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IFFInternational Flavors & FragranSell4.6·$84.18+0.14%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The company's technical setup has turned constructive — golden-cross formation, rising volume accumulation, RSI at 57, three beats in the last four quarters — yet revenue has been contracting approximately 4% year-over-year, the business lacks a competitive moat, and the reward-to-risk ratio is below 1-to-1 at current prices, making the setup unattractive for new buyers even as near-term price momentum improves.

Thesis pillars

  • Momentum Breakout Thin UpsideDeteriorating
  • Revenue Contraction Challenges RecoveryImproving
  • Exceptional Cash Conversion No MoatStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

International Flavors & Fragran (IFF) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $84.18: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.35; Below-average business quality.

International Flavors & Fragrances creates and manufactures flavors, food ingredients, enzymes, cultures, and fragrance compounds sold to food, beverage, personal care, and health product manufacturers worldwide. The company reported $10.890 billion in 2025 sales across four... Read more

$84.18+2.0% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#41 of 41 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-8.02%
IncomeYield1.91%(5y avg 2.77%)Payout49.54%sustainable
Stop $79.14Target $85.84(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$95.38+13.3%18 analysts
$85.84our TP
$84.18price
$95.38mean
$71
$105

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $84.18: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.35; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202681d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (2.0% upside)
Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)21.3
Mkt Cap$21.5B
EV/EBITDA14.2
Profit Mgn2.6%
ROE-5.5%
Rev Growth1.8%
Beta0.94
Dividend1.91%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C2.35bearish
IV47%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.9

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Net Margin
1.3
Roa
1.5
Gross Margin
3.3
Operating Margin
3.4
Moat
4.6
Current Ratio
7.2
Piotroski F
8.9
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -621% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
1.2
Earnings History
3.3
Dividend Safety
3.7
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.2
Quality Rank
2.3
Value Rank
4.3
GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
70 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $72.11Resistance $89.31

Price Targets

$79
$86
A.Upside+2.0%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.0% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 0.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IFF stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $84.18: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.35; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $79.14. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IFF stock price target?

Take-profit target: $85.84 (+2.0% upside). Prior stop was $79.14. Stop-loss: $79.14.

What are the risks of investing in IFF?

Target reached (2.0% upside); Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).

Is IFF overvalued or undervalued?

International Flavors & Fragran trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 21.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IFF?

24 analysts cover IFF with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $95.

What does International Flavors & Fragran do?International Flavors & Fragrances creates and manufactures flavors, food ingredients, enzymes, cultures, and fragrance...

International Flavors & Fragrances creates and manufactures flavors, food ingredients, enzymes, cultures, and fragrance compounds sold to food, beverage, personal care, and health product manufacturers worldwide. The company reported $10.890 billion in 2025 sales across four segments after divesting Pharma Solutions in May 2025, with 28% from the U.S. and no single customer exceeding 10% of sales; approximately 21,500 employees operate across 170 facilities in 30 countries.

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