Skip to main content
KMTKennametal Inc.Hold6.4·$35.23+1.06%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Three consecutive earnings beats, industry-leading growth near 22% per year, a near-perfect balance-sheet health score, and attractive forward valuation present strong fundamental credentials, but the stock trading above its analyst price target with estimates declining over the past month makes the near-term entry unattractive until the risk/reward resets.

Thesis pillars

  • Near Perfect Balance Sheet HealthStable
  • Earnings Beat Streak ExecutionStable
  • Growth At Reasonable ValuationStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Kennametal Inc. (KMT) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Tools & Accessories

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $35.23, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

OVERVIEW With more than 85 years of materials expertise, Kennametal Inc. (the Company) is a global industrial technology leader, that helps customers across the General Engineering, Transportation, Earthworks, Energy and Aerospace & Defense end markets build their products with... Read more

$35.23-13.9% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#1 of 8 Tools & Accessories
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.79%
IncomeYield2.29%(5y avg 3.00%)Payout44.94%sustainable
Stop $32.83Target $35.38(resistance)A.R:R -1.6:1
Analyst target$34.86-1.1%7 analysts
$35.38our TP
$35.23price
$34.86mean
$31
$39

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $35.23, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26

Recent Developments — Kennametal Inc.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Jun 30, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Departure of Directors or Principal Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Principal Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On June 30, 2026, the Board of Directors (the "Board") of Kennametal Inc.

Generated 2026-07-26T08:02:04Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202610d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.6
P/E (Fwd)9.2
Mkt Cap$2.7B
EV/EBITDA9.3
Profit Mgn6.4%
ROE10.8%
Rev Growth21.8%
Beta1.35
Dividend2.29%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.17bearish
IV64%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-30Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Departure of Directors or Principal Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Principal Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On June 30, 2026, the Board of Directors (the "Board") of Kennametal Inc.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
2.0
Support Resistance
2.2
Gap
5.0
52w Position
6.2
GatesA.R:R -1.6=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentEARNINGS PROXIMITY 10d<=14d (soft)Momentum 7.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $32.12Resistance $36.10

Price Targets

$33
$35
A.Upside-13.9%
A.R:R-1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (10d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KMT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $35.23, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $35.38 (+0.4%), stop $32.83 (−7.3%), A.R:R -1.6:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KMT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.38 (-13.9% upside). Target $35.38 (+0.4%), stop $32.83 (−7.3%), A.R:R -1.6:1. Stop-loss: $32.83.

What are the risks of investing in KMT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is KMT overvalued or undervalued?

Kennametal Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.6 (forward 9.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about KMT?

15 analysts cover KMT with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $35.

What does Kennametal Inc. do?OVERVIEW With more than 85 years of materials expertise, Kennametal Inc. (the Company) is a global industrial...

OVERVIEW With more than 85 years of materials expertise, Kennametal Inc. (the Company) is a global industrial technology leader, that helps customers across the General Engineering, Transportation, Earthworks, Energy and Aerospace & Defense end markets build their products with precision and efficiency. The Company was founded based on a tungsten carbide technology breakthrough in 1938 and was incorporated in Pennsylvania in 1943 as a manufacturer of tungsten carbide metal cutting tooling.

Related stocks: LECO (Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.) · RBC (RBC Bearings Incorporated) · SNA (Snap-On Incorporated) · HLMN (Hillman Solutions Corp.) · TTC (Toro Company (The))
Home Stocks KMT

Latest news

Latest News

MSN88d ago
Yahoo Finance88d agoEarnings
MarketBeat88d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance88d ago
Moomoo60d ago
MarketBeat101d ago
Yahoo Finance102d ago
Qz.com102d ago
StockStory81d ago
MarketBeat81d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com81d agoEarnings
Kavout52d ago
Investing.com India53d ago
Yahoo Finance103d ago
MSN75d ago
TradingView82d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance59d ago
MSN59d ago
MarketBeat59d ago
Simplywall.st101d ago
Loading more...