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HWKNHawkins, Inc.Buy Wait5.1·$139.03-0.22%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Hawkins trades near its analyst target at 29.4x forward earnings with declining revenue and an inconsistent earnings track record — the 1.3% upside to target and risk/reward of 0.21 to 1 do not compensate for the combination of a rich multiple and near-term execution uncertainty.

Thesis pillars

  • Minimal Upside At TargetStable
  • Rich Valuation Weak RevenueStable
  • Alternating Beat Miss PatternStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Hawkins, Inc. (HWKN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitQualityShortModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Earnings in 3 days (2026-07-29). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $134.06. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $139.03. Engine's entry $134.06 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

We are a leading water treatment and specialty ingredients company that formulates, manufactures, distributes, and blends products for our Water Treatment, Food and Health Sciences, and Industrial Solutions customers. We believe that we create value for our customers through... Read more

$139.03+12.8% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#35 of 41 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.58%
IncomeYield0.55%(5y avg 0.95%)Payout19.18%sustainable
Entry $134.06(support + ATR)Stop $127.47Target $156.82(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst target$184.50+32.7%4 analysts
$156.82our TP
$139.03price
$184.50mean
$200

Wait for pullback to $134.06. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $139.03. Engine's entry $134.06 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-27

Recent Developments — Hawkins, Inc.

Generated 2026-07-27T14:03:01Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
No bear case signals

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)35.6
P/E (Fwd)25.8
Mkt Cap$2.9B
EV/EBITDA9.3
Profit Mgn7.5%
ROE16.4%
Rev Growth-1.6%
Beta0.78
Dividend0.55%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV63%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-19Item 5.02MEDIUM
    HAWKINS, INC. | | Date: May 19, 2026 | | By: | | /s/ Jeffrey P. Oldenkamp | | | | Jeffrey P. Oldenkamp | | | | Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Revenue shrinking — -1.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.1
Earnings Growth
3.6
Declining revenue: -2%
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 1.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $131.41Resistance $169.35

Price Targets

$127
$134
$157
A.Upside+12.8%
A.R:R1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:3d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HWKN stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $134.06. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $139.03. Engine's entry $134.06 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $156.82 (+12.8%), stop $127.47 (−9.1%), A.R:R 1.7:1. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HWKN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $156.82 (+12.8% upside). Target $156.82 (+12.8%), stop $127.47 (−9.1%), A.R:R 1.7:1. Stop-loss: $127.47.

Is HWKN overvalued or undervalued?

Hawkins, Inc. trades at a P/E of 35.6 (forward 25.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about HWKN?

10 analysts cover HWKN with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $185.

What does Hawkins, Inc. do?We are a leading water treatment and specialty ingredients company that formulates, manufactures, distributes, and...

We are a leading water treatment and specialty ingredients company that formulates, manufactures, distributes, and blends products for our Water Treatment, Food and Health Sciences, and Industrial Solutions customers. We believe that we create value for our customers through superb service and support, quality products, personalized applications and trustworthy, creative employees.

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