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KMTKennametal Inc.Hold6.3·$35.97+2.83%
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Kennametal Inc. (KMT) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Industrials · Tools & Accessories

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $35.97, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

OVERVIEW With more than 85 years of materials expertise, Kennametal Inc. (the Company) is a global industrial technology leader, that helps customers across the General Engineering, Transportation, Earthworks, Energy and Aerospace & Defense end markets build their products with... Read more

$35.97+0.9% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#1 of 8 Tools & Accessories
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.81%
IncomeYield2.29%(5y avg 3.00%)Payout44.94%sustainable
Stop $33.41Target $36.26(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$37.64+4.7%7 analysts
$36.26our TP
$35.97price
$37.64mean
$33
$48

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $35.97, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings estimates trending DOWN. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings estimates trending DOWN

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.7
P/E (Fwd)9.0
Mkt Cap$2.7B
EV/EBITDA9.2
Profit Mgn6.4%
ROE10.8%
Rev Growth21.8%
Beta1.37
Dividend2.29%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.43bullish
IV63%elevated
Max Pain$55+52.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.9
Support Resistance
2.0
Gap
5.0
52w Position
6.5
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $31.71Resistance $37.00

Price Targets

$33
$36
A.Upside+0.8%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KMT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $35.97, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings estimates trending DOWN. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $36.26 (+0.8%), stop $33.41 (−7.7%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KMT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $36.26 (+0.9% upside). Target $36.26 (+0.8%), stop $33.41 (−7.7%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Stop-loss: $33.41.

What are the risks of investing in KMT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

Is KMT overvalued or undervalued?

Kennametal Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.7 (forward 9.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about KMT?

15 analysts cover KMT with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $38.

What does Kennametal Inc. do?OVERVIEW With more than 85 years of materials expertise, Kennametal Inc. (the Company) is a global industrial...

OVERVIEW With more than 85 years of materials expertise, Kennametal Inc. (the Company) is a global industrial technology leader, that helps customers across the General Engineering, Transportation, Earthworks, Energy and Aerospace & Defense end markets build their products with precision and efficiency. The Company was founded based on a tungsten carbide technology breakthrough in 1938 and was incorporated in Pennsylvania in 1943 as a manufacturer of tungsten carbide metal cutting tooling.

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