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KRTKarat Packaging Inc.Sell5.6·$34.25+1.24%
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Karat Packaging Inc. (KRT) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $34.25 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.7% away).

Karat Packaging Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and distribution of single-use disposable products in plastic, paper, biopolymer-based, and other compostable forms used in various restaurant and foodservice settings. It offers food and take-out... Read more

$34.25-1.3% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#7 of 19 Packaging & Containers
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.36%
IncomeYield5.24%Payout113.92%at-risk
Stop $32.27Target $33.81(resistance)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst target$31.00-9.5%2 analysts
$33.81our TP
$34.25price
$31.00mean
$23
$39

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $34.25 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.7% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-05

Recent Developments — Karat Packaging Inc.

Generated 2026-07-05T09:50:25Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive momentum
Wide economic moat
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.7% away)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.7
P/E (Fwd)14.1
Mkt Cap$684M
EV/EBITDA14.0
Profit Mgn6.6%
ROE20.9%
Rev Growth12.9%
Beta0.82
Dividend5.24%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.4
Gap
5.0
52w Position
9.9
GatesA.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
81 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $27.79Resistance $34.50

Price Targets

$32
$34
A.Upside-1.3%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-23.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KRT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $34.25 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.7% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $32.27. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KRT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $33.81 (-1.3% upside). Prior stop was $32.27. Stop-loss: $32.27.

What are the risks of investing in KRT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.7% away); Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is KRT overvalued or undervalued?

Karat Packaging Inc. trades at a P/E of 21.7 (forward 14.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KRT?

10 analysts cover KRT with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $31.

What does Karat Packaging Inc. do?Karat Packaging Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and distribution of single-use...

Karat Packaging Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and distribution of single-use disposable products in plastic, paper, biopolymer-based, and other compostable forms used in various restaurant and foodservice settings. It offers food and take-out containers, bags, boxes, tableware, cups, lids, cutlery, straws, specialty beverage ingredients, gloves, utensils, janitorial and warehouse supplies, and other products under the Karat Earth brand. The company also distributes food and beverage items, such as syrups, boba tea, and coffee drinks; and provides new product development, design, printing, and logistics services. It offers its products to national and regional distributors, restaurant chains, retail establishments, and online customers. Karat Packaging Inc. was founded in 2000 and is based in Chino, California.

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