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Ingram Micro Holding Corporatio (INGM) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Information Technology Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $25.56: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality.

Ingram Micro is a leading global IT distributor operating in four geographic segments (North America, EMEA, Asia-Pacific, Latin America), distributing products from approximately 1,500 vendor partners to over 165,000 resellers across 57 countries. Approximately 66% of 2025 net... Read more

$25.56+6.6% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#12 of 34 Information Technology Services
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield9.48%
IncomeYield1.26%Payout20.79%sustainable
Stop $24.41Target $27.27(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$31.35+22.6%13 analysts
$27.27our TP
$25.56price
$31.35mean
$36

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $25.56: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Ingram Micro Holding Corporatio

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 3.2), Material insider selling (25 sells, 2.36% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.9
P/E (Fwd)7.0
Mkt Cap$5.9B
EV/EBITDA7.3
Profit Mgn0.7%
ROE8.9%
Rev Growth13.7%
Beta
Dividend1.26%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.10bullish
IV58%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.3
Operating Margin
0.7
Roa
2.1
Roe
3.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
4.9
Moat
4.9
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 157% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesA.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotMomentum 4.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.5>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
23 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $25.16Resistance $31.24

Price Targets

$24
$27
A.Upside+6.7%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 3.2), Material insider selling (25 sells, 2.36% of cap)
! Reward/Risk 0.7:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is INGM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $25.56: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $24.41. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the INGM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $27.27 (+6.6% upside). Prior stop was $24.41. Stop-loss: $24.41.

What are the risks of investing in INGM?

Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 3.2), Material insider selling (25 sells, 2.36% of cap).

Is INGM overvalued or undervalued?

Ingram Micro Holding Corporatio trades at a P/E of 16.9 (forward 7.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about INGM?

20 analysts cover INGM with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $31.

What does Ingram Micro Holding Corporatio do?Ingram Micro is a leading global IT distributor operating in four geographic segments (North America, EMEA,...

Ingram Micro is a leading global IT distributor operating in four geographic segments (North America, EMEA, Asia-Pacific, Latin America), distributing products from approximately 1,500 vendor partners to over 165,000 resellers across 57 countries. Approximately 66% of 2025 net sales were from international operations; Apple represented 21% of consolidated net sales in FY2025. The company operates the Xvantage B2B digital platform and had approximately 22,200 full-time associates as of December 27, 2025.

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