Greif, Inc. Corporation (GEF-B) Stock Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $77.88 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.
Greif is a global industrial packaging producer with operations in 35+ countries across three segments: Global Industrial Packaging, Paper Packaging & Services, and Land Management. Revenue spans chemicals, food, petroleum, automotive, and other industries, with no single... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $77.88 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — Greif, Inc. Corporation
Latest news
- Greif Bros. (NYSE:GEF.B) Releases Earnings Results - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- Earnings Flash (GEF) Greif, Inc. Reports Q2 Revenue $1.07B, vs. FactSet Est of $1.10B - marketscreener.com — marketscreener.com negative
- Greif earnings up next: Can cost optimization offset demand headwinds? By Investing.com - Investing.com South Africa — Investing.com South Africa negative
- Greif earnings up next: Can cost optimization offset demand headwinds? By Investing.com - Investing.com India — Investing.com India neutral
- Greif earnings up next: Can cost optimization offset demand headwinds? - Investing.com — Investing.com neutral
Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMGeographicnon-U.S. operations37%10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 37% of our fiscal 2024 sales derived from non-U.S. operations'
- LOWGeographicRussia3.0%10-K Item 1A: 'our operations in Russia accounted for approximately 3% of our net sales, approximately 9% of our operating profit and approximately 2% of our total assets'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-05Item 1.02MEDIUMGreif terminated its Prior Credit Agreement on February 27, 2026, replaced in its entirety by a new Third Amended and Restated senior secured credit agreement with JPMorgan Chase Bank providing $800M revolving and $100M term loan facilities maturing February 27, 2031.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $77.88 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $72.86. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $86.54 (+11.1% upside). Prior stop was $72.86. Stop-loss: $72.86.
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).
Greif, Inc. Corporation trades at a P/E of 21.1 (forward 10.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
10 analysts cover GEF-B with a consensus score of 3.6/5.
What does Greif, Inc. Corporation do?Greif is a global industrial packaging producer with operations in 35+ countries across three segments: Global...
Greif is a global industrial packaging producer with operations in 35+ countries across three segments: Global Industrial Packaging, Paper Packaging & Services, and Land Management. Revenue spans chemicals, food, petroleum, automotive, and other industries, with no single customer considered principal to total operations.