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ITRIItron, Inc.Hold5.2·$81.10+0.48%
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Itron, Inc. (ITRI) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $81.10, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Weak growth; Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Itron provides smart grid, energy/water management, and city services technology through four segments (Device Solutions, Networked Solutions, Outcomes, Resiliency Solutions), serving electric, gas, and water utilities globally. No single customer exceeded 10% of revenue in... Read more

$81.10+35.9% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#12 of 14 Scientific & Technical Instruments
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield8.41%
Stop $75.76Target $110.23(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.5:1
Analyst target$126.70+56.2%10 analysts
$110.23our TP
$81.10price
$126.70mean
$145

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $81.10, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Weak growth; Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Itron, Inc.

About Itron, Inc.

Itron's total backlog reached $4.5 billion at December 31, 2025, with $2.1 billion in new bookings during the year and no single customer exceeding 10% of total revenues. The company operates four segments—Device Solutions, Networked Solutions, Outcomes, and Resiliency Solutions (added Q4 2025)—with 5,550 employees and R&D spending of approximately $207 million, representing 9% of total revenues in 2025.

Itron sells hardware meters (Device Solutions), complete AMI and AMR network solutions combining smart endpoints and infrastructure (Networked Solutions), analytics and managed services that turn meter data into operational insights (Outcomes), and machine-learning-augmented infrastructure safety and resiliency services (Resiliency Solutions, created via the 2025 acquisition of Urbint, Inc.). Revenue spans standalone product sales and multi-year managed services or SaaS/NaaS contracts, serving electric, gas, and water utilities plus municipalities. Smaller utilities and municipalities are typically served through indirect channels including distributors, agents, and partners. Circuit boards and key subassemblies are procured from limited or sole-source vendors, which if disrupted could impair product deliveries and damage customer relationships. Primary named competitors include LM Ericsson Telephone Company, Landis+Gyr, Advanced Energy Industries, and Xylem, Inc.

Show full overview

The sole-source dependency in circuit boards and key subassemblies represents a fulfillment risk the 10-K addresses across multiple sections: qualifying a replacement vendor if a sole-source supplier fails could be complex, costly, and time-consuming. The semiconductor supply imbalance that disrupted customer deliveries in recent years is explicitly cited in the 2025 filing as a recurring exposure, noting that temporary supply-demand imbalances may create delivery delays and shift revenues originally forecasted in prior periods into future periods. With $1.6 billion in 12-month backlog at December 31, 2025, any sustained supply disruption could weigh on near-term revenue recognition.

See also: Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments

From Itron, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Weak growth
Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.9
P/E (Fwd)12.3
Mkt Cap$3.6B
EV/EBITDA12.4
Profit Mgn12.3%
ROE18.6%
Rev Growth-3.3%
Beta1.33
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.94neutral
IV56%elevated
Max Pain$50-38.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertop 10 customers32%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our 10 largest customers in each of the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024, and 2023, accounted for approximately 32%, 33%, and 36% of total revenues.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -3.3% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
1.7
Declining revenue: -3%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.7
Quality Rank
5.0
Value Rank
8.6
Attractive P/E vs peers
GatesMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.0>=4.5A.R:R 5.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $77.77Resistance $86.77

Price Targets

$76
$110
A.Upside+35.9%
A.R:R5.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ITRI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $81.10, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Weak growth; Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $110.23 (+35.9%), stop $75.76 (−7.0%), A.R:R 5.5:1. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ITRI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $110.23 (+35.9% upside). Target $110.23 (+35.9%), stop $75.76 (−7.0%), A.R:R 5.5:1. Stop-loss: $75.76.

What are the risks of investing in ITRI?

Weak growth; Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is ITRI overvalued or undervalued?

Itron, Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.9 (forward 12.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ITRI?

20 analysts cover ITRI with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $127.

What does Itron, Inc. do?Itron provides smart grid, energy/water management, and city services technology through four segments (Device...

Itron provides smart grid, energy/water management, and city services technology through four segments (Device Solutions, Networked Solutions, Outcomes, Resiliency Solutions), serving electric, gas, and water utilities globally. No single customer exceeded 10% of revenue in 2025; total backlog was $4.5B with top 10 customers representing ~32% of total revenues.

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