McGraw Hill presents an unusual combination of deeply depressed valuation and a three-quarter earnings-beat streak, yet a confirmed death cross, declining revenue, and a risk composite far below the minimum acceptable level mean the technical and risk profile fully overrides the fundamental appeal, keeping new capital on the sidelines.
Thesis pillars
- Deep Value Analyst Gap→Stable
- Exceptional Cash Conversion→Stable
- Earnings Beat Consistency↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
McGraw Hill, Inc. (MH) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5; Weak growth.
McGraw Hill provides educational content and digital learning platforms for K-12, higher education, and professional markets in more than 100 countries and 80 languages. Revenue totaled $2,102.8 million for fiscal 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), split between K-12 (~42%), Higher... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5; Weak growth. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 67d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-04Recent Developments — McGraw Hill, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS McGraw Hill expands literacy portfolio with ROAR - TipRanks — TipRanks positive
- NEWS Renaissance Technologies LLC Boosts Stock Position in McGraw Hill, Inc. $MH - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS MH Q1'26 Earnings: revenue estimate is 532.02M USD - TradingView — TradingView neutral
- NEWS McGraw Hill's (MH) "Buy" Rating Reiterated at Needham & Company LLC - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS McGraw Hill, Inc. (NYSE:MH) Given Consensus Recommendation of "Moderate Buy" by Brokerages - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
Generated 2026-09-04T19:02:09Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5; Weak growth. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $15.59 (+17.1%), stop $12.38 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $15.59 (+17.1% upside). Target $15.59 (+17.1%), stop $12.38 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Stop-loss: $12.38.
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5; Weak growth.
McGraw Hill, Inc. trades at a P/E of 26.5 (forward 6.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Hold.
21 analysts cover MH with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $18.
What does McGraw Hill, Inc. do?McGraw Hill provides educational content and digital learning platforms for K-12, higher education, and professional...
McGraw Hill provides educational content and digital learning platforms for K-12, higher education, and professional markets in more than 100 countries and 80 languages. Revenue totaled $2,102.8 million for fiscal 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), split between K-12 (~42%), Higher Education (~42%), Global Professional (~7%), and International (~9%), with 26.7 million paid digital users.