Hawkins trades near its analyst target at 29.4x forward earnings with declining revenue and an inconsistent earnings track record — the 1.3% upside to target and risk/reward of 0.21 to 1 do not compensate for the combination of a rich multiple and near-term execution uncertainty.
Thesis pillars
- Minimal Upside At Target→Stable
- Rich Valuation Weak Revenue→Stable
- Alternating Beat Miss Pattern→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Hawkins, Inc. (HWKN) Stock Analysis
Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals
Sell if holding. At $131.05, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (4); Weak overall score: 4.9/10.
We are a leading water treatment and specialty ingredients company that formulates, manufactures, distributes, and blends products for our Water Treatment, Food and Health Sciences, and Industrial Solutions customers. We believe that we create value for our customers through... Read more
Sell if holding. At $131.05, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (4); Weak overall score: 4.9/10. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-08-15Recent Developments — Hawkins, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Hawkins (HWKN) Q1 Earnings Lag Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
- NEWS Hawkins (HWKN) Expected to Post Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Hawkins (HWKN) Q4 Earnings Miss Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
- NEWS HAWKINS ($HWKN) Releases Q4 2026 Earnings - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative negative
- NEWS Hawkins (HWKN) Projected to Post Quarterly Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
Generated 2026-08-15T09:37:16Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-19Item 5.02MEDIUMHAWKINS, INC. | | Date: May 19, 2026 | | By: | | /s/ Jeffrey P. Oldenkamp | | | | Jeffrey P. Oldenkamp | | | | Executive Vice President and Chief Financial OfficerSEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Revenue shrinking — -1.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $131.05, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (4); Weak overall score: 4.9/10. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $121.88. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $148.11 (+13.0% upside). Prior stop was $121.88. Stop-loss: $121.88.
Consecutive earnings misses (4); Weak overall score: 4.9/10; Weak growth.
Hawkins, Inc. trades at a P/E of 33.5 (forward 25.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
10 analysts cover HWKN with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $174.
What does Hawkins, Inc. do?We are a leading water treatment and specialty ingredients company that formulates, manufactures, distributes, and...
We are a leading water treatment and specialty ingredients company that formulates, manufactures, distributes, and blends products for our Water Treatment, Food and Health Sciences, and Industrial Solutions customers. We believe that we create value for our customers through superb service and support, quality products, personalized applications and trustworthy, creative employees.