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Mid-America Apartment Communiti (MAA) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellHigh Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Residential

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $128.47 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily sector.

Mid-America Apartment Communities (MAA) is a multifamily REIT owning 301 consolidated apartment communities (102,814 units) across 16 states and DC, primarily in the Southeast, Southwest, and Mid-Atlantic U.S. As of December 31, 2025, approximately 41.2% of completed apartment... Read more

$128.47+1.2% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#14 of 16 REIT - Residential
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.93%
IncomeYield4.76%(5y avg 3.47%)Payout184.09%
Stop $123.77Target $130.02(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$140.71+9.5%24 analysts
$130.02our TP
$128.47price
$140.71mean
$120
$162

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $128.47 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily sector. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Mid-America Apartment Communiti

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily sector
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)38.9
P/E (Fwd)33.0
Mkt Cap$15.3B
EV/EBITDA16.7
Profit Mgn17.6%
ROE6.7%
Rev Growth0.8%
Beta0.76
Dividend4.76%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
IV33%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographictop five markets (Atlanta, Dallas, Austin, Charlotte, Orlando)41%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 41.2% of our portfolio (based on the number of completed apartment units) was located in our top five markets: Atlanta, Georgia; Dallas, Texas; Austin, Texas; Charlotte, North Carolina; and Orlando, Florida'
  • HIGHPropertymultifamily sector
    10-K Item 1A: 'substantially all of our investments are concentrated in the multifamily sector. As a result, we will be subject to risks inherent in investments in a single type of property'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.7
Rsi
4.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.5
Value Rank
2.9
Quality Rank
3.4
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 70d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $124.00Resistance $132.67

Price Targets

$124
$130
A.Upside+1.2%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.4% upside)
! Momentum score 2.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (70d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MAA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $128.47 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily sector. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $123.77. Score 4.6/10, high confidence.

What is the MAA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $130.02 (+1.2% upside). Prior stop was $123.77. Stop-loss: $123.77.

What are the risks of investing in MAA?

Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily sector; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Is MAA overvalued or undervalued?

Mid-America Apartment Communiti trades at a P/E of 38.9 (forward 33.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MAA?

30 analysts cover MAA with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $141.

What does Mid-America Apartment Communiti do?Mid-America Apartment Communities (MAA) is a multifamily REIT owning 301 consolidated apartment communities (102,814...

Mid-America Apartment Communities (MAA) is a multifamily REIT owning 301 consolidated apartment communities (102,814 units) across 16 states and DC, primarily in the Southeast, Southwest, and Mid-Atlantic U.S. As of December 31, 2025, approximately 41.2% of completed apartment units were in its top five markets: Atlanta, Dallas, Austin, Charlotte, and Orlando.

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