Four consecutive quarters of earnings beats averaging approximately 12% above consensus, a forward price-to-earnings multiple of 16.2x, and a risk/reward ratio of 2.3-to-1 make this an attractively valued government technology franchise; the primary near-term risk is momentum weakness alongside elevated options hedging demand, offset by the observation that the 200-day trend line remains intact and rising.
Thesis pillars
- Attractively Valued Material Upside→Stable
- Federal Concentration Spending Risk↓Deteriorating
- Consistent Earnings Beat Streak↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
CACI International, Inc. (CACI) Stock Analysis
Technology · Information Technology Services
Sell if holding. At $604.01, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.0%; Concentration risk — Customer: DoD agencies (75.4%).
CACI International provides information solutions and services to U.S. defense, intelligence and federal civilian agencies, and generates substantially all revenue from federal government contracts. About 75% of fiscal 2025 revenue came from DoD agencies, and the top ten... Read more
Sell if holding. At $604.01, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.0%; Concentration risk — Customer: DoD agencies (75.4%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
About CACI International, Inc.
About CACI International, Inc.
CACI International generated 95.7% of fiscal 2025 revenue from federal government contracts, including 75.4% from Department of Defense agencies, with its top ten revenue-producing contracts contributing 46.4% of revenue, or $4.0 billion. Domestic Operations accounted for 97.0% of total revenue, with International Operations, run through CACI Limited and CACI BV in the U.K. and Europe, contributing the remaining 3.0%. CACI completed three acquisitions in fiscal 2025 to expand its software-defined offerings.
CACI earns revenue delivering Expertise (technical and functional talent in software development, intelligence analysis, naval architecture, and network exploitation) and Technology (agile software, AI-enabled data platforms, ERP systems, electromagnetic-spectrum and cyber capabilities) across six domestic market areas - C3I, Cyber, Digital Solutions, Enterprise IT, Mission and Engineering Support, and Space and Spectrum Superiority - primarily as a prime or subcontractor on U.S. government contracts. Contract types span fixed-price, cost-reimbursement, time-and-materials, and indefinite delivery/indefinite quantity (IDIQ) vehicles, including GSA schedule contracts, most won through competitive bidding and containing government-favorable terms such as termination for convenience and option periods the government can decline to exercise. International Operations, headquartered in London, sell IT consultancy and proprietary data and software products to U.K. and European commercial and government customers. CACI has completed seven acquisitions over the past three fiscal years to expand its capabilities and customer relationships.
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A risk distinct from CACI's revenue mix is exposure to the mechanics of federal appropriations rather than demand for its services: the 10-K notes that federal contracts are typically only partially funded at any point during multi-year performance periods, so unfunded backlog depends on future Congressional appropriations, and that when Congress fails to pass a budget or continuing resolution by the government's September 30 fiscal year-end, agencies can be forced to suspend contracts and delay new awards. Because CACI is not the sole provider on many of its IDIQ vehicles, the government can also direct work to competing contractors even within a contract CACI has already won, meaning the maximum contract value disclosed for an award is not a reliable predictor of the revenue CACI will actually realize.
See also: Technology · Information Technology Services
From CACI International, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted October 11, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-15Recent Developments — CACI International, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS CACI International (CACI) to Post Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS Is CACI International (CACI) Undervalued Following Its Rochester Manufacturing Expansion? - simplywall.st — simplywall.st positive
- NEWS CACI International (NYSE:CACI) Updates FY 2026 Earnings Guidance - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS CACI International tops quarterly estimates, raises revenue outlook (CACI:NYSE) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha positive
- NEWS CACI International: Fiscal Q3 Earnings Snapshot - cbs19news.com — cbs19news.com neutral
Generated 2026-10-15T11:32:13Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerDoD agencies75%10-K Item 1A: 'we generated 75.4% and 74.4% of our total revenues in fiscal 2025 and 2024, respectively, from contracts with agencies of the DoD'
- MEDIUMCustomertop ten revenue-producing contracts46%10-K Item 1A: 'top ten revenue-producing contracts, many of which consist of multiple task orders, accounted for 46.4% of our revenues'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-06-05Item 5.02MEDIUMDeEtte Gray notified the company on June 1, 2026 of her intention to retire as President, U.S. Operations effective June 30, 2026; she stays as Strategic Advisor through December 31, 2026 under a transition agreement. No successor named.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $604.01, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.0%; Concentration risk — Customer: DoD agencies (75.4%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $567.21. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $634.42 (+5.0% upside). Prior stop was $567.21. Stop-loss: $567.21.
Concentration risk — Customer: DoD agencies (75.4%); Thin upside margin: 5.0%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9).
CACI International, Inc. trades at a P/E of 25.0 (forward 16.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
24 analysts cover CACI with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $729.
What does CACI International, Inc. do?CACI International provides information solutions and services to U.S. defense, intelligence and federal civilian...
CACI International provides information solutions and services to U.S. defense, intelligence and federal civilian agencies, and generates substantially all revenue from federal government contracts. About 75% of fiscal 2025 revenue came from DoD agencies, and the top ten contracts were 46.4% of revenue.