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INFYInfosys LimitedSell5.3·$11.16+4.79%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Infosys carries genuine quality in its returns and margins — 31% return on equity, 16% net margins, and a Piotroski score of 7 out of 9 — but a confirmed death cross, price below the 200-day moving average with the slope falling at -4.1% per 30 days, a debt-to-equity ratio of 9.8, and soft growth with mostly in-line earnings delivery create a set of technical and fundamental headwinds that argue against adding capital until the trend reverses.

Thesis pillars

  • Elevated Leverage Reduces FlexibilityStable
  • Quality Metrics Despite HeadwindsStable
  • Confirmed Downtrend Death CrossStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Infosys Limited (INFY) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Technology · Information Technology Services

Sell if holding. At $11.16, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.8): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 9.8%.

Infosys Limited provides consulting, technology, outsourcing, and digital services worldwide. The company offers insight services, such as applied and generative AI, sustainability services, and Infosys Topaz, an AI-first set of services, solutions, and platforms; blockchain,... Read more

$11.16+9.8% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#29 of 46 Information Technology Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield7.02%
IncomeYield4.69%(5y avg 2.56%)Payout64.46%
Stop $10.38Target $12.25(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst target$14.08+26.2%12 analysts
$12.25our TP
$11.16price
$14.08mean
$18

Sell if holding. At $11.16, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.8): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 9.8%. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 20d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202620d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Risks
Thin upside margin: 9.8%
Leverage penalty (D/E 9.8): -1.5
Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.9
P/E (Fwd)12.6
Mkt Cap$45.2B
EV/EBITDA19.8
Profit Mgn16.4%
ROE31.4%
Rev Growth6.6%
Beta0.13
Dividend4.69%
Rating analysts49

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.33bearish
IV55%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.5>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 20d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $10.34Resistance $12.62

Price Targets

$10
$12
A.Upside+9.8%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (20d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is INFY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $11.16, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.8): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 9.8%. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $10.38. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

What is the INFY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.25 (+9.8% upside). Prior stop was $10.38. Stop-loss: $10.38.

What are the risks of investing in INFY?

Thin upside margin: 9.8%; Leverage penalty (D/E 9.8): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is INFY overvalued or undervalued?

Infosys Limited trades at a P/E of 13.9 (forward 12.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about INFY?

49 analysts cover INFY with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $14.

What does Infosys Limited do?Infosys Limited provides consulting, technology, outsourcing, and digital services worldwide. The company offers...

Infosys Limited provides consulting, technology, outsourcing, and digital services worldwide. The company offers insight services, such as applied and generative AI, sustainability services, and Infosys Topaz, an AI-first set of services, solutions, and platforms; blockchain, Internet of Things, and engineering services; cybersecurity and quality engineering services; and enterprise agile DevOps, API economy and microservices, application modernization, and digital process automation. It also provides digital supply chain, Microsoft business application services, Microsoft cloud business, Oracle, SAP, service experience transformation, Salesforce, energy transition, network transformation services, infrastructure services, global capability center, and Infosys Cobalt, a suite of services, solutions, and platforms. In addition, the company offers experience services, including digital marketing, digital commerce, digital interactions, digital workplace services, digital experience, metaverse, and Infosys Aster, a marketing suite; and EdgeVerve, Infosys Finacle, Infosys Live Enterprise Suite, Infosys Cortex, Infosys Meridian, Panaya, Infosys Equinox, Infosys Topaz Fabric, Infosys Wingspan, Infosys Helix, and Infosys Polycloud platforms. It serves aerospace and defense, agriculture, automotive, chemical manufacturing, communication services, consumer packaged goods, education, engineering procurement and construction, financial services, oil and gas, private equity, professional services, public sector, healthcare, high technology, industrial manufacturing, information services and publishing, insurance, life sciences, logistics and distribution, media, entertainment, mining, retail, semiconductor, travel and hospitality, utilities, and waste management industries. The company was formerly known as Infosys Technologies Limited and changed its name to Infosys Limited in June 2011. Infosys Limited was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Bengaluru, India.

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