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JBSJBS N.V.Sell5.9·$13.12-3.10%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

An attractively valued franchise trading at a forward price-to-earnings multiple of 7.4 times with 43.6% implied upside to the analyst target is constrained by business quality that falls just short of the minimum threshold, most critically evidenced by free cash flow at only 23% of reported net income—a gap that calls into question the reliability of stated profits.

Thesis pillars

  • Fcf Earnings Quality Red FlagStable
  • Deep Value Large Analyst UpsideStable
  • Quality Below Minimum ThresholdImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

JBS N.V. (JBS) Stock Analysis

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.12: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 3.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

JBS N.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the processing of animal proteins, encompassing activities related to beef, pork, lamb, and poultry worldwide. The company is involved in the production and marketing of prepared foods and other related products, as well as... Read more

$13.12+21.8% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#8 of 34 Packaged Foods
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.85%
IncomeYield9.91%(5y avg 6.98%)Payout93.46%at-risk
Stop $12.32Target $16.00(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.2:1
Analyst target$18.39+40.2%14 analysts
$16.00our TP
$13.12price
$18.39mean
$21

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.12: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 3.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 66d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 9, 202666d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.6
P/E (Fwd)9.6
Mkt Cap$14.1B
EV/EBITDA6.7
Profit Mgn1.2%
ROE13.4%
Rev Growth13.8%
Beta
Dividend9.91%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.57bullish
IV50%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
2.2
Volume
3.1
Rsi
3.5
Ma Position
4.2
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.5%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Dividend Safety
4.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.6
Operating Margin
1.2
Roa
3.3
Roe
4.5
Moat
5.4
Current Ratio
5.6
Fcf Quality
5.6
Piotroski F
7.8
Earnings quality warning: 74% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R 3.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 66d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $12.70Resistance $14.35

Price Targets

$12
$16
A.Upside+21.8%
A.R:R3.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-09 (66d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JBS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.12: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 3.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $12.32. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the JBS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $16.00 (+21.8% upside). Prior stop was $12.32. Stop-loss: $12.32.

What are the risks of investing in JBS?

Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is JBS overvalued or undervalued?

JBS N.V. trades at a P/E of 12.6 (forward 9.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about JBS?

16 analysts cover JBS with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $18.

What does JBS N.V. do?JBS N.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the processing of animal proteins, encompassing activities related...

JBS N.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the processing of animal proteins, encompassing activities related to beef, pork, lamb, and poultry worldwide. The company is involved in the production and marketing of prepared foods and other related products, as well as operations in leather, collagen, hygiene and beauty products, metal packaging, biodiesel, and other related businesses. It offers its products under the Seara, Doriana, Pilgrim's, Moy Park, Primo, Friboi, Maturatta, Swift, Ozo, Adaptable Meals, and other brand names. The company was founded in 1953 and is based in Amstelveen, the Netherlands.

Related stocks: SENEB (Seneca Foods Corp.) · DAR (Darling Ingredients Inc.) · SFD (Smithfield Foods, Inc.) · MZTI (The Marzetti Company) · SJM (The J.M. Smucker Company)
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