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INFYInfosys LimitedHold5.6·$11.48
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Infosys carries genuine quality in its returns and margins — 31% return on equity, 16% net margins, and a Piotroski score of 7 out of 9 — but a confirmed death cross, price below the 200-day moving average with the slope falling at -4.1% per 30 days, a debt-to-equity ratio of 9.8, and soft growth with mostly in-line earnings delivery create a set of technical and fundamental headwinds that argue against adding capital until the trend reverses.

Thesis pillars

  • Elevated Leverage Reduces Flexibility→Stable
  • Quality Metrics Despite Headwinds→Stable
  • Confirmed Downtrend Death Cross↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Infosys Limited (INFY) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldValueQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Information Technology Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.48, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Infosys Limited provides consulting, technology, outsourcing, and digital services worldwide. The company offers insight services, such as applied and generative AI, sustainability services, and Infosys Topaz, an AI-first set of services, solutions, and platforms; blockchain,... Read more

$11.48-11.6% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#23 of 44 Information Technology Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.81%
IncomeYield4.59%(5y avg 2.52%)Payout65.45%
Stop $10.72Target $13.20(default +15%)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$11.67+1.6%12 analysts
$13.20our TP
$11.48price
$11.67mean
$9
$14

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.48, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 69. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Oct 23, 20268d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.5 in RISK_OFF)
Positive news sentiment (+0.88)
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.2
P/E (Fwd)13.6
Mkt Cap$46.5B
EV/EBITDA20.3
Profit Mgn16.4%
ROE32.0%
Rev Growth2.9%
Beta0.12
Dividend4.59%
Rating analysts49

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.58bearish
IV54%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
52w Position
0.0
Support Resistance
2.3
Gap
5.0

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
3.1
Revenue Growth
3.2
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 8d<=14d (soft)Momentum 5.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
69 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $10.12Resistance $11.88

Price Targets

$11
$13
A.Upside-11.6%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.6% upside)
! News modifier +1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-23 (8d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is INFY stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.48, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 69. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $13.20 (+15.0%), stop $10.72 (−7.1%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the INFY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $13.20 (-11.6% upside). Target $13.20 (+15.0%), stop $10.72 (−7.1%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Stop-loss: $10.72.

What are the risks of investing in INFY?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Weak growth.

Is INFY overvalued or undervalued?

Infosys Limited trades at a P/E of 14.2 (forward 13.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about INFY?

49 analysts cover INFY with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $12.

What does Infosys Limited do?Infosys Limited provides consulting, technology, outsourcing, and digital services worldwide. The company offers...

Infosys Limited provides consulting, technology, outsourcing, and digital services worldwide. The company offers insight services, such as applied and generative AI, sustainability services, and Infosys Topaz, an AI-first set of services, solutions, and platforms; blockchain, Internet of Things, and engineering services; cybersecurity and quality engineering services; and enterprise agile DevOps, API economy and microservices, application modernization, and digital process automation. It also provides digital supply chain, Microsoft business application services, Microsoft cloud business, Oracle, SAP, service experience transformation, Salesforce, energy transition, network transformation services, infrastructure services, global capability center, and Infosys Cobalt, a suite of services, solutions, and platforms. In addition, the company offers experience services, including digital marketing, digital commerce, digital interactions, digital workplace services, digital experience, metaverse, and Infosys Aster, a marketing suite; and EdgeVerve, Infosys Finacle, Infosys Live Enterprise Suite, Infosys Cortex, Infosys Meridian, Panaya, Infosys Equinox, Infosys Topaz Fabric, Infosys Wingspan, Infosys Helix, and Infosys Polycloud platforms. It serves aerospace and defense, agriculture, automotive, chemical manufacturing, communication services, consumer packaged goods, education, engineering procurement and construction, financial services, oil and gas, private equity, professional services, public sector, healthcare, high technology, industrial manufacturing, information services and publishing, insurance, life sciences, logistics and distribution, media, entertainment, mining, retail, semiconductor, travel and hospitality, utilities, and waste management industries. The company was formerly known as Infosys Technologies Limited and changed its name to Infosys Limited in June 2011. Infosys Limited was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Bengaluru, India.

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