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Hawkins, Inc. (HWKN) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Sell if holding. At $155.67, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.4%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1).

We are a leading water treatment and specialty ingredients company that formulates, manufactures, distributes, and blends products for our Water Treatment, Industrial and Health and Nutrition customers. We believe that we create value for our customers through superb service and... Read more

$155.67+3.4% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#32 of 36 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.31%
IncomeYield0.49%(5y avg 0.97%)Payout19.18%sustainable
Stop $147.44Target $160.93(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$189.33+21.6%3 analysts
$160.93our TP
$155.67price
$189.33mean
$200

Sell if holding. At $155.67, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.4%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Hawkins, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Thin upside margin: 3.4%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1)
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)39.7
P/E (Fwd)28.9
Mkt Cap$3.2B
EV/EBITDA10.3
Profit Mgn7.5%
ROE16.4%
Rev Growth-1.6%
Beta0.80
Dividend0.49%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.14bullish
IV42%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.9
Value Rank
2.6
Quality Rank
6.5

Revenue shrinking — -1.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.1
Earnings Growth
3.6
Declining revenue: -2%

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.9
Ma Position
6.0
Rsi
8.0
Uptrend pullback (RSI 35) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
35 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $152.00Resistance $174.12

Price Targets

$147
$161
A.Upside+3.4%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HWKN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $155.67, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.4%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $147.44. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HWKN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $160.93 (+3.4% upside). Prior stop was $147.44. Stop-loss: $147.44.

What are the risks of investing in HWKN?

Thin upside margin: 3.4%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Is HWKN overvalued or undervalued?

Hawkins, Inc. trades at a P/E of 39.7 (forward 28.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HWKN?

9 analysts cover HWKN with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $189.

What does Hawkins, Inc. do?We are a leading water treatment and specialty ingredients company that formulates, manufactures, distributes, and...

We are a leading water treatment and specialty ingredients company that formulates, manufactures, distributes, and blends products for our Water Treatment, Industrial and Health and Nutrition customers. We believe that we create value for our customers through superb service and support, quality products, personalized applications and trustworthy, creative employees.

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