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JLLJones Lang LaSalle IncorporatedHold6.0·$325.45+1.90%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Four straight earnings beats averaging over 10% upside surprise point to a business with consistent execution, yet below-average free cash flow conversion and a confirmed death cross leave the setup mixed — the risk/reward favors patience over a new entry.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak DisciplineStable
  • Economic Moat Quality FranchiseStable
  • Favorable Risk Reward GeometryStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated (JLL) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Real Estate · Real Estate Services

Earnings in 5 days (2026-07-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $325.45, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 4.3%; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL) provides commercial real estate services — leasing, property management, project management, capital markets, and investment management — in over 80 countries, generating $26.1 billion in revenue for 2025 with more than 113,000 employees. The company... Read more

$325.45+4.3% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#6 of 19 Real Estate Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.84%
Stop $304.93Target $339.56(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$390.30+19.9%10 analysts
$339.56our TP
$325.45price
$390.30mean
$306
$455

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $325.45, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 4.3%; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.3%
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.5
P/E (Fwd)12.3
Mkt Cap$15.1B
EV/EBITDA11.8
Profit Mgn3.3%
ROE12.4%
Rev Growth11.1%
Beta1.27
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.12bearish
IV45%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.1
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $303.88Resistance $338.75

Price Targets

$305
$340
A.Upside+4.3%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JLL stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $325.45, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 4.3%; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $339.56 (+4.3%), stop $304.93 (−6.7%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the JLL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $339.56 (+4.3% upside). Target $339.56 (+4.3%), stop $304.93 (−6.7%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Stop-loss: $304.93.

What are the risks of investing in JLL?

Thin upside margin: 4.3%; Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Negative momentum.

Is JLL overvalued or undervalued?

Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated trades at a P/E of 17.5 (forward 12.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about JLL?

16 analysts cover JLL with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $390.

What does Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated do?Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL) provides commercial real estate services — leasing, property management, project management,...

Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL) provides commercial real estate services — leasing, property management, project management, capital markets, and investment management — in over 80 countries, generating $26.1 billion in revenue for 2025 with more than 113,000 employees. The company earns fees tied to transaction values, managed square footage (~2.9 billion sq ft), and investment management AUM ($86.4 billion), complemented by servicing a $140.3 billion loan portfolio.

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