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LFTOLiftoff Mobile, Inc.Buy Wait7.0·$18.75+0.28%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Liftoff Mobile pairs heavy insider buying with strong growth, cash conversion, and analyst upside, but a failed momentum gate shows the price trend hasn't yet confirmed the fundamental strength.

Thesis pillars

  • Heavy Insider Buying ConvictionStable
  • Strong Growth Cash ConversionStable
  • Momentum Gate FailureStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Liftoff Mobile, Inc. (LFTO) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

Buy WaitGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Advertising Agencies

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $21.61 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8; Negative momentum.

Liftoff Mobile, Inc. provides mobile advertising, monetization, and performance marketing solutions in the United States, the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Canada, and Latin America. The company offers a platform called Cortex, which uses neural network... Read more

$18.75+65.6% A.UpsideScore 7.0/10#1 of 15 Advertising Agencies
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.68%
Entry $21.61(support + ATR (held))Stop $19.61Target $31.05(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 6.1:1
Analyst target$35.69+90.4%13 analysts
$31.05our TP
$18.75price
$35.69mean
$42

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $21.61 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.03, quality 7.6/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 69d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-03
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 11, 202669d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.6 in RISK_OFF)
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)89.0
P/E (Fwd)14.4
Mkt Cap$3.2B
EV/EBITDA12.3
Profit Mgn5.2%
ROE
Rev Growth35.4%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.65bullish
IV92%elevated
Max Pain$18-6.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Ma Position
2.5
Rsi
3.0
Macd
3.9
Obv
4.7
Capitulation risk (RSI 26, below 200MA)
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R 6.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 69d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
26 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $17.90Resistance $26.26

Price Targets

$20
$22
$31
A.Upside+65.6%
A.R:R6.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.4%
Max %2.9%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier capped: WAIT cannot upgrade to NOW via sentiment alone
! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-11 (69d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LFTO stock a buy right now?

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $21.61 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.03, quality 7.6/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $31.05 (+65.6%), stop $19.61 (−-4.4%), A.R:R 6.1:1. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LFTO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $31.05 (+65.6% upside). Target $31.05 (+65.6%), stop $19.61 (−-4.4%), A.R:R 6.1:1. Stop-loss: $19.61.

What are the risks of investing in LFTO?

Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8; Negative momentum.

Is LFTO overvalued or undervalued?

Liftoff Mobile, Inc. trades at a P/E of 89.0 (forward 14.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

0
What does Liftoff Mobile, Inc. do?Liftoff Mobile, Inc. provides mobile advertising, monetization, and performance marketing solutions in the United...

Liftoff Mobile, Inc. provides mobile advertising, monetization, and performance marketing solutions in the United States, the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Canada, and Latin America. The company offers a platform called Cortex, which uses neural network technology to enhance advertiser performance. It also provides DSP which offers cutting-edge predictive capabilities designed to drive profitable user acquisition for mobile advertiser customers; SSP provides broad reach and direct access to users through an established and widely distributed ad auction supply footprint that integrates directly into apps to drive ad monetization; and adapters. The company was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Redwood City, California.

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