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Hycroft Mining Holding Corporat (HYMC) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $35.50: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (formerly known as Mudrick Capital Acquisition Corporation) was incorporated under the laws of the state of Delaware on August 28, 2017. In this 2025 Form 10-K, "we," "us," "our," "Company," "Hycroft," and "HYMC" refer to Hycroft Mining Holding... Read more

$35.50+30.3% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#29 of 32 Gold
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-1.14%
Stop $32.39Target $45.37(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $35.50: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Hycroft Mining Holding Corporat

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-48.4
Mkt Cap$3.2B
EV/EBITDA-35.8
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-86.1%
Rev Growth
Beta2.73
DividendNone
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.35bullish
IV98%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-16Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.** _Appointment of Executive Vice President, Corporate Development_ On April 13, 2026, Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (the "Company") appointed Eri...
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.8
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning (FCF negative)No competitive moatQuality concerns

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.7
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5INSIDER 0.83%=HEAVYA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $33.23Resistance $46.30

Price Targets

$32
$45
A.Upside+27.8%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 2.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Insider activity: 0.83%=heavy

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HYMC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $35.50: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $32.39. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HYMC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $45.37 (+30.3% upside). Prior stop was $32.39. Stop-loss: $32.39.

What are the risks of investing in HYMC?

Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0).

Is HYMC overvalued or undervalued?

Hycroft Mining Holding Corporat trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -48.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HYMC?

6 analysts cover HYMC with a consensus score of 2.2/5.

What does Hycroft Mining Holding Corporat do?Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (formerly known as Mudrick Capital Acquisition Corporation) was incorporated under...

Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (formerly known as Mudrick Capital Acquisition Corporation) was incorporated under the laws of the state of Delaware on August 28, 2017. In this 2025 Form 10-K, "we," "us," "our," "Company," "Hycroft," and "HYMC" refer to Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation and its subsidiaries. We are a U.S.-based gold and silver exploration stage issuer that owns the Hycroft Mine in the prolific mining region of Northern Nevada.

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