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MAAMid-America Apartment CommunitiHold5.1·$136.44-0.65%
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Mid-America Apartment Communiti (MAA) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Residential

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $136.44, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily sector; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

MAA is a self-administered multifamily REIT owning 302 apartment communities totaling 103,083 units across 16 states, concentrated in the Southeast, Southwest, and Mid-Atlantic U.S. The company earns revenue through approximately one-year apartment leases, supplemented by... Read more

$136.44+1.1% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#7 of 16 REIT - Residential
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.55%
IncomeYield4.46%(5y avg 3.50%)Payout184.09%
Stop $131.02Target $137.94(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$141.21+3.5%24 analysts
$137.94our TP
$136.44price
$141.21mean
$120
$162

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $136.44, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily sector; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Mid-America Apartment Communiti

About Mid-America Apartment Communiti

MAA's portfolio of 302 apartment communities comprising 103,083 units spans 16 states and the District of Columbia, concentrated in the Southeast, Southwest, and Mid-Atlantic regions. The top five markets — Atlanta, Dallas, Austin, Charlotte, and Orlando — accounted for 41.2% of completed units as of year-end 2025, with 8 communities under development representing 2,522 additional units at $932 million in total budgeted costs.

MAA earns revenue primarily from apartment leases, which are generally for approximately one year, allowing rental rate adjustments at renewal. Unit renovations — 5,995 units refreshed in 2025 at an average cost of $6,080 per unit — achieved rental rate increases averaging 7.0% above the market rate for non-renovated units. Smart Home technology installations, completed in over 96,000 units across the portfolio, generate an average effective rent premium of approximately $25 per month per unit. Capital structure favors unsecured debt, with total debt at 30.2% of adjusted total assets and net debt to Adjusted EBITDAre of 4.3x at December 31, 2025, within stated target ranges.

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Construction and lease-up risk concentrate in the active development program: fixed-price construction contracts mitigate cost inflation but do not eliminate exposure to labor shortages, permitting delays, or tariff-driven material cost increases that the 10-K flags as worsened by recent policy changes. Newly completed communities must reach 90% average physical occupancy for 90 consecutive days to be considered stabilized; if demand in target submarkets softens during lease-up, initial yields could trail underwriting assumptions. The 10-K separately flags that changes in immigration enforcement could reduce the available pool of skilled tradespeople, adding sequential risk to the development pipeline.

See also: Real Estate · REIT - Residential

From Mid-America Apartment Communiti's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily sector
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)41.6
P/E (Fwd)35.3
Mkt Cap$16.4B
EV/EBITDA17.5
Profit Mgn17.6%
ROE6.7%
Rev Growth0.8%
Beta0.74
Dividend4.46%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C3.53bearish
IV46%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHPropertymultifamily sector
    10-K Item 1A: 'substantially all of our investments are concentrated in the multifamily sector'
  • MEDIUMGeographictop five markets (Atlanta, Dallas, Austin, Charlotte, Orlando)
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 41.2% of our portfolio ... was located in our top five markets: Atlanta, Georgia; Dallas, Texas; Austin, Texas; Charlotte, North Carolina; and Orlando, Florida'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.5
Value Rank
2.6
Quality Rank
3.4
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $127.24Resistance $140.75

Price Targets

$131
$138
A.Upside+1.1%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.9% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MAA stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $136.44, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily sector; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $137.94 (+1.1%), stop $131.02 (−4.1%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MAA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $137.94 (+1.1% upside). Target $137.94 (+1.1%), stop $131.02 (−4.1%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Stop-loss: $131.02.

What are the risks of investing in MAA?

Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily sector; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is MAA overvalued or undervalued?

Mid-America Apartment Communiti trades at a P/E of 41.6 (forward 35.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MAA?

30 analysts cover MAA with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $141.

What does Mid-America Apartment Communiti do?MAA is a self-administered multifamily REIT owning 302 apartment communities totaling 103,083 units across 16 states,...

MAA is a self-administered multifamily REIT owning 302 apartment communities totaling 103,083 units across 16 states, concentrated in the Southeast, Southwest, and Mid-Atlantic U.S. The company earns revenue through approximately one-year apartment leases, supplemented by renovation premiums and smart-home technology fees.

Related stocks: MRP (Millrose Properties, Inc.) · UDR (UDR, Inc.) · SUI (Sun Communities, Inc.) · AVB (AvalonBay Communities, Inc.) · AMH (American Homes 4 Rent)
Home Stocks MAA

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