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KKRKKR & Co. Inc.Sell4.5·$93.84+1.38%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

KKR's attractively priced earnings power — a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 13.3x and a price-to-earnings-to-growth ratio of 0.53 — and a three-out-of-four recent earnings beat streak are compelling in isolation, but are currently offset by 7% revenue contraction, a confirmed downtrend below the 200-day moving average, and a put/call ratio of 3.18 reflecting broad bearish positioning.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Peg DiscountStable
  • Earnings Beat Track RecordStable
  • Revenue Contraction HeadwindStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

KKR & Co. Inc. (KKR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $93.84 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown.

KKR manages $744 billion in assets under management across Asset Management, Insurance, and Strategic Holdings segments, spanning private equity, real assets, credit, capital markets, and insurance through its Global Atlantic subsidiary. Revenue comes from management fees ($4.1... Read more

$93.84+20.4% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#217 of 240 Asset Management
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield0.80%(5y avg 0.83%)Payout25.17%sustainable
Stop $87.27Target $112.98(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst target$125.53+33.8%19 analysts
$112.98our TP
$93.84price
$125.53mean
$153

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $93.84 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 27d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About KKR & Co. Inc.

About KKR & Co. Inc.

KKR managed $744 billion in assets under management at December 31, 2025, across Credit and Liquid Strategies ($322 billion), Private Equity ($229 billion), and Real Assets ($192 billion), with Global Atlantic contributing $219 billion from insurance operations. Management fees totaled $4.1 billion in 2025 and the capital markets business generated $930 million in transaction fees. The firm employed approximately 4,200 asset management and insurance staff across 36 global offices on four continents.

KKR generates fee income through management fees ranging from 0.4% to 2.0% of capital depending on strategy and vehicle type, carried interest representing a specified percentage of investment gains on third-party capital, and capital markets fees for debt and equity underwriting, syndication, and advisory services. The insurance segment — operated through Global Atlantic — provides retirement and life insurance solutions and requires significant regulatory capital and active asset-liability management to support long-duration policyholder obligations that must be met regardless of investment performance. Approximately 92% of total AUM carries capital with a duration of at least eight years at inception or is perpetual capital, insulating fee revenue from redemption cycles. Credit and Liquid Strategies AUM grew from $7 billion in asset-based finance at December 31, 2020 to $85 billion by December 31, 2025. KKR and its employees have approximately $30 billion invested in or committed to the firm's own funds and portfolio companies.

Show full overview

Global Atlantic's insurance subsidiaries face regulatory capital requirements and rating agency capital expectations that could require KKR to contribute additional capital if asset-liability management disappoints, since insurance obligations are contractual and must be honored regardless of investment returns — a structural difference from the asset management segment. The 10-K also notes that arrangements with a limited number of financial intermediaries could concentrate counterparty default risk: if such a counterparty defaults, particularly a major investment bank, the company could be materially affected.

See also: Financial Services · Asset Management

From KKR & Co. Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202627d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
No bear case signals

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.9
P/E (Fwd)12.7
Mkt Cap$87.5B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn11.7%
ROE7.7%
Rev Growth-6.6%
Beta1.79
Dividend0.80%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.80neutral
IV51%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductGlobal Atlantic insurance
    10-K Item 1: 'we managed $744 billion of assets under management, of which $219 billion comes from Global Atlantic'
  • MEDIUMcounterpartylimited number of counterparties
    10-K Item 1A: 'We may enter into financial arrangements with a limited number of counterparties, which has the effect of concentrating the transaction volume'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-29Item 5.02LOW
    On May 29, 2026, 11 incumbent KKR directors were re-elected to the Board by KKR Management LLP, including Co-CEOs Joseph Y. Bae and Scott C. Nuttall. All were already serving at time of election. No departures noted.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -6.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.9
Declining revenue: -7%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.5
Quality Rank
3.3
Value Rank
4.8

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.5
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
2.1
Rsi
4.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.9%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 27d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $88.23Resistance $101.05

Price Targets

$87
$113
A.Upside+20.4%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Red flag in news: 'bankruptcy'
! momentum at 3.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (27d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KKR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $93.84 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $87.27. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KKR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $112.98 (+20.4% upside). Prior stop was $87.27. Stop-loss: $87.27.

Is KKR overvalued or undervalued?

KKR & Co. Inc. trades at a P/E of 31.9 (forward 12.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KKR?

26 analysts cover KKR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $126.

What does KKR & Co. Inc. do?KKR manages $744 billion in assets under management across Asset Management, Insurance, and Strategic Holdings...

KKR manages $744 billion in assets under management across Asset Management, Insurance, and Strategic Holdings segments, spanning private equity, real assets, credit, capital markets, and insurance through its Global Atlantic subsidiary. Revenue comes from management fees ($4.1 billion in 2025), carried interest on investment gains, and capital markets transaction fees ($930 million in 2025). The firm employs approximately 4,200 asset management and insurance staff across 36 global offices.

Related stocks: AMP (Ameriprise Financial, Inc.) · SEIC (SEI Investments Company) · RJF (Raymond James Financial, Inc.) · BLK (BlackRock, Inc.) · BEN (Franklin Resources, Inc.)
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