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LNNLindsay CorporationSell5.3·$121.49+0.35%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Revenue declining 16% year-over-year, a confirmed technical downtrend with the 200-day moving average falling at 3.1% per month, a death cross hard block, two earnings misses in the last four quarters including a near-32% miss in the most recent period, and a share price sitting essentially at resistance with just 0.1% upside collectively create an unfavorable risk/reward setup that warrants patience rather than exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • Revenue Declining Sixteen PercentStable
  • Confirmed Technical DowntrendStable
  • Inconsistent Earnings DeliveryStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Lindsay Corporation (LNN) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $121.49 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: international sales (irrigation segment) (52.0%).

Lindsay Corporation manufactures center pivot, lateral move, and hose reel irrigation systems (Zimmatic, FieldNET) and road infrastructure products including moveable barriers (Road Zipper System) and crash cushions, sold in the U.S. and internationally across Brazil, France,... Read more

$121.49+5.3% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#8 of 17 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.74%
IncomeYield1.21%(5y avg 1.05%)Payout28.41%sustainable
Stop $113.96Target $128.56(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$135.50+11.5%2 analysts
$128.56our TP
$121.49price
$135.50mean
$150

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $121.49 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: international sales (irrigation segment) (52.0%). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 110d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Lindsay Corporation

About Lindsay Corporation

Lindsay Corporation split its fiscal 2025 business between an irrigation segment (center pivot and lateral move systems under the Zimmatic brand) and an infrastructure segment (Road Zipper moveable barriers and crash cushions), ending the year with a $110.7 million order backlog, down from $180.9 million a year earlier. International sales made up 52% of irrigation segment revenue in fiscal 2025, up from 41% in fiscal 2024, and the company employed 1,275 people as of August 31, 2025, none under U.S. union representation.

Lindsay sells Zimmatic and Perrot irrigation systems in the United States through more than 200 independent dealers who install and service equipment for farmers, while international sales run through both direct channels and dealer networks across markets including South America, Europe, and China. The infrastructure segment sells moveable barriers, crash cushions, and road-marking products to state departments of transportation, municipalities, and roadway contractors, with distributors accounting for a majority of crash-cushion sales given their lower price points. Raw material inputs include coil, angle, and plate steel, zinc, tires, gearboxes, and electrical and hydraulic components, sourced from a limited number of domestic and foreign suppliers. Four manufacturers control a substantial majority of the U.S. center pivot irrigation market, and one customer's large MENA-region irrigation project, tied to a multi-year supply agreement valued at more than $100 million entered in fiscal 2024, accounted for 13% of fiscal 2025 consolidated revenues.

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Lindsay's revenue concentration risk is project-based rather than tied to a single recurring customer: the fiscal 2024 multi-year supply agreement for a MENA-region irrigation project, valued at more than $100 million, alone produced 13% of fiscal 2025 consolidated revenue, with remaining deliveries scheduled into fiscal 2026. The 10-K notes that concentration of the customer base can let key customers negotiate pricing and other terms unfavorable to the company, while political instability in that same region introduces execution risk beyond that of Lindsay's typical dealer-network business. That contrasts with the ordinary infrastructure business, where the customer base changes from year to year and no single project has historically driven multi-year revenue the way the MENA irrigation deliveries have.

See also: Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

From Lindsay Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 22, 2026110d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: international sales (irrigation segment) (52.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.4
P/E (Fwd)19.6
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA14.7
Profit Mgn8.8%
ROE10.7%
Rev Growth-5.1%
Beta
Dividend1.21%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.64bullish
IV44%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomersingle MENA-region irrigation project customer13%
    10-K Item 1: 'one customer within the Company's irrigation segment accounted for 13% of consolidated revenues relating to a large irrigation project in the MENA region'
  • HIGHGeographicinternational sales (irrigation segment)52%
    10-K Item 1: 'International sales accounted for approximately 52 percent and 41 percent of the Company’s total irrigation segment revenues in fiscal 2025 and 2024, respectively.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Revenue shrinking — -5.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.2
Earnings Growth
5.9
Declining revenue: -5%
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 110d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $111.09Resistance $131.18

Price Targets

$114
$129
A.Upside+5.8%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-22 (110d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LNN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $121.49 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: international sales (irrigation segment) (52.0%). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $113.96. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LNN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $128.56 (+5.3% upside). Prior stop was $113.96. Stop-loss: $113.96.

What are the risks of investing in LNN?

Concentration risk — Geographic: international sales (irrigation segment) (52.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is LNN overvalued or undervalued?

Lindsay Corporation trades at a P/E of 23.4 (forward 19.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LNN?

8 analysts cover LNN with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $136.

What does Lindsay Corporation do?Lindsay Corporation manufactures center pivot, lateral move, and hose reel irrigation systems (Zimmatic, FieldNET) and...

Lindsay Corporation manufactures center pivot, lateral move, and hose reel irrigation systems (Zimmatic, FieldNET) and road infrastructure products including moveable barriers (Road Zipper System) and crash cushions, sold in the U.S. and internationally across Brazil, France, China, Turkiye and South Africa. A single MENA-region irrigation project accounted for 13% of fiscal 2025 consolidated revenue, and infrastructure sales depend heavily on government highway funding programs like the U.S. Federal Highway Trust Fund.

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