McGraw Hill presents an unusual combination of deeply depressed valuation and a three-quarter earnings-beat streak, yet a confirmed death cross, declining revenue, and a risk composite far below the minimum acceptable level mean the technical and risk profile fully overrides the fundamental appeal, keeping new capital on the sidelines.
Thesis pillars
- Deep Value Analyst Gap→Stable
- Exceptional Cash Conversion→Stable
- Earnings Beat Consistency→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
McGraw Hill, Inc. (MH) Stock Analysis
Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.71: Risk below floor (1.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 3.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.
McGraw Hill provides educational content and digital learning platforms for K-12, higher education, and professional markets in more than 100 countries and 80 languages. Revenue totaled $2,102.8 million for fiscal 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), split between K-12 (~42%), Higher... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.71: Risk below floor (1.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 3.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 41d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-06Recent Developments — McGraw Hill, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS BTIG Reiterates Buy on McGraw Hill, Maintains $19 Price Target — benzinga Jun 26, 2026 positive
- NEWS McGraw Hill Tops Q4 Estimates But Soft Guidance, Choppy K-12 Market Weigh — benzinga Jun 12, 2026 positive
- NEWS Goldman Sachs Maintains Buy on McGraw Hill, Lowers Price Target to $17 — benzinga Jun 12, 2026 neutral
- NEWS McGraw Hill Analysts Cut Their Forecasts After Q4 Results — benzinga Jun 12, 2026 negative
- NEWS JP Morgan Maintains Overweight on McGraw Hill, Lowers Price Target to $20 — benzinga Jun 12, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-07-06T06:50:34Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
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Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Volatile — 7.3% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static
Revenue shrinking — -2.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.71: Risk below floor (1.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 3.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $9.77. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $15.81 (+50.6% upside). Prior stop was $9.77. Stop-loss: $9.77.
Risk below floor (1.9 < 3.0).
McGraw Hill, Inc. trades at a P/E of 55.3 (forward 5.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
21 analysts cover MH with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $18.
What does McGraw Hill, Inc. do?McGraw Hill provides educational content and digital learning platforms for K-12, higher education, and professional...
McGraw Hill provides educational content and digital learning platforms for K-12, higher education, and professional markets in more than 100 countries and 80 languages. Revenue totaled $2,102.8 million for fiscal 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), split between K-12 (~42%), Higher Education (~42%), Global Professional (~7%), and International (~9%), with 26.7 million paid digital users.