Itron has beaten consensus EPS in each of the last 4 quarters by an average of roughly 15%, and the stock screens attractively valued at a forward P/E of 12.3x with a PEG below 1.0, leaving approximately 37% potential upside to the analyst-based target. However, a confirmed technical downtrend with a moving-average death cross, declining revenue, and an elevated put/call ratio of 2.00 currently block actionable entry despite the compelling potential reward.
Thesis pillars
- Attractive Valuation With Upside↑Improving
- Consistent Earnings Outperformance↑Improving
- Confirmed Technical Downtrend Hard Block↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Itron, Inc. (ITRI) Stock Analysis
Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $96.15, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: limited or sole-source vendors; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.
Itron supplies grid edge intelligence hardware, software, and services to electric, gas, and water utilities and municipalities across four segments: Device Solutions, Networked Solutions, Outcomes, and Resiliency Solutions. Revenue spans one-time product sales and multi-year... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $96.15, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: limited or sole-source vendors; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 54d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.
About Itron, Inc.
About Itron, Inc.
Itron's total backlog reached $4.5 billion at December 31, 2025, with $2.1 billion in new bookings during the year and no single customer exceeding 10% of total revenues. The company operates four segments—Device Solutions, Networked Solutions, Outcomes, and Resiliency Solutions (added Q4 2025)—with 5,550 employees and R&D spending of approximately $207 million, representing 9% of total revenues in 2025.
Itron sells hardware meters (Device Solutions), complete AMI and AMR network solutions combining smart endpoints and infrastructure (Networked Solutions), analytics and managed services that turn meter data into operational insights (Outcomes), and machine-learning-augmented infrastructure safety and resiliency services (Resiliency Solutions, created via the 2025 acquisition of Urbint, Inc.). Revenue spans standalone product sales and multi-year managed services or SaaS/NaaS contracts, serving electric, gas, and water utilities plus municipalities. Smaller utilities and municipalities are typically served through indirect channels including distributors, agents, and partners. Circuit boards and key subassemblies are procured from limited or sole-source vendors, which if disrupted could impair product deliveries and damage customer relationships. Primary named competitors include LM Ericsson Telephone Company, Landis+Gyr, Advanced Energy Industries, and Xylem, Inc.
Show full overview
The sole-source dependency in circuit boards and key subassemblies represents a fulfillment risk the 10-K addresses across multiple sections: qualifying a replacement vendor if a sole-source supplier fails could be complex, costly, and time-consuming. The semiconductor supply imbalance that disrupted customer deliveries in recent years is explicitly cited in the 2025 filing as a recurring exposure, noting that temporary supply-demand imbalances may create delivery delays and shift revenues originally forecasted in prior periods into future periods. With $1.6 billion in 12-month backlog at December 31, 2025, any sustained supply disruption could weigh on near-term revenue recognition.
See also: Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments
From Itron, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-04Recent Developments — Itron, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Itron, Inc. 2026 Q1 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NASDAQ:ITRI) 2026-04-28 - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha neutral
- NEWS Why Itron Stock Soared 26% Higher Today - The Motley Fool — The Motley Fool positive
- NEWS Why Itron Stock Soared 26% Higher Today - The Globe and Mail — The Globe and Mail positive
- NEWS ITRI Stock Jumps As Traders Eye Q2 Earnings Call - StocksToTrade — StocksToTrade positive
- NEWS Itron Stock Rallies 19.3% as Q2 2026 Stock Surges 19% - AlphaStreet — AlphaStreet positive
Generated 2026-09-04T13:22:02Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomer10 largest customers32%10-K Item 1: 'Our 10 largest customers in each of the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024, and 2023, accounted for approximately 32%, 33%, and 36% of total revenues.'
- HIGHSupplierlimited or sole-source vendors10-K Item 1: 'certain components and raw materials are supplied by limited or sole-source vendors'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -7.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $96.15, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: limited or sole-source vendors; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $112.75 (+17.3%), stop $91.64 (−4.9%), A.R:R 3.2:1. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $112.75 (+18.0% upside). Target $112.75 (+17.3%), stop $91.64 (−4.9%), A.R:R 3.2:1. Stop-loss: $91.64.
Concentration risk — Supplier: limited or sole-source vendors; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Weak overall score: 4.8/10.
Itron, Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.1 (forward 13.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Hold.
20 analysts cover ITRI with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $130.
What does Itron, Inc. do?Itron supplies grid edge intelligence hardware, software, and services to electric, gas, and water utilities and...
Itron supplies grid edge intelligence hardware, software, and services to electric, gas, and water utilities and municipalities across four segments: Device Solutions, Networked Solutions, Outcomes, and Resiliency Solutions. Revenue spans one-time product sales and multi-year managed services and SaaS contracts, with 5,550 employees and $4.5 billion in total backlog at December 31, 2025.