Greif Inc. (GEF) Stock Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $70.72 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3).
Greif produces steel, fibre, and plastic industrial packaging (drums, IBCs, jerrycans) and paper packaging (containerboard, corrugated products, recycled paperboard) with operations in over 35 countries. The company serves cross-industry customers in chemicals, food, petroleum,... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $70.72 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-17Recent Developments — Greif Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Greif Commits to Science Based Targets Initiative and Releases 17th Annual Sustainability Report - GlobeNewswire — GlobeNewswire neutral
- NEWS Greif (NYSE:GEF) Issues Quarterly Earnings Results - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Earnings Flash (GEF) Greif, Inc. Posts Q2 Adjusted EPS $1.10 per Share, vs. FactSet Est of $1.07 - marketscreener.com — marketscreener.com positive
- NEWS Greif (GEF) Q1 2026 Earnings Transcript - The Motley Fool — The Motley Fool neutral
- NEWS Greif (GEF) Q1 2026 Earnings Transcript - The Globe and Mail — The Globe and Mail neutral
Generated 2026-06-17T09:02:26Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMGeographicnon-U.S. operations37%10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 37% of our fiscal 2024 sales derived from non-U.S. operations'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-14Item 1.01MEDIUMOn May 11, 2026, Greif's U.S. subsidiaries entered into a Fourth Amended and Restated Transfer and Administration Agreement with PNC Bank as agent, replacing the existing $275 million Receivables Facility with a new $200 million facility.SEC filing →
- 2026-05-14Item 1.02MEDIUMExisting Transfer and Administration Agreement providing a $275 million receivables facility terminated May 11, 2026, replaced in its entirety by the Fourth Amended TAA with PNC Bank providing a $200 million facility. No default cited.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $70.72 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $67.10. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $69.40 (-1.0% upside). Prior stop was $67.10. Stop-loss: $67.10.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (3); Overbought (RSI 77).
Greif Inc. trades at a P/E of 28.7 (forward 15.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
10 analysts cover GEF with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $76.
What does Greif Inc. do?Greif produces steel, fibre, and plastic industrial packaging (drums, IBCs, jerrycans) and paper packaging...
Greif produces steel, fibre, and plastic industrial packaging (drums, IBCs, jerrycans) and paper packaging (containerboard, corrugated products, recycled paperboard) with operations in over 35 countries. The company serves cross-industry customers in chemicals, food, petroleum, and automotive with no single principal customer. Approximately 14,000 employees work globally, with 38% represented by labor unions.