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LGIHLGI Homes, Inc.Sell4.7·$62.03+1.99%
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LGI Homes, Inc. (LGIH) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $62.03: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 1.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Below-average business quality.

LGI Homes, Inc. engages in the design, construction, and sale of new homes in the United States. It markets and sells attached and detached entry-level homes and active adult offerings under the LGI Homes brand; and luxury homes under the Terrata Homes brand. The company also... Read more

$62.03+27.4% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#7 of 20 Residential Construction
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield2.90%
Stop $57.69Target $79.05(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$93.00+49.9%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $62.03: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 1.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-05

Recent Developments — LGI Homes, Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-07-05T10:00:59Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202631d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 6.7), Material insider selling (40 sells, 0.66% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.4
P/E (Fwd)15.6
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA35.7
Profit Mgn4.2%
ROE3.4%
Rev Growth-9.0%
Beta1.82
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.14bullish
IV65%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Operating Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
0.1
Roa
0.9
Roe
1.1
Net Margin
2.1
Moat
3.1
Piotroski F
3.3
Fcf Quality
4.6
Current Ratio
5.0
Earnings quality warning: 59% FCF/NINo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.0
Growth Rank
4.0
Value Rank
4.6
GatesMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5A.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 31d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $49.86Resistance $66.25

Price Targets

$58
$79
A.Upside+27.4%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 6.7), Material insider selling (40 sells, 0.66% of cap)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (31d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LGIH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $62.03: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 1.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $57.69. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LGIH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $79.05 (+27.4% upside). Prior stop was $57.69. Stop-loss: $57.69.

What are the risks of investing in LGIH?

Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 6.7), Material insider selling (40 sells, 0.66% of cap).

Is LGIH overvalued or undervalued?

LGI Homes, Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.4 (forward 15.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LGIH?

10 analysts cover LGIH with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $93.

What does LGI Homes, Inc. do?LGI Homes, Inc. engages in the design, construction, and sale of new homes in the United States. It markets and sells...

LGI Homes, Inc. engages in the design, construction, and sale of new homes in the United States. It markets and sells attached and detached entry-level homes and active adult offerings under the LGI Homes brand; and luxury homes under the Terrata Homes brand. The company also engages in the wholesale business, which includes building and selling homes to large institutions interested in acquiring single-family rental properties through bulk sales agreements. It operates in Texas, Arizona, Florida, Georgia, New Mexico, Colorado, North Carolina, South Carolina, Washington, Tennessee, Minnesota, Oklahoma, Alabama, California, Oregon, Nevada, West Virginia, Virginia, Pennsylvania, Maryland, and Utah. LGI Homes, Inc. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas.

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Home Stocks LGIH

Latest news

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Benzinga5d ago