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Mid-America Apartment Communiti (MAA) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Residential

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $128.48 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily.

MAA is a self-administered multifamily REIT owning 302 apartment communities with 103,083 units primarily in the Southeast, Southwest, and Mid-Atlantic US. It generates rental revenue from apartments leased on approximately one-year terms, diversified across garden, mid-rise,... Read more

$128.48+0.4% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#9 of 16 REIT - Residential
Stop $122.73Target $128.73(resistance)A.R:R -0.0:1
Analyst target$142.23+10.7%24 analysts
$128.73our TP
$128.48price
$142.23mean
$121
$162

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $128.48 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)39.4
P/E (Fwd)33.3
Mkt Cap$15.5B
EV/EBITDA16.7
Profit Mgn20.2%
ROE7.6%
Rev Growth1.0%
Beta0.79
Dividend4.72%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.52bullish
IV43%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHPropertymultifamily
    10-K Item 1A: 'substantially all of our investments are concentrated in the multifamily sector'
  • MEDIUMGeographictop five markets41%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 41.2% of our portfolio...was located in our top five markets: Atlanta, Georgia; Dallas, Texas; Austin, Texas; Charlotte, North Carolina; and Orlando, Florida'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.0
Value Rank
3.3
Quality Rank
4.1

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
2.2
Support Resistance
2.9
52w Position
5.9
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5A.R:R -0.0=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $120.65Resistance $131.36

Price Targets

$123
$129
A.Upside+0.2%
A.R:R-0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.2% upside)
! Momentum score 4.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MAA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $128.48 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Prior stop was $122.73. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MAA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $128.73 (+0.4% upside). Prior stop was $122.73. Stop-loss: $122.73.

What are the risks of investing in MAA?

Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is MAA overvalued or undervalued?

Mid-America Apartment Communiti trades at a P/E of 39.4 (forward 33.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MAA?

30 analysts cover MAA with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $142.

What does Mid-America Apartment Communiti do?MAA is a self-administered multifamily REIT owning 302 apartment communities with 103,083 units primarily in the...

MAA is a self-administered multifamily REIT owning 302 apartment communities with 103,083 units primarily in the Southeast, Southwest, and Mid-Atlantic US. It generates rental revenue from apartments leased on approximately one-year terms, diversified across garden, mid-rise, and high-rise product types across 16 states and D.C.

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