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HYMCHycroft Mining Holding CorporatSell4.5·$23.41-0.87%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

This gold miner burns cash with no competitive moat, has missed analyst estimates in three of the last four quarters, and carries 17% short interest that the market characterizes as justified by the fundamental profile; while a bullish technical setup and rising volume accumulation provide a near-term counterweight, the quality deficit is the dominant factor.

Thesis pillars

  • High Short Interest Elevated Implied VolStable
  • Cash Burning Below Quality FloorStable
  • Persistent Earnings Miss PatternStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Hycroft Mining Holding Corporat (HYMC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $23.41: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.79; Below-average business quality.

Hycroft Mining is a U.S.-based, pre-revenue gold and silver exploration company that owns the Hycroft Mine, its only mineral property, in Northern Nevada. Mining ceased in November 2021 and leach-pad processing concluded by the end of 2022; the company generated no revenue in... Read more

$23.41+22.7% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#36 of 41 Gold
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-1.68%
Stop $21.91Target $28.90(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $23.41: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.79; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 25d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Hycroft Mining Holding Corporat

About Hycroft Mining Holding Corporat

Hycroft Mining holds no producing assets today — mining ceased in November 2021 and leach-pad processing ended by December 2022 — but the company's February 2026 technical report (the 2026 Hycroft TRS) updated mineral resource estimates for its sole property, the Hycroft Mine in Northern Nevada, using gold at $3,100 per ounce and silver at $36.00 per ounce. The company held $181.7 million in unrestricted cash as of December 31, 2025, funding continued exploration and technical studies rather than production.

Hycroft has not established a long-term production or cost structure because it has not completed a feasibility study; the 2026 Hycroft TRS supports only an initial mineral-resource assessment, not proven reserves, using a milling and pressure-oxidation (POX) process for sulfide material and heap leaching for oxide and transition ore. Reclamation obligations are secured by $58.9 million of surface management surety bonds required by the State of Nevada and the U.S. Bureau of Land Management, with additional Crofoot leach-pad reclamation planned for 2027. For scale, the ten largest global gold producers account for roughly one-quarter of total mined gold production worldwide, underscoring how small a single-property, pre-production issuer like Hycroft is relative to the industry it hopes to compete in once mining resumes.

Show full overview

Hycroft's entire business rests on a single asset: the Hycroft Mine is the company's only mineral property, so any title dispute, permitting delay or downward revision to the mineral resource estimate would affect the whole enterprise rather than one segment among several. That concentration is currently working in the company's favor — gold hit an intraday high of $5,405 per ounce and silver $118.45 per ounce through early March 2026, roughly double the $2,632 gold low and $29.41 silver low recorded in 2025 — but the 10-K's own resource estimate is calculated at $3,100 gold and $36.00 silver, meaning a retreat back toward those baseline assumptions would cut directly against the only project the company has to develop.

See also: Basic Materials · Gold

From Hycroft Mining Holding Corporat's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 3, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202625d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Commodity: Hycroft Mine
Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-32.8
Mkt Cap$2.2B
EV/EBITDA-23.5
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-86.1%
Rev Growth
Beta2.72
DividendNone
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.79bearish
IV107%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCommodityHycroft Mine
    10-K Item 1A: 'The Hycroft Mine is currently our only mineral property.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-11Item 5.02LOW
    On June 8, 2026, Hycroft entered into an Employment Agreement with Eric B. Colby, EVP Corporate Development and Investor Relations, who joined the company in April 2026. Routine compensatory arrangement for an existing executive.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-11Item 5.02LOW
    On May 7, 2026, Hycroft's Board appointed CEO Diane R. Garrett as Executive Chairman and named former Chairman Thomas S. Weng as Lead Independent Director. Routine board reorganization; no departure.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-11Item 5.07LOW
    At Hycroft's May 7, 2026 annual meeting, stockholders elected all six director nominees (Garrett, Goodman, Harrison, Naccarati, Weng, and one other) and voted on routine matters including auditor ratification.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-16Item 5.02LOW
    On April 13, 2026, Hycroft appointed Eric Colby as EVP, Corporate Development, effective April 16, 2026. Routine new-hire appointment; no predecessor departure cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.8
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning (FCF negative)No competitive moatQuality concerns

Volatile — 8.2% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Beta
0.9
Put Call
1.4
Short Interest
1.6
Days To Cover
5.9
Debt Equity
9.9
High short interest justified: 19%Elevated put/call: 1.79High IV: 107%Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
GatesMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 25d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $20.91Resistance $29.49

Price Targets

$22
$29
A.Upside+23.5%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (25d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HYMC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $23.41: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.79; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $21.91. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HYMC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $28.90 (+22.7% upside). Prior stop was $21.91. Stop-loss: $21.91.

What are the risks of investing in HYMC?

Concentration risk — Commodity: Hycroft Mine; Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0).

Is HYMC overvalued or undervalued?

Hycroft Mining Holding Corporat trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -32.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HYMC?

6 analysts cover HYMC with a consensus score of 2.2/5.

What does Hycroft Mining Holding Corporat do?Hycroft Mining is a U.S.-based, pre-revenue gold and silver exploration company that owns the Hycroft Mine, its only...

Hycroft Mining is a U.S.-based, pre-revenue gold and silver exploration company that owns the Hycroft Mine, its only mineral property, in Northern Nevada. Mining ceased in November 2021 and leach-pad processing concluded by the end of 2022; the company generated no revenue in 2024 or 2025 and completed an updated mineral-resource technical report (the 2026 Hycroft TRS) in February 2026 while holding $181.7 million of unrestricted cash as of December 31, 2025.

Related stocks: ORLA (Orla Mining Ltd.) · IAG (Iamgold Corporation) · BTG (B2Gold Corp) · MAKO (Mako Mining Corp) · DRD (DRDGOLD Limited)
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