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Hawkins, Inc. (HWKN) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $168.69 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2).

We are a leading water treatment and specialty ingredients company that formulates, manufactures, distributes, and blends products for our Water Treatment, Industrial and Health and Nutrition customers. We believe that we create value for our customers through superb service and... Read more

$168.690.0% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#31 of 36 Specialty Chemicals
Stop $156.90Target $168.70(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$188.00+11.4%3 analysts
$168.70our TP
$168.69price
$188.00mean
$200

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $168.69 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 75. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Weak overall score: 4.5/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)41.7
P/E (Fwd)39.4
Mkt Cap$3.4B
EV/EBITDA11.0
Profit Mgn7.8%
ROE16.9%
Rev Growth-1.6%
Beta0.79
Dividend0.46%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.85neutral
IV64%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -1.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.1
Earnings Growth
3.6
Declining revenue: -2%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
2.8
Growth Rank
3.2
Quality Rank
6.9

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.3
Bollinger
1.7
52w Position
8.2
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 13d<=14d (soft)Momentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
75 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $144.90Resistance $172.14

Price Targets

$157
$169
A.Upside+0.0%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-13 (13d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HWKN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $168.69 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 75. Prior stop was $156.90. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HWKN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $168.70 (0.0% upside). Prior stop was $156.90. Stop-loss: $156.90.

What are the risks of investing in HWKN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak overall score: 4.5/10.

Is HWKN overvalued or undervalued?

Hawkins, Inc. trades at a P/E of 41.7 (forward 39.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HWKN?

9 analysts cover HWKN with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $188.

What does Hawkins, Inc. do?We are a leading water treatment and specialty ingredients company that formulates, manufactures, distributes, and...

We are a leading water treatment and specialty ingredients company that formulates, manufactures, distributes, and blends products for our Water Treatment, Industrial and Health and Nutrition customers. We believe that we create value for our customers through superb service and support, quality products, personalized applications and trustworthy, creative employees.

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