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JLLJones Lang LaSalle IncorporatedSell6.1·$359.79-0.69%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Four straight earnings beats averaging over 10% upside surprise point to a business with consistent execution, yet below-average free cash flow conversion and a confirmed death cross leave the setup mixed — the risk/reward favors patience over a new entry.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak DisciplineStable
  • Economic Moat Quality FranchiseStable
  • Favorable Risk Reward GeometryImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated (JLL) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Real Estate · Real Estate Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $359.79 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4).

Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL) provides commercial real estate services — leasing, property management, project management, capital markets, and investment management — in over 80 countries, generating $26.1 billion in revenue for 2025 with more than 113,000 employees. The company... Read more

$359.79+2.8% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#4 of 18 Real Estate Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield9.00%
Stop $336.79Target $370.01(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$425.30+18.2%10 analysts
$370.01our TP
$359.79price
$425.30mean
$315
$500

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $359.79 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 60d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202660d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Wide economic moat
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4)
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.8
P/E (Fwd)12.8
Mkt Cap$16.7B
EV/EBITDA11.6
Profit Mgn3.6%
ROE13.5%
Rev Growth10.8%
Beta1.24
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV39%normal
Max Pain$490+36.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 60d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $347.21Resistance $393.84

Price Targets

$337
$370
A.Upside+2.8%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.8% upside)
! momentum at 2.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (60d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JLL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $359.79 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $336.79. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the JLL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $370.01 (+2.8% upside). Prior stop was $336.79. Stop-loss: $336.79.

What are the risks of investing in JLL?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Is JLL overvalued or undervalued?

Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated trades at a P/E of 16.8 (forward 12.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about JLL?

16 analysts cover JLL with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $425.

What does Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated do?Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL) provides commercial real estate services — leasing, property management, project management,...

Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL) provides commercial real estate services — leasing, property management, project management, capital markets, and investment management — in over 80 countries, generating $26.1 billion in revenue for 2025 with more than 113,000 employees. The company earns fees tied to transaction values, managed square footage (~2.9 billion sq ft), and investment management AUM ($86.4 billion), complemented by servicing a $140.3 billion loan portfolio.

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