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IRMIron Mountain Incorporated (DelBuy Wait5.4·$117.16-3.89%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Iron Mountain is posting 22% year-over-year revenue growth with three consecutive earnings beats, but free cash flow is negative, the stock has nearly reached near-term resistance with only 0.8% headroom, and a potentially uncovered dividend yield creates a yield-trap risk for income-seeking investors.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Revenue Growth TrajectoryStable
  • Negative Free Cash Flow Red FlagStable
  • Stock At Near Term ResistanceStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Iron Mountain Incorporated (Del (IRM) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Specialty

Wait for pullback to $112.65. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $117.16. Engine's entry $112.65 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Expensive valuation.

Iron Mountain manages physical records, digital assets, and IT equipment for over 240,000 customers across 61 countries, generating approximately $6.9 billion in annual revenue in 2025. The S&P 500 REIT earns recurring rental fees from storage (over 740 million cubic feet) and... Read more

$117.16+17.2% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#7 of 16 REIT - Specialty
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-1.43%
IncomeYield2.95%(5y avg 3.91%)Payout358.48%
Entry $112.65(1 ATR pullback)Stop $104.76Target $131.99(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$133.00+13.5%11 analysts
$131.99our TP
$117.16price
$133.00mean
$44
$149

Wait for pullback to $112.65. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $117.16. Engine's entry $112.65 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Iron Mountain Incorporated (Del

About Iron Mountain Incorporated (Del

Iron Mountain stored over 740 million cubic feet of physical records and operated 488 MW of leased data center capacity — 97% occupied with a weighted average lease expiration of 10.3 years — as of December 31, 2025, across 31 data centers in 21 global markets either directly or through unconsolidated joint ventures. The company generated approximately $6.9 billion in annual revenue in 2025, serving 240,000 customers in 61 countries including roughly 95% of the Fortune 1000. An additional 852 MW is under construction or held for development.

Iron Mountain earns revenue across four reporting segments: Global Records and Information Management (physical records storage with contracted terms generally one to five years, plus shredding and data management services); Global Data Center (enterprise and hyperscale co-location, with five of the largest global hyperscalers among its customers); Corporate and Other (asset lifecycle management for IT hardware decommissioning and Fine Arts storage); and Global Digital Solutions (document digitization and information workflow software). Storage rental revenue is recurring and historically resilient to economic downturns, while records retrieval service revenue has been pressured by declining physical activity rates as customers migrate information to digital formats. The company incurred approximately $574.4 million in cumulative Project Matterhorn restructuring and transformation costs from inception through 2025. Competitors in records management tend to be regional, while data center competitors include numerous developers and operators across the same metropolitan markets.

Show full overview

Iron Mountain's data center expansion pipeline — 852 MW under construction or held for development against 488 MW of existing leasable capacity — requires substantial capital and exposes the company to rising construction costs, supply chain constraints, and tariff-related cost pressures that the 10-K explicitly identifies. The fixed-cost records storage base provides durable cash flow to fund construction, but the 10-K notes that customer digitization may shift revenue mix from predictable storage rental to more volatile service revenue over time, creating structural tension between the stable legacy business and the capital-intensive data center growth segment.

See also: Real Estate · REIT - Specialty

From Iron Mountain Incorporated (Del's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Expensive valuation
Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (12 sells, 0.04% of cap), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)126.0
P/E (Fwd)43.8
Mkt Cap$34.9B
EV/EBITDA22.3
Profit Mgn3.8%
ROE
Rev Growth21.6%
Beta1.22
Dividend2.95%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.41bullish
IV47%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5A.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $115.68Resistance $134.68

Price Targets

$105
$113
$132
A.Upside+12.7%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.2% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! momentum at 4.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IRM stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $112.65. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $117.16. Engine's entry $112.65 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $131.99 (+12.7%), stop $104.76 (−11.8%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IRM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $131.99 (+17.2% upside). Target $131.99 (+12.7%), stop $104.76 (−11.8%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Stop-loss: $104.76.

What are the risks of investing in IRM?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Expensive valuation; Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (12 sells, 0.04% of cap), Negative free cash flow.

Is IRM overvalued or undervalued?

Iron Mountain Incorporated (Del trades at a P/E of 126.0 (forward 43.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about IRM?

16 analysts cover IRM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $133.

What does Iron Mountain Incorporated (Del do?Iron Mountain manages physical records, digital assets, and IT equipment for over 240,000 customers across 61...

Iron Mountain manages physical records, digital assets, and IT equipment for over 240,000 customers across 61 countries, generating approximately $6.9 billion in annual revenue in 2025. The S&P 500 REIT earns recurring rental fees from storage (over 740 million cubic feet) and data center leases (488 MW capacity, 97% leased as of December 31, 2025), supplemented by shredding, ALM, and digital solutions services. No single customer accounts for more than approximately 3% of revenue.

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