Skip to main content
LECOLincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.Sell5.4·$259.23+0.49%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Lincoln Electric is a financially sound industrial franchise — with a 38% return on equity, a Piotroski F-Score of 8 out of 9, and four straight earnings beats — but with the stock now trading above its price target and free cash flow converting at only 33% of stated earnings, the margin of safety for new entry has largely been consumed.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Price Momentum BreakoutStable
  • Consistent Earnings OutperformanceStable
  • High Quality Business FundamentalsStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. (LECO) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Tools & Accessories

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $259.23 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum.

The Company is a high-performance industrial machinery and technology leader who helps customers manufacture and maintain vital equipment and infrastructure. The Company's innovative solutions enable higher quality and productivity across a variety of processes including... Read more

$259.23+5.5% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#4 of 8 Tools & Accessories
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.25%
IncomeYield1.22%(5y avg 1.40%)Payout31.79%sustainable
Stop $243.57Target $272.69(resistance)A.R:R -0.0:1
Analyst target$296.70+14.5%10 analysts
$272.69our TP
$259.23price
$296.70mean
$229
$340

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $259.23 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 26d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202626d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.7
P/E (Fwd)21.5
Mkt Cap$14.2B
EV/EBITDA18.1
Profit Mgn12.4%
ROE37.8%
Rev Growth11.7%
Beta1.21
Dividend1.22%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.82bearish
IV48%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R -0.0=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 26d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $251.10Resistance $278.25

Price Targets

$244
$273
A.Upside+5.2%
A.R:R-0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.1% upside)
! momentum at 2.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (26d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LECO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $259.23 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $243.57. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LECO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $272.69 (+5.5% upside). Prior stop was $243.57. Stop-loss: $243.57.

What are the risks of investing in LECO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is LECO overvalued or undervalued?

Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 26.7 (forward 21.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LECO?

17 analysts cover LECO with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $297.

What does Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. do?The Company is a high-performance industrial machinery and technology leader who helps customers manufacture and...

The Company is a high-performance industrial machinery and technology leader who helps customers manufacture and maintain vital equipment and infrastructure. The Company's innovative solutions enable higher quality and productivity across a variety of processes including welding, cutting, brazing, machining, process automation, and field repair.

Related stocks: KMT (Kennametal Inc.) · HLMN (Hillman Solutions Corp.) · SWK (Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.) · TTC (Toro Company (The)) · RBC (RBC Bearings Incorporated)
Home Stocks LECO

Latest news

Latest News

MarketBeat68d ago
The Globe and Mail68d agoEarnings
The Globe and Mail74d ago
Cổng thông tin điện tử tỉnh Lào Cai74d ago
MSN74d ago
MarketBeat75d ago
MarketBeat75d ago
TradingKey19d ago
TradingKey19d ago
TradingKey19d ago
GuruFocus25d ago
GuruFocus19d agoAnalyst
Investing.com20d agoAnalyst
Yahoo Finance74d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com74d ago
Cổng thông tin điện tử tỉnh Tây Ninh74d agoEarnings
MarketBeat74d agoEarnings
GuruFocus18d ago
TradingKey18d ago
Upstox18d ago
Loading more...