EPAM Systems, Inc. (EPAM) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Technology · Information Technology Services
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $112.42: Risk below floor (1.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 5.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.89; Negative price momentum.
EPAM Systems is a global provider of digital engineering, cloud and AI transformation services to enterprise clients, with delivery operations concentrated in Central/Eastern Europe, India and Latin America. Revenue is earned from project-based IT services, consulting and... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $112.42: Risk below floor (1.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 5.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.89; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 34, MACD bearish. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicUkraine and Belarus10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 14,100 of our global delivery, administrative and support personnel were based in Ukraine and Belarus'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-01Item 5.02LOWEPAM granted RSUs valued at $3,000,000 to Viktar Dvorkin, SVP Global Head of Advanced Engineering, effective March 31, 2026, as a retention incentive. No officer departure or new appointment; compensatory arrangement only.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $112.42: Risk below floor (1.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 5.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.89; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 34, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $106.41. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $168.51 (+50.1% upside). Prior stop was $106.41. Stop-loss: $106.41.
Concentration risk — Geographic: Ukraine and Belarus; Risk below floor (1.9 < 3.0).
EPAM Systems, Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.8 (forward 8.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
26 analysts cover EPAM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $187.
What does EPAM Systems, Inc. do?EPAM Systems is a global provider of digital engineering, cloud and AI transformation services to enterprise clients,...
EPAM Systems is a global provider of digital engineering, cloud and AI transformation services to enterprise clients, with delivery operations concentrated in Central/Eastern Europe, India and Latin America. Revenue is earned from project-based IT services, consulting and AI-enabled transformation engagements.