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LEGHLegacy Housing CorporationSell6.5·$27.22
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Legacy Housing screens as attractively valued with strong margins and a breakout technical setup, but revenue is declining, an earnings-quality red flag shows weak cash conversion, and the stock has already reached its price target with an unfavorable stated risk/reward.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Quality Cash Conversion Flag→Stable
  • Attractive Valuation↑Improving
  • Declining Revenue Weak Growth→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Legacy Housing Corporation (LEGH) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $27.22 — A.R:R is negative (-3.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

We build, sell, and finance manufactured homes and "Tiny Houses" that are distributed through a network of independent retailers and company-owned stores and also sold directly to manufactured home communities. The company was founded in 2005, and our corporate office is located... Read more

$27.22-25.1% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#1 of 19 Residential Construction
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.47%
Stop $25.99Target $29.27(resistance)A.R:R -3.9:1
Analyst target$24.00-11.8%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $27.22 — A.R:R is negative (-3.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 25d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Nov 6, 202625d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.9
P/E (Fwd)12.5
Mkt Cap$661M
EV/EBITDA10.6
Profit Mgn28.6%
ROE9.5%
Rev Growth32.3%
Beta0.75
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.19bullish
IV146%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-08-18Item 5.02MEDIUM
    ​ On August 13, 2026, the Board of Directors of the Company appointed Kenneth E. Shipley, age 67, as Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer of the Company, effective August 13, 2026. Mr.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-07-22Item 5.02MEDIUM
    **Exhibit No.** | **​ ​ ​** | **Description** 99.1 | ​ | [Letter of Curtis D. Hodgson to the Board of Directors, dated July 17, 2026](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1436208/000110465926085476/legh-20260717xex99d1.htm) 104 | ​ | Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline...
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.2
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.1
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 28)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R -3.9=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 25d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
28 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $26.79Resistance $29.87

Price Targets

$26
$29
A.Upside-25.1%
A.R:R-3.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-25.1% upside)
! momentum at 2.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-06 (25d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LEGH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $27.22 — A.R:R is negative (-3.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $25.99. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LEGH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $29.27 (-25.1% upside). Prior stop was $25.99. Stop-loss: $25.99.

What are the risks of investing in LEGH?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is LEGH overvalued or undervalued?

Legacy Housing Corporation trades at a P/E of 12.9 (forward 12.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LEGH?

8 analysts cover LEGH with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $24.

What does Legacy Housing Corporation do?We build, sell, and finance manufactured homes and "Tiny Houses" that are distributed through a network of independent...

We build, sell, and finance manufactured homes and "Tiny Houses" that are distributed through a network of independent retailers and company-owned stores and also sold directly to manufactured home communities. The company was founded in 2005, and our corporate office is located in Bedford, Texas (between Dallas and Fort Worth). We completed our initial public offering in December 2018 and our common stock trades on The Nasdaq Global Select Market under the symbol "LEGH."

Related stocks: CVCO (Cavco Industries, Inc.) · SKY (Champion Homes, Inc.) · IBP (Installed Building Products, In) · LGIH (LGI Homes, Inc.) · BXBL (BOXABL, Inc.)
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