (+6.3%), stop $105.34 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Stop-loss: $105.34.

What are the risks of investing in MHK?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Is MHK overvalued or undervalued?

Mohawk Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.5 (forward 11.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MHK?

21 analysts cover MHK with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $123.

What does Mohawk Industries, Inc. do?Mohawk Industries manufactures and distributes flooring products globally through three segments — Global Ceramic (40%...

Mohawk Industries manufactures and distributes flooring products globally through three segments — Global Ceramic (40% of 2025 net sales), Flooring North America (34%), and Flooring Rest of World (26%) — generating $10.8 billion in total 2025 net sales. Revenue comes from residential and commercial construction and remodeling through floor covering retailers, home centers, and other channels; 54% of sales were from the US and 46% international.

Related stocks: TILE (Interface, Inc.) · ALH (Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc.) · HNI (HNI Corporation) · LZB (La-Z-Boy Incorporated) · SGI (Somnigroup International Inc.)
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