Hawkins trades near its analyst target at 29.4x forward earnings with declining revenue and an inconsistent earnings track record — the 1.3% upside to target and risk/reward of 0.21 to 1 do not compensate for the combination of a rich multiple and near-term execution uncertainty.
Thesis pillars
- Minimal Upside At Target↓Deteriorating
- Rich Valuation Weak Revenue↓Deteriorating
- Alternating Beat Miss Pattern→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Hawkins, Inc. (HWKN) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals
Sell if holding. At $129.33, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.
We are a leading water treatment and specialty ingredients company that formulates, manufactures, distributes, and blends products for our Water Treatment, Food and Health Sciences, and Industrial Solutions customers. We believe that we create value for our customers through... Read more
Sell if holding. At $129.33, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 47. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 54d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-04Recent Developments — Hawkins, Inc.
Material events (past 30 days)
- 8K Aug 14, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: HAWKINS, INC. | | Date: August 14, 2026 | | By: | | /s/ Daniel A. Louismet | | | | Daniel A. Louismet | | | | Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary
Latest news
- NEWS Hawkins (HWKN) Q1 Earnings Lag Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
- NEWS Hawkins (HWKN) Expected to Post Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Hawkins (HWKN) Q4 Earnings Miss Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
- NEWS HAWKINS ($HWKN) Releases Q4 2026 Earnings - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative negative
- NEWS Hawkins (HWKN) Projected to Post Quarterly Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
Generated 2026-09-04T12:07:08Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-08-14Item 5.02MEDIUMHAWKINS, INC. | | Date: August 14, 2026 | | By: | | /s/ Daniel A. Louismet | | | | Daniel A. Louismet | | | | Vice President, General Counsel and SecretarySEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -1.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $129.33, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 47. Prior stop was $120.81. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $148.11 (+14.5% upside). Prior stop was $120.81. Stop-loss: $120.81.
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Consecutive earnings misses (4).
Hawkins, Inc. trades at a P/E of 33.5 (forward 25.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
9 analysts cover HWKN with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $174.
What does Hawkins, Inc. do?We are a leading water treatment and specialty ingredients company that formulates, manufactures, distributes, and...
We are a leading water treatment and specialty ingredients company that formulates, manufactures, distributes, and blends products for our Water Treatment, Food and Health Sciences, and Industrial Solutions customers. We believe that we create value for our customers through superb service and support, quality products, personalized applications and trustworthy, creative employees.