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LQDALiquidia CorporationSell5.1·$78.91-0.52%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

An exceptionally high-quality franchise with a wide economic moat, elite-tier efficiency metrics, and strong upward price momentum now trades above its near-term take-profit target, leaving the risk/reward geometry unfavorable; the quality profile and rising analyst estimates are constructive over a longer horizon, but single-product concentration risk and high short interest make the current price unattractive for new entry.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Franchise QualityStable
  • Price Above Take Profit LevelStable
  • Single Product Supplier ConcentrationStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Liquidia Corporation (LQDA) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Sell if holding. At $78.91, A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: YUTREPIA; Concentration risk — Supplier: single suppliers for YUTREPIA.

Liquidia Corporation commercializes YUTREPIA (treprostinil inhalation powder), FDA-approved in May 2025 for pulmonary arterial hypertension and pulmonary hypertension-ILD, and shares profits from Sandoz's generic Treprostinil Injection under a 2018 promotion agreement. The... Read more

QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield0.14%
Stop $73.40Target $79.08(resistance)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst target$74.25-5.9%8 analysts
$79.08our TP
$78.91price
$74.25mean
$60
$109

Sell if holding. At $78.91, A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: YUTREPIA; Concentration risk — Supplier: single suppliers for YUTREPIA. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst cluster(8), earnings proximity 40d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Liquidia Corporation

About Liquidia Corporation

Liquidia Corporation launched YUTREPIA (treprostinil inhalation powder) in June 2025 following FDA approval in May 2025 for both pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) and pulmonary hypertension associated with interstitial lung disease (PH-ILD). The company also earns a profit share from Sandoz's generic Treprostinil Injection under a 2018 promotion agreement. Liquidia reported net losses of $68.9 million for the year ended December 31, 2025, and carried an accumulated deficit of $626.3 million despite achieving quarterly profitability in the third and fourth quarters of 2025.

Liquidia sells YUTREPIA through a targeted U.S. commercial field force and specialty pharmacies, distributing to healthcare providers who treat an estimated 45,000 PAH patients and approximately 60,000 PH-ILD patients in the United States. The company relies on single-source suppliers for the active pharmaceutical ingredient, the RS00 Model dry-powder inhaler, and encapsulation and packaging for YUTREPIA. Treprostinil Injection is manufactured and supplied entirely by Sandoz under Sandoz's ANDA; Liquidia PAH earns a profit share but holds no regulatory approval for that product. United Therapeutics has filed multiple patent and trade-secret lawsuits seeking injunctive relief that could remove YUTREPIA from the market. The pipeline's next major asset is L606, a liposomal treprostinil formulation licensed from Pharmosa Biopharm, currently in a global Phase 3 placebo-controlled efficacy study targeting 340 patients across more than 100 sites in at least 20 countries.

Show full overview

The L606 pivotal trial in PH-ILD represents Liquidia's primary source of future revenue diversification, and the 10-K warns that the trial may not succeed and that delays could increase costs and impair commercialization timelines. Simultaneously, the existing revenue base could be severely curtailed if United Therapeutics obtains the injunctive relief it seeks, which could remove YUTREPIA from the PAH and/or PH-ILD market before L606 is available as a substitute. These two binary risks — litigation outcome and trial readout — converge on the same narrow commercialization window.

See also: Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

From Liquidia Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 12, 202640d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Earnings estimates trending UP
High-quality business
Wide economic moat
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: YUTREPIA
Concentration risk — Supplier: single suppliers for YUTREPIA
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)464.3
P/E (Fwd)14.2
Mkt Cap$7.0B
EV/EBITDA149.7
Profit Mgn7.7%
ROE28.2%
Rev Growth4158.5%
Beta0.55
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.11bearish
IV102%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductYUTREPIA
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are primarily dependent on the success of YUTREPIA, for which we recently received FDA approval for the treatment of PAH and PH-ILD'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle suppliers for YUTREPIA
    10-K Item 1A: 'We depend on third parties for clinical and commercial supplies, including single suppliers for the active ingredient, the device, encapsulation and packaging of YUTREPIA'
  • MEDIUMcounterpartySandoz
    10-K Item 1A: 'Liquidia PAH does not hold the FDA regulatory approval for Treprostinil Injection and is dependent on Sandoz to manufacture and supply Treprostinil Injection'
  • MEDIUMpipelineL606 pivotal trial
    10-K Item 1A: 'our planned pivotal clinical trial of L606, may not be successful and delays in such preclinical studies or clinical trials may cause our costs to increase'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEINSIDER 2.04%=EXTREMEMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5No SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(8)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 40d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $54.50Resistance $80.69

Price Targets

$73
$79
A.Upside+0.2%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-18.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! Insider activity: 2.04%=extreme

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (40d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LQDA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $78.91, A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: YUTREPIA; Concentration risk — Supplier: single suppliers for YUTREPIA. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $73.40. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LQDA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $79.08 (+0.2% upside). Prior stop was $73.40. Stop-loss: $73.40.

What are the risks of investing in LQDA?

Concentration risk — Product: YUTREPIA; Concentration risk — Supplier: single suppliers for YUTREPIA; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is LQDA overvalued or undervalued?

Liquidia Corporation trades at a P/E of 464.3 (forward 14.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LQDA?

14 analysts cover LQDA with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $74.

What does Liquidia Corporation do?Liquidia Corporation commercializes YUTREPIA (treprostinil inhalation powder), FDA-approved in May 2025 for pulmonary...

Liquidia Corporation commercializes YUTREPIA (treprostinil inhalation powder), FDA-approved in May 2025 for pulmonary arterial hypertension and pulmonary hypertension-ILD, and shares profits from Sandoz's generic Treprostinil Injection under a 2018 promotion agreement. The company reported net losses of $68.9 million in 2025 and carried an accumulated deficit of $626.3 million at year-end.

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