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International Flavors & Fragran (IFF) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $69.91: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10 and A.R:R 2.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.35; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

International Flavors & Fragrances creates and manufactures flavors, fragrances, food ingredients, enzymes, and health ingredients for consumer goods manufacturers worldwide across Taste, Food Ingredients, Health & Biosciences, and Scent segments. Sales were $10.89 billion in... Read more

$69.91+13.8% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#33 of 36 Specialty Chemicals
Stop $66.29Target $79.57(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.5:1
Analyst target$88.41+26.5%17 analysts
$79.57our TP
$69.91price
$88.41mean
$100

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $69.91: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10 and A.R:R 2.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.35; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 4.0), Material insider selling (18 sells, 0.05% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)14.5
Mkt Cap$17.6B
EV/EBITDA12.8
Profit Mgn-3.3%
ROE-2.6%
Rev Growth-6.6%
Beta1.03
Dividend2.32%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C2.35bearish
IV56%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertop-25 largest customers32%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our 25 largest customers, a majority of which were multinational consumer products companies, collectively accounted for approximately 32% of our sales.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -6.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.9
Declining revenue: -7%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.5
Quality Rank
2.2
Value Rank
5.1

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
1.4
Operating Margin
1.9
Gross Margin
3.2
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
5.3
Piotroski F
6.7
No competitive moatQuality concerns
GatesMomentum 1.9<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dA.R:R 2.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $68.34Resistance $76.19

Price Targets

$66
$80
A.Upside+13.8%
A.R:R2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 4.0), Material insider selling (18 sells, 0.05% of cap)
! Momentum score 1.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IFF stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $69.91: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10 and A.R:R 2.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.35; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $66.29. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IFF stock price target?

Take-profit target: $79.57 (+13.8% upside). Prior stop was $66.29. Stop-loss: $66.29.

What are the risks of investing in IFF?

Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 4.0), Material insider selling (18 sells, 0.05% of cap).

Is IFF overvalued or undervalued?

International Flavors & Fragran trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 14.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IFF?

25 analysts cover IFF with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $88.

What does International Flavors & Fragran do?International Flavors & Fragrances creates and manufactures flavors, fragrances, food ingredients, enzymes, and health...

International Flavors & Fragrances creates and manufactures flavors, fragrances, food ingredients, enzymes, and health ingredients for consumer goods manufacturers worldwide across Taste, Food Ingredients, Health & Biosciences, and Scent segments. Sales were $10.89 billion in 2025; U.S. represents approximately 28% of sales, no single country exceeds 10%, and no single customer exceeds 10% of sales.

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