CACI International, Inc. (CACI) Stock Analysis
Technology · Information Technology Services
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $514.52 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: federal government (95.7%); Concentration risk — Customer: DoD (75.4%).
CACI International provides expertise and technology services primarily to U.S. national security, defense, and intelligence agencies across C3I, cyber, digital solutions, and enterprise IT market areas. Federal government contracts accounted for 95.7% of revenues in fiscal... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $514.52 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: federal government (95.7%); Concentration risk — Customer: DoD (75.4%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 97d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerfederal government96%10-K Item 1A: 'revenues from federal government contracts, either as a prime contractor or a subcontractor, accounting for 95.7% and 95.1% of our total revenues in fiscal 2025 and 2024, respectively.'
- HIGHCustomerDoD75%10-K Item 1A: 'we generated 75.4% and 74.4% of our total revenues in fiscal 2025 and 2024, respectively, from contracts with agencies of the DoD.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $514.52 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: federal government (95.7%); Concentration risk — Customer: DoD (75.4%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $479.11. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $605.92 (+17.6% upside). Prior stop was $479.11. Stop-loss: $479.11.
Concentration risk — Customer: federal government (95.7%); Concentration risk — Customer: DoD (75.4%); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5.
CACI International, Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.8 (forward 16.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
23 analysts cover CACI with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $696.
What does CACI International, Inc. do?CACI International provides expertise and technology services primarily to U.S. national security, defense, and...
CACI International provides expertise and technology services primarily to U.S. national security, defense, and intelligence agencies across C3I, cyber, digital solutions, and enterprise IT market areas. Federal government contracts accounted for 95.7% of revenues in fiscal 2025, with 75.4% from DoD agencies.