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LEGLeggett & Platt, IncorporatedSell4.6·$11.94+2.31%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Leggett & Platt trades at a deeply discounted valuation relative to peers, but consecutive earnings misses, declining revenue, and a dividend payout that exceeds earnings by a wide margin raise serious questions about whether that discount represents opportunity or a value trap.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Deterioration StreakStable
  • Dividend Sustainability RiskStable
  • Deep Value DiscountStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Leggett & Platt, Incorporated (LEG) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $11.94 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: internal rod mill (steel rod/wire).

Leggett & Platt is a diversified international manufacturer of engineered components and products for bedding, furniture, automotive and other industrial applications, organized into Bedding Products, Specialized Products, and Furniture, Flooring & Textile Products segments. The... Read more

$11.94+15.0% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#11 of 13 Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield15.39%
IncomeYield1.68%(5y avg 5.28%)Payout12.42%sustainable
Stop $11.14Target $13.73(default +15%)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst target$11.50-3.7%2 analysts
$13.73our TP
$11.94price
$11.50mean
$11
$14

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $11.94 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: internal rod mill (steel rod/wire). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 27d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Leggett & Platt, Incorporated

About Leggett & Platt, Incorporated

Leggett & Platt's Bedding Products segment generated 38% of 2025 trade sales, followed by Flooring & Textile Products at 21% and Automotive at 20%, across 104 manufacturing facilities in 18 countries -- 61 in the United States and 43 abroad. The company's top 10 customers accounted for approximately 31% of 2025 consolidated revenue, with no single customer exceeding 7%, while 41% of trade sales came from products manufactured outside the United States.

Leggett & Platt is vertically integrated in its core bedding business: its Sterling, Illinois steel rod mill supplies nearly all the steel rod requirements of its Carthage, Missouri and Kouts, Indiana wire-drawing mills, which in turn supply nearly all of the company's U.S. steel wire needs for innersprings and other bedding components. The company's Automotive Group supplies comfort and in-car motion systems to Tier 1 suppliers and OEMs, competing increasingly against Chinese EV manufacturers gaining share from Leggett's traditional multinational customer base. In August 2025 the company divested its Aerospace Products Group -- seven facilities with about 700 employees -- for $280 million net cash, using proceeds to reduce debt, and substantially completed a 2024 restructuring plan that consolidated 21 production and distribution facilities and generated a $63 million annualized EBIT benefit in 2025.

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Leggett & Platt's 12 manufacturing facilities in China contribute significantly to earnings, primarily within Specialized Products, exposing the company to U.S.-China trade tensions, tariffs and China's export restrictions on rare-earth elements used in automotive components -- a risk that materialized in September 2025 when a Chinese-owned automotive semiconductor supplier halted shipments following a Dutch government seizure of its Netherlands operations. Layered onto that supply-chain exposure is corporate uncertainty: the company's board rejected an unsolicited all-stock acquisition proposal from Somnigroup International in January 2026 as undervaluing the business, and entered a six-month standstill and non-disclosure agreement to continue due diligence, with no assurance a transaction will ultimately result.

See also: Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

From Leggett & Platt, Incorporated's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202627d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 51%
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: internal rod mill (steel rod/wire)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.4
P/E (Fwd)11.8
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA8.0
Profit Mgn5.7%
ROE25.2%
Rev Growth-10.2%
Beta0.73
Dividend1.68%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.29bullish
IV94%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertop 10 customers31%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our largest customer represented approximately 7% of our 2025 consolidated revenue. Our top 10 customers accounted for approximately 31% of these consolidated revenues.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicproducts manufactured outside the United States41%
    10-K Item 1: 'The percentages of our trade sales related to products manufactured outside the United States were 39%, 40%, and 41% in 2023, 2024, and 2025, respectively.'
  • HIGHSupplierinternal rod mill (steel rod/wire)
    10-K Item 1: 'Our domestic wire drawing mills purchase nearly all of their steel rod requirements from our rod mill.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicChina
    10-K Item 1A: 'We have 12 manufacturing facilities in China as of December 31, 2025 that contribute significantly to our earnings'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-22Item 1.02MEDIUM
    CEO Karl G. Glassman terminated the Aircraft Time Sharing Agreement between subsidiary L&P Transportation LLC and himself, effective May 30, 2026; the company aircraft covered by the agreement are now expected to be sold.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-22Item 5.02LOW
    Shareholders approved the amendment and restatement of the Company's Flexible Stock Plan at the May 21, 2026 Annual Meeting, providing for stock-based and cash awards to attract and retain employees, directors and key individuals.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Revenue shrinking — -10.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Earnings Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -10%

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.2
Earnings concerns: 0B/3MDividend: 168.0%

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.0
Bollinger
1.0
52w Position
8.5
GatesA.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 27d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
77 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $9.79Resistance $11.94

Price Targets

$11
$14
A.Upside+15.0%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-18.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (27d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LEG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $11.94 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: internal rod mill (steel rod/wire). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $11.14. Score 4.6/10, high confidence.

What is the LEG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $13.73 (+15.0% upside). Prior stop was $11.14. Stop-loss: $11.14.

What are the risks of investing in LEG?

Concentration risk — Supplier: internal rod mill (steel rod/wire); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0.

Is LEG overvalued or undervalued?

Leggett & Platt, Incorporated trades at a P/E of 7.4 (forward 11.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LEG?

10 analysts cover LEG with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $12.

What does Leggett & Platt, Incorporated do?Leggett & Platt is a diversified international manufacturer of engineered components and products for bedding,...

Leggett & Platt is a diversified international manufacturer of engineered components and products for bedding, furniture, automotive and other industrial applications, organized into Bedding Products, Specialized Products, and Furniture, Flooring & Textile Products segments. The company operates 104 manufacturing facilities in 18 countries, with 41% of 2025 trade sales manufactured outside the United States, and in August 2025 divested its Aerospace Products Group for $280 million. Leggett & Platt's board rejected an unsolicited all-stock acquisition proposal from Somnigroup International in J

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