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IMAXImax CorporationHold6.2·$45.33+4.50%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Exceptional free cash flow conversion and strong analyst sentiment stand out in an otherwise challenged picture: two consecutive and sizable earnings misses, revenue contracting at roughly 6%, an 18% short float, and the stock trading just 30 basis points below its near-term resistance target leave almost no reward for the risk of a new position at the current price.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Free Cashflow ConversionImproving
  • Consecutive Large Earnings MissesStable
  • Revenue Contracting Six PercentImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Imax Corporation (IMAX) Stock Analysis

HoldGrowthQualityShortModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $45.33, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.1% away).

IMAX Corporation (the "Company" or "IMAX") is a Canadian corporation that was formed in March 1994 as a result of an amalgamation between WGIM Acquisition Corp. and the former IMAX Corporation ("Predecessor IMAX"). Predecessor IMAX was incorporated in 1967.

$45.33-3.6% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#4 of 35 Entertainment
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.59%
Entry $39.79(50-day MA)Stop $37.00Target $44.96(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$50.27+10.9%11 analysts
$44.96our TP
$45.33price
$50.27mean
$42
$60

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $45.33, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.1% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $45.36 has reached target $44.96. No upside to wait for. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 9/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.70, news boost analyst 0.60, news boost analyst cluster(3), earnings proximity 93d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-27
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 202693d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.77)
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.1% away)
Overbought (RSI 81)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)59.4
P/E (Fwd)20.7
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA18.8
Profit Mgn9.8%
ROE11.0%
Rev Growth12.2%
Beta0.37
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C32.00bearish
IV50%normal
Max Pain$47+3.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.6
52w Position
9.8
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.70NEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(3)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 93d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
81 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $36.90Resistance $45.88

Price Targets

$37
$40
$45
A.Upside-3.6%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.6% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (93d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IMAX stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $45.33, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.1% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $45.36 has reached target $44.96. No upside to wait for. Target $44.96 (-0.8%), stop $37.00 (−22.5%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IMAX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $44.96 (-3.6% upside). Target $44.96 (-0.8%), stop $37.00 (−22.5%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Stop-loss: $37.00.

What are the risks of investing in IMAX?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.1% away); Overbought (RSI 81).

Is IMAX overvalued or undervalued?

Imax Corporation trades at a P/E of 59.4 (forward 20.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about IMAX?

18 analysts cover IMAX with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $50.

What does Imax Corporation do?IMAX Corporation (the "Company" or "IMAX") is a Canadian corporation that was formed in March 1994 as a result of an...

IMAX Corporation (the "Company" or "IMAX") is a Canadian corporation that was formed in March 1994 as a result of an amalgamation between WGIM Acquisition Corp. and the former IMAX Corporation ("Predecessor IMAX"). Predecessor IMAX was incorporated in 1967.

Related stocks: CNK (Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark ) · SPHR (Sphere Entertainment Co.) · NWSA (News Corporation) · ANGX (Angel Studios, Inc.) · WMG (Warner Music Group Corp.)
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