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EPAMEPAM Systems, Inc.Sell5.5·$92.21-3.32%
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EPAM Systems, Inc. (EPAM) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Technology · Information Technology Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $92.21 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 8.4): -1.5; Concentration risk — Geographic: Ukraine and Belarus.

EPAM Systems is a global IT services and digital engineering company providing software development, cloud, AI, cybersecurity, data analytics and consulting across financial services, hi-tech, consumer, media and life sciences verticals, with approximately 62,850 employees in... Read more

$92.21+42.9% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#14 of 34 Information Technology Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield13.91%
Stop $87.03Target $132.04(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 4.0:1
Analyst target$146.71+59.1%17 analysts
$132.04our TP
$92.21price
$146.71mean
$235

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $92.21 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 8.4): -1.5; Concentration risk — Geographic: Ukraine and Belarus. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About EPAM Systems, Inc.

About EPAM Systems, Inc.

EPAM Systems deployed 56,600 delivery professionals across its global network in 2025, with India (12,200 delivery professionals) its largest center, followed by Ukraine (8,750), Poland (5,050), Belarus (3,400), and Mexico (2,950). Overall headcount reached 62,850 employees by December 31, 2025, up from 53,150 at end of 2023. Client utilization of delivery staff was 76.8% in 2025, with top-five clients representing 13.7% of revenues — a share the company expects to decline over the long-term as it diversifies its client base.

EPAM earns revenue through time-based and fixed-price contracts for software engineering, cloud consulting, data analytics, and customer experience design across five main client verticals: financial services, consumer goods and travel, software and hi-tech, business information and media, and life sciences and healthcare. The company competes against large global consulting and outsourcing firms as well as offshore IT services providers in other low-cost destinations. Client concentration is declining: top-five client share fell from 16.6% in 2023 to 13.7% in 2025, and top-ten share from 23.6% to 21.6% over the same period. Voluntary attrition ran at 8.5% in 2025, and 2.6 million employee learning hours were delivered that year. Revenue concentration among repeat clients is high, with 64.4% of 2025 revenues from clients of five or more years and 35.7% from clients of ten or more years.

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As of December 31, 2025, approximately 14,100 of EPAM's global delivery, administrative, and support personnel were based in Ukraine and Belarus — both involved in or affected by Russia's invasion of Ukraine since February 24, 2022. The company owns an office building in Kyiv and leases space in multiple Ukrainian cities that could be damaged or destroyed. Some clients have already implemented steps to block internet communications with Ukraine and Belarus, seeking altered delivery locations or reduced contract scope. If prolonged conflict requires further rebalancing of geographic concentrations, the 10-K acknowledges the effect on personnel, operations, and financial results could be material.

See also: Technology · Information Technology Services

From EPAM Systems, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 43%
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Ukraine and Belarus
Leverage penalty (D/E 8.4): -1.5
Earnings estimates trending DOWN

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.7
P/E (Fwd)6.8
Mkt Cap$5.0B
EV/EBITDA5.8
Profit Mgn7.0%
ROE10.9%
Rev Growth7.6%
Beta1.40
DividendNone
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.83neutral
IV76%elevated
Max Pain$180+95.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicUkraine and Belarus
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 14,100 of our global delivery, administrative and support personnel were based in Ukraine and Belarus, both of which are involved in or affected by Russia's invasion of Ukraine.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-01Item 5.02LOW
    EPAM Board approved a $3,000,000 RSU grant to Viktar Dvorkin (SVP, Global Head of Advanced Engineering) on March 31, 2026, vesting in equal thirds over three years as an incremental retention incentive.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.5
Macd
7.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 4.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $89.72Resistance $111.36

Price Targets

$87
$132
A.Upside+43.2%
A.R:R4.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EPAM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $92.21 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 8.4): -1.5; Concentration risk — Geographic: Ukraine and Belarus. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $87.03. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

What is the EPAM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $132.04 (+42.9% upside). Prior stop was $87.03. Stop-loss: $87.03.

What are the risks of investing in EPAM?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Ukraine and Belarus; Leverage penalty (D/E 8.4): -1.5; Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

Is EPAM overvalued or undervalued?

EPAM Systems, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.7 (forward 6.8). TrendMatrix value score: 9.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EPAM?

26 analysts cover EPAM with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $147.

What does EPAM Systems, Inc. do?EPAM Systems is a global IT services and digital engineering company providing software development, cloud, AI,...

EPAM Systems is a global IT services and digital engineering company providing software development, cloud, AI, cybersecurity, data analytics and consulting across financial services, hi-tech, consumer, media and life sciences verticals, with approximately 62,850 employees in 30+ countries. Revenue is primarily from North America and Western Europe; top 10 clients account for 21.6% of revenues, with India and Ukraine/Belarus as the largest delivery centers.

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