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INDVIndivior Pharmaceuticals, Inc.Hold6.2·$39.13+2.38%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Indivior Pharmaceuticals has delivered four consecutive earnings beats with an average positive surprise exceeding 60%, trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 9.8x with a PEG of 0.12, and carries best-in-class peer-relative margins — a combination of execution and valuation that makes the risk/reward favorable at current levels, tempered by a cash-conversion gap and 13% short interest that warrant ongoing monitoring.

Thesis pillars

  • Best In Class Peer MarginsStable
  • Perfect Four Quarter Beat StreakStable
  • Attractive Valuation Low PegStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (INDV) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $39.13, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 6.8%; Negative momentum.

Indivior Pharmaceuticals markets two FDA-approved opioid use disorder treatments — SUBLOCADE (monthly buprenorphine injection, $856 million global net sales in 2025) and SUBOXONE Film ($346 million) — with 85% of net revenues generated in the U.S. SUBLOCADE accounted for 69% of... Read more

QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield1.92%
Stop $36.28Target $41.65(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$49.00+25.2%4 analysts
$41.65our TP
$39.13price
$49.00mean
$53

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $39.13, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 6.8%; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

About Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

SUBLOCADE, Indivior Pharmaceuticals' monthly injectable buprenorphine for opioid use disorder, generated $856 million in global net sales in 2025 — 69% of total net revenues, up from 64% in 2024. SUBOXONE Film contributed $346 million in global net sales. The U.S. accounted for 85% of net revenues in both 2025 and 2024. The FDA granted SUBLOCADE a label expansion on February 24, 2025, adding rapid initiation and alternative injection sites.

Indivior generates revenue through prescription sales of SUBLOCADE and SUBOXONE Film, with SUBLOCADE distributed through a closed specialty pharmacy network using a REMS protocol that prevents patients from taking direct possession of the drug. Over 88% of U.S. insured lives have SUBLOCADE coverage and more than 95% of patients enrolled in the co-pay program paid zero out of pocket in 2025. Revenues from SUBOXONE Film are declining: under a 2020 Department of Justice Resolution Agreement, the company may not employ a sales force to promote SUBOXONE Film in the U.S., and a separate opioid MDL settlement restricts marketing through 2032. The company completed its obligations under the Resolution Agreement, including $600 million in total payments, in November 2025. Outside the U.S., Indivior sells products in Canada, Australia, France, and Germany, having exited the U.K., Ireland, Sweden, Israel, Finland, and Italy in October 2025.

Show full overview

Indivior's manufacturing relies almost exclusively on third-party contract manufacturers for sterile fill and finished-dose production. The 10-K discloses that the company relies on either a single or dual source of supply for raw materials, product components, and APIs for most marketed products, including buprenorphine. Technology transfer to a new supplier averages 36 months per the filing and requires separate FDA approval of any new manufacturing site, meaning a supply disruption at a primary CMO could affect commercial availability for multiple years. Any delay could also violate contractual delivery obligations.

See also: Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

From Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202682d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 6.8%
Negative momentum
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.7
P/E (Fwd)7.8
Mkt Cap$4.5B
EV/EBITDA8.4
Profit Mgn26.7%
ROE
Rev Growth13.6%
Beta1.14
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.10bearish
IV73%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
2.4
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $35.76Resistance $41.65

Price Targets

$36
$42
A.Upside+6.8%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is INDV stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $39.13, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 6.8%; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $41.65 (+6.4%), stop $36.28 (−7.9%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the INDV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $41.65 (+6.8% upside). Target $41.65 (+6.4%), stop $36.28 (−7.9%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Stop-loss: $36.28.

What are the risks of investing in INDV?

Thin upside margin: 6.8%; Negative momentum; Elevated risk factors.

Is INDV overvalued or undervalued?

Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.7 (forward 7.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about INDV?

12 analysts cover INDV with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $49.

What does Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Inc. do?Indivior Pharmaceuticals markets two FDA-approved opioid use disorder treatments — SUBLOCADE (monthly buprenorphine...

Indivior Pharmaceuticals markets two FDA-approved opioid use disorder treatments — SUBLOCADE (monthly buprenorphine injection, $856 million global net sales in 2025) and SUBOXONE Film ($346 million) — with 85% of net revenues generated in the U.S. SUBLOCADE accounted for 69% of total net revenues in 2025, distributed through a closed specialty pharmacy network.

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