Four consecutive quarters of earnings beats averaging approximately 12% above consensus, a forward price-to-earnings multiple of 16.2x, and a risk/reward ratio of 2.3-to-1 make this an attractively valued government technology franchise; the primary near-term risk is momentum weakness alongside elevated options hedging demand, offset by the observation that the 200-day trend line remains intact and rising.
Thesis pillars
- Attractively Valued Material Upside→Stable
- Federal Concentration Spending Risk→Stable
- Consistent Earnings Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
CACI International, Inc. (CACI) Stock Analysis
Technology · Information Technology Services
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $670.54, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: federal government (95.7%); Concentration risk — Customer: DoD (75.4%).
CACI International provides expertise and technology to U.S. federal defense, intelligence, and civilian agencies, with Domestic Operations representing 97.0% of fiscal 2025 revenues. Revenue from federal government contracts accounted for 95.7% of total revenues in fiscal 2025,... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $670.54, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: federal government (95.7%); Concentration risk — Customer: DoD (75.4%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 67d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
About CACI International, Inc.
About CACI International, Inc.
CACI International generated 95.7% of fiscal 2025 revenue from federal government contracts, with the Department of Defense alone contributing 75.4%. Domestic Operations made up 97.0% of total revenue, while International Operations — run through CACI Limited and CACI BV in the U.K. — contributed just 3.0%. The top ten revenue-producing contracts accounted for 46.4% of revenue, or $4.0 billion, and CACI employed approximately 25,000 people as of June 30, 2025.
CACI earns revenue as a government IT and services contractor, billing under a mix of fixed-price, cost-reimbursement, time-and-materials, and indefinite-delivery/indefinite-quantity (IDIQ) contract vehicles, including General Services Administration schedule contracts. The company organizes its offerings around Expertise — staffing software development, intelligence analysis, naval architecture, and network exploitation talent — and Technology, spanning agile software, AI-augmented data platforms, electromagnetic-spectrum systems, and photonics, sold across six domestic market areas including C3I, Cyber, Digital Solutions, Enterprise IT, and Space. Most federal contracts include a base period plus option periods the government is not obligated to exercise, and nearly all can be terminated for convenience, limiting multi-year revenue visibility despite the top-ten-contract base representing 46.4% of revenue. CACI has completed seven acquisitions over the past three fiscal years, three of them in fiscal 2025, to expand its software-defined and specialized-technology offerings; its international commercial business serves large enterprises and government customers primarily in the U.K.
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CACI's revenue visibility is structurally limited by federal contracting mechanics rather than commercial demand: most federal contracts run a base period plus option periods that agencies are not obligated to exercise, nearly all permit termination for the government's convenience, and the U.S. fiscal year's September 30 close means agencies sometimes rush task orders before funds lapse — or freeze new obligations under a continuing resolution when Congress misses its budget deadline. CACI also discloses organizational-conflict-of-interest exposure specific to systems-integration work: designing a system can preclude the company from later competing to build or install that same system, a structural limit on wallet share within programs it helped architect.
See also: Technology · Information Technology Services
From CACI International, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted August 9, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-08-16Recent Developments — CACI International, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS CACI International (CACI) to Post Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS CACI International (NYSE:CACI) Updates FY 2026 Earnings Guidance - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS CACI International tops quarterly estimates, raises revenue outlook (CACI:NYSE) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha positive
- NEWS CACI International: Fiscal Q3 Earnings Snapshot - cbs19news.com — cbs19news.com neutral
- NEWS CACI International: Fiscal Q3 Earnings Snapshot - kare11.com — kare11.com neutral
Generated 2026-08-16T15:37:03Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerfederal government96%10-K Item 1A: 'revenues from federal government contracts, either as a prime contractor or a subcontractor, accounting for 95.7%...of our total revenues in fiscal 2025'
- HIGHCustomerDoD75%10-K Item 1A: 'we generated 75.4%...of our total revenues in fiscal 2025...from contracts with agencies of the DoD'
- HIGHGeographicDomestic Operations97%10-K Item 1: 'Domestic Operations represented 97.0%...of our total revenues for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2025'
- MEDIUMCustomertop ten revenue-producing contracts46%10-K Item 1: 'the top ten revenue-producing contracts...accounted for 46.4% of our revenues, or $4.0 billion'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-06-05Item 5.02MEDIUMDeEtte Gray, President U.S. Operations, notified CACI of intention to retire effective June 30, 2026. At Company's request, Gray agreed to remain as Strategic Advisor July 1–December 31, 2026 to support orderly transition. No successor named for the President role.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $670.54, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: federal government (95.7%); Concentration risk — Customer: DoD (75.4%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $771.12 (+15.0%), stop $623.60 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $771.12 (-6.9% upside). Target $771.12 (+15.0%), stop $623.60 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Stop-loss: $623.60.
Concentration risk — Customer: federal government (95.7%); Concentration risk — Customer: DoD (75.4%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
CACI International, Inc. trades at a P/E of 27.7 (forward 17.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Hold.
24 analysts cover CACI with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $717.
What does CACI International, Inc. do?CACI International provides expertise and technology to U.S. federal defense, intelligence, and civilian agencies, with...
CACI International provides expertise and technology to U.S. federal defense, intelligence, and civilian agencies, with Domestic Operations representing 97.0% of fiscal 2025 revenues. Revenue from federal government contracts accounted for 95.7% of total revenues in fiscal 2025, with the Department of Defense generating 75.4%; the company employs approximately 25,000 people.