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OMCOmnicom Group Inc.Sell5.6·$75.07-0.32%
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Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Advertising Agencies

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $75.07: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 2.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Omnicom Group is a global marketing and communications holding company that completed its acquisition of IPG in November 2025, creating one of the world's largest advertising groups with ~120,000 employees across BBDO, TBWA, McCann, OMD, PHD, and dozens of other agencies.... Read more

$75.07+19.1% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#4 of 9 Advertising Agencies
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield23.61%
IncomeYield4.25%(5y avg 3.49%)Payout41.30%sustainable
Stop $70.59Target $89.39(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.8:1
Analyst target$102.75+36.9%12 analysts
$89.39our TP
$75.07price
$102.75mean
$146

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $75.07: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 2.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 21, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)6.1
Mkt Cap$21.5B
EV/EBITDA9.4
Profit Mgn0.3%
ROE2.0%
Rev Growth69.2%
Beta0.66
Dividend4.25%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.17bullish
IV59%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomer100 largest clients54%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our 100 largest clients, which represent many of the major marketers, represented approximately 54% of revenue and were each served, on average, by approximately 55 of our agencies.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicinternational operations47%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, our international operations represented approximately 47% of our revenue.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.2
Roe
0.7
Roa
3.0
Current Ratio
3.6
Piotroski F
4.4
Operating Margin
4.8
Moat
4.9
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 1000% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5A.R:R 2.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $69.98Resistance $77.28

Price Targets

$71
$89
A.Upside+19.1%
A.R:R2.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OMC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $75.07: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 2.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56. Prior stop was $70.59. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OMC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $89.39 (+19.1% upside). Prior stop was $70.59. Stop-loss: $70.59.

What are the risks of investing in OMC?

Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).

Is OMC overvalued or undervalued?

Omnicom Group Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 6.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OMC?

18 analysts cover OMC with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $103.

What does Omnicom Group Inc. do?Omnicom Group is a global marketing and communications holding company that completed its acquisition of IPG in...

Omnicom Group is a global marketing and communications holding company that completed its acquisition of IPG in November 2025, creating one of the world's largest advertising groups with ~120,000 employees across BBDO, TBWA, McCann, OMD, PHD, and dozens of other agencies. Revenue is generated from advertising, media buying, PR, healthcare, precision marketing, and other services, with approximately 47% from international markets in 2025.

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