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IFFInternational Flavors & FragranSell5.2·$75.94+2.94%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The company's technical setup has turned constructive — golden-cross formation, rising volume accumulation, RSI at 57, three beats in the last four quarters — yet revenue has been contracting approximately 4% year-over-year, the business lacks a competitive moat, and the reward-to-risk ratio is below 1-to-1 at current prices, making the setup unattractive for new buyers even as near-term price momentum improves.

Thesis pillars

  • Momentum Breakout Thin UpsideDeteriorating
  • Revenue Contraction Challenges RecoveryStable
  • Exceptional Cash Conversion No MoatStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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International Flavors & Fragran (IFF) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellValueModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Sell if holding. At $75.94, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.5%; Negative news sentiment (-0.67).

International Flavors & Fragrances creates and manufactures flavors, food ingredients, enzymes, cultures, and fragrance compounds sold to food, beverage, personal care, and health product manufacturers worldwide. The company reported $10.890 billion in 2025 sales across four... Read more

$75.94+8.5% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#32 of 41 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield19.10%
IncomeYield2.17%(5y avg 2.77%)Payout49.54%sustainable
Stop $71.02Target $82.39(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$91.54+20.5%18 analysts
$82.39our TP
$75.94price
$91.54mean
$71
$105

Sell if holding. At $75.94, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.5%; Negative news sentiment (-0.67). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202610d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive insider activity
Risks
Thin upside margin: 8.5%
Negative news sentiment (-0.67)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.8
P/E (Fwd)15.8
Mkt Cap$19.4B
EV/EBITDA13.5
Profit Mgn7.7%
ROE6.1%
Rev Growth-3.6%
Beta0.94
Dividend2.17%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.47bullish
IV47%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -3.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.6
Declining revenue: -4%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.5
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.2
Uptrend pullback (RSI 33) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 10d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
33 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $72.11Resistance $83.83

Price Targets

$71
$82
A.Upside+8.5%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (10d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IFF stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $75.94, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.5%; Negative news sentiment (-0.67). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $71.02. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IFF stock price target?

Take-profit target: $82.39 (+8.5% upside). Prior stop was $71.02. Stop-loss: $71.02.

What are the risks of investing in IFF?

Thin upside margin: 8.5%; Negative news sentiment (-0.67); Weak growth.

Is IFF overvalued or undervalued?

International Flavors & Fragran trades at a P/E of 22.8 (forward 15.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IFF?

24 analysts cover IFF with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $92.

What does International Flavors & Fragran do?International Flavors & Fragrances creates and manufactures flavors, food ingredients, enzymes, cultures, and fragrance...

International Flavors & Fragrances creates and manufactures flavors, food ingredients, enzymes, cultures, and fragrance compounds sold to food, beverage, personal care, and health product manufacturers worldwide. The company reported $10.890 billion in 2025 sales across four segments after divesting Pharma Solutions in May 2025, with 28% from the U.S. and no single customer exceeding 10% of sales; approximately 21,500 employees operate across 170 facilities in 30 countries.

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