Skip to main content
GEF-BGreif, Inc. CorporationSell5.8·$87.23+1.86%
Open full analysis

Greif, Inc. Corporation (GEF-B) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers

Sell if holding. Engine flags exit at $87.23. Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Greif produces industrial packaging products and services — steel, fibre and plastic drums, rigid intermediate bulk containers, closure systems, and reconditioned containers — along with containerboard, corrugated containers, and paper products across 35+ countries in three... Read more

$87.23-0.5% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#5 of 16 Packaging & Containers
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield4.02%(5y avg 4.44%)Payout88.98%at-risk
Stop $80.42Target $85.91(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine flags exit at $87.23. Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.6
P/E (Fwd)12.2
Mkt Cap$3.2B
EV/EBITDA9.2
Profit Mgn24.4%
ROE
Rev Growth-0.5%
Beta0.81
Dividend4.02%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicnon-U.S. operations37%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 37% of our fiscal 2024 sales derived from non-U.S. operations'
  • LOWGeographicRussia3.0%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our operations in Russia accounted for approximately 3% of our net sales'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-14Item 1.01LOW
    Greif entered Fourth Amended and Restated Transfer and Administration Agreement on May 11, 2026, providing a $200M receivables financing facility with PNC Bank as agent, replacing the prior $275M Existing TAA. No adverse event or default cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-14Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Prior $275M Receivables Facility (Existing TAA) replaced in its entirety by the Fourth Amended TAA effective May 11, 2026. No default or material adverse change cited; facility replaced via amendment rather than outright termination.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-14Item 2.03LOW
    Greif created direct financial obligations under the $200M Fourth Amended TAA receivables facility effective May 11, 2026. Obligation arises from the same transaction as Items 1.01 and 1.02. No default cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-14Item 2.04LOW
    Triggering event provisions disclosed in connection with the Fourth Amended TAA receivables facility (May 11, 2026). No default or acceleration event occurred; routine disclosure tied to the amended facility.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.0
52w Position
8.7

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Dividend Safety
3.5
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)8K FLAG 1.02,2.04Momentum 8.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
71 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $74.30Resistance $87.66

Price Targets

$80
$86
A.Upside-1.5%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GEF-B stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine flags exit at $87.23. Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $80.42. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GEF-B stock price target?

Take-profit target: $85.91 (-0.5% upside). Prior stop was $80.42. Stop-loss: $80.42.

What are the risks of investing in GEF-B?

Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is GEF-B overvalued or undervalued?

Greif, Inc. Corporation trades at a P/E of 23.6 (forward 12.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GEF-B?

10 analysts cover GEF-B with a consensus score of 3.6/5.

What does Greif, Inc. Corporation do?Greif produces industrial packaging products and services — steel, fibre and plastic drums, rigid intermediate bulk...

Greif produces industrial packaging products and services — steel, fibre and plastic drums, rigid intermediate bulk containers, closure systems, and reconditioned containers — along with containerboard, corrugated containers, and paper products across 35+ countries in three segments. Customers span chemicals, food, automotive, and building products industries; no single customer is considered principal to total operations.

Related stocks: CCK (Crown Holdings, Inc.) · REYN (Reynolds Consumer Products Inc.) · AMBP (Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.) · SLGN (Silgan Holdings Inc.) · BALL (Ball Corporation)
Home Stocks GEF-B

Latest news

Latest News

MarketBeat50d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com50d agoEarnings
Investing.com South Africa50d agoEarnings
The Motley Fool57d agoEarnings
The Globe and Mail57d agoEarnings
MarketBeat57d agoEarnings
富途牛牛55d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance53d ago
MarketBeat60d ago
MarketBeat51d ago