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MGNIMagnite, Inc.Hold5.8·$16.26+0.37%
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Magnite, Inc. (MGNI) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Communication Services · Advertising Agencies

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $16.26, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Overbought (RSI 76); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.7%), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.02% of cap).

Magnite is an independent omni-channel sell-side advertising platform (SSP) that automates the purchase and sale of digital advertising inventory for publishers across CTV, mobile, and desktop globally. Revenue is earned as a percentage of advertising spend transacted through... Read more

$16.26+22.2% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#3 of 9 Advertising Agencies
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield0.07%
Stop $15.11Target $19.86(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$22.07+35.7%15 analysts
$19.86our TP
$16.26price
$22.07mean
$39

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $16.26, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Overbought (RSI 76); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.7%), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.02% of cap). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 76. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.35, news boost analyst cluster(6), earnings proximity 53d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202653d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Analyst upside: 22%
Risks
Overbought (RSI 76)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.7%), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.02% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.5
P/E (Fwd)13.1
Mkt Cap$2.3B
EV/EBITDA17.7
Profit Mgn22.0%
ROE19.1%
Rev Growth5.5%
Beta2.31
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.20bullish
IV96%elevated
Max Pain$35+115.3% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-20Item 5.02HIGH
    CFO David Day announced retirement plans; will continue as CFO until September 30, 2026, then as non-executive advisor through May 31, 2027. No successor named.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-10Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Chief Product Officer Adam Soroca ceased serving effective April 8, 2026. Will remain as advisor through May 15, 2026. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.5
Bollinger
0.7
52w Position
2.2
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.9>=5.5A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.35NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(6)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 53d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
76 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $12.35Resistance $16.45

Price Targets

$15
$20
A.Upside+22.1%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts20
Consensus4.1/5
Avg Target$22

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (53d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MGNI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $16.26, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Overbought (RSI 76); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.7%), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.02% of cap). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 76. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $19.86 (+22.1%), stop $15.11 (−7.6%), A.R:R 1.5:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MGNI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.86 (+22.2% upside). Target $19.86 (+22.1%), stop $15.11 (−7.6%), A.R:R 1.5:1. Stop-loss: $15.11.

What are the risks of investing in MGNI?

Overbought (RSI 76); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.7%), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.02% of cap).

Is MGNI overvalued or undervalued?

Magnite, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.5 (forward 13.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MGNI?

20 analysts cover MGNI with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $22.

What does Magnite, Inc. do?Magnite is an independent omni-channel sell-side advertising platform (SSP) that automates the purchase and sale of...

Magnite is an independent omni-channel sell-side advertising platform (SSP) that automates the purchase and sale of digital advertising inventory for publishers across CTV, mobile, and desktop globally. Revenue is earned as a percentage of advertising spend transacted through the platform, with CTV as a growing driver; operations span North America, Europe, Australia, and developing markets in Asia and South America.

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