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LGNLegence Corp.Sell5.5·$75.77-5.29%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Legence Corp. is posting extraordinary top-line growth and a perfect three-quarter earnings beat streak, but business quality sits below the minimum investment-grade threshold — reflecting an absence of competitive differentiation and thin operating fundamentals — and a 48.9x forward earnings multiple alongside a failed asymmetry test creates a setup where downside risk is difficult to bound.

Thesis pillars

  • Stretched Valuation Thin MarginsStable
  • Quality Below Investment Grade FloorStable
  • Extraordinary Growth Low ConfidenceStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Legence Corp. (LGN) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $75.77: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 1.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.57; Below-average business quality.

Legence provides MEP engineering, installation, and maintenance services for mission-critical buildings in 46 U.S. states, focused on data center, life sciences, healthcare, and education clients. The company generated $2,550.5 million in 2025 revenue through 7,000 employees at... Read more

$75.77+26.3% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#16 of 32 Engineering & Construction
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield2.66%
Stop $70.52Target $95.77(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$106.41+40.4%17 analysts
$95.77our TP
$75.77price
$106.41mean
$125

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $75.77: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 1.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.57; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 40d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on clean insider activity. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Legence Corp.

About Legence Corp.

Legence generated $2,550.5 million in 2025 revenue, with data centers & technology clients accounting for 42.7% and life sciences & healthcare adding 18.0% of revenue. The company held $3.7 billion of backlog and awarded contracts at December 31, 2025—a 49% increase from year-end 2024—and employed approximately 7,000 people across 116 locations in 46 U.S. states.

Legence earns revenue through two segments under predominantly fixed-price contracts. Engineering & Consulting (Engineering & Design at 59% of segment revenue, Program & Project Management at 41%) serves clients needing HVAC system design, energy-efficiency strategies, and construction oversight. Installation & Maintenance (Installation & Fabrication at 82%, Maintenance & Service at 18%) fabricates and installs HVAC, piping, electrical, and plumbing systems and provides multi-year preventative maintenance agreements. In 2025, 60% of revenues came from retrofits and upgrades to existing buildings and 40% from new construction. National competitors in installation include Comfort Systems USA, ACCO Engineered Systems, and Southland Industries; national competitors in engineering include Affiliated Engineers Inc., Stantec Inc., and WSP Global. Materials—ductwork, pipe, valves, conduit, and sheet metal—are available from multiple domestic and foreign suppliers; import tariff costs on internationally procured materials are passed through contractually to clients.

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Labor exposure is the most structurally differentiated risk for a fixed-price MEP contractor. Legence has 44 active collective bargaining agreements covering roughly 4,500 of its approximately 7,000 employees, with contracts typically renewed every three years. The company has not experienced significant strikes or work stoppages in the past decade; however, if future negotiations fail, resulting work stoppages could delay project timelines on fixed-price contracts where late completion may trigger liquidated damages provisions.

See also: Industrials · Engineering & Construction

From Legence Corp.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06

Recent Developments — Legence Corp.

Generated 2026-07-06T04:40:27Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 13, 202640d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)42.8
Mkt Cap$12.5B
EV/EBITDA30.2
Profit Mgn-0.7%
ROE-7.2%
Rev Growth105.1%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C1.57bearish
IV88%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerdata centers & technology43%
    10-K Item 1: 'Data centers & technology... 42.7'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Unprofitable operations — net margin -0.7%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
1.3
Roa
1.6
Moat
4.2
Current Ratio
4.9
Piotroski F
5.6
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
1.6
Growth Rank
9.7
Industry growth leader
GatesINSIDER 13.35%=EXTREMEMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5A.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 40d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
35 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $71.99Resistance $90.23

Price Targets

$71
$96
A.Upside+26.4%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)
! Insider activity: 13.35%=extreme

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-13 (40d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LGN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $75.77: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 1.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.57; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $70.52. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LGN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $95.77 (+26.3% upside). Prior stop was $70.52. Stop-loss: $70.52.

What are the risks of investing in LGN?

Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0).

Is LGN overvalued or undervalued?

Legence Corp. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 42.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LGN?

22 analysts cover LGN with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $106.

What does Legence Corp. do?Legence provides MEP engineering, installation, and maintenance services for mission-critical buildings in 46 U.S....

Legence provides MEP engineering, installation, and maintenance services for mission-critical buildings in 46 U.S. states, focused on data center, life sciences, healthcare, and education clients. The company generated $2,550.5 million in 2025 revenue through 7,000 employees at 116 locations, with $3.7 billion in backlog representing a 49% year-over-year increase.

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