Hawkins trades near its analyst target at 29.4x forward earnings with declining revenue and an inconsistent earnings track record — the 1.3% upside to target and risk/reward of 0.21 to 1 do not compensate for the combination of a rich multiple and near-term execution uncertainty.
Thesis pillars
- Minimal Upside At Target→Stable
- Rich Valuation Weak Revenue→Stable
- Alternating Beat Miss Pattern↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed May 13, 2026· older than 90 days
Hawkins, Inc. (HWKN) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $152.00 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.
We are a leading water treatment and specialty ingredients company that formulates, manufactures, distributes, and blends products for our Water Treatment, Food and Health Sciences, and Industrial Solutions customers. We believe that we create value for our customers through... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $152.00 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 78. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated Oct 26, 2026Recent Developments — Hawkins, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Hawkins (NASDAQ:HWKN) Issues Quarterly Earnings Results - MarketBeat — MarketBeat Oct 26, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Hawkins Inc. Jumps 16% After Earnings Beat - StocksToTrade — StocksToTrade Oct 26, 2026 positive
- NEWS Hawkins (HWKN) Beats Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance Oct 26, 2026 positive
- NEWS Earnings Flash (HWKN) Hawkins Posts Fiscal Q2 Earnings of $1.34, vs. FactSet Est of $1.19 - marketscreener.com — marketscreener.com Oct 26, 2026 positive
- NEWS Hawkins raises quarterly dividend by 5.3% to $0.20/share - TradingView — TradingView Oct 26, 2026 positive
Latest item Oct 26, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-06T11:53:12Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-08-14Item 5.02MEDIUMHAWKINS, INC. | | Date: August 14, 2026 | | By: | | /s/ Daniel A. Louismet | | | | Daniel A. Louismet | | | | Vice President, General Counsel and SecretarySEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $152.00 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 78. Prior stop was $141.36. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target $150.24 reached (−1.2% from $152.00); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $141.36. Stop-loss: $141.36.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Consecutive earnings misses (3).
Hawkins, Inc. trades at a P/E of 36.9 (forward 32.2). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
9 analysts rate HWKN, with a consensus score of 4.0/5. 4 analysts publish price targets averaging $177.
What does Hawkins, Inc. do?We are a leading water treatment and specialty ingredients company that formulates, manufactures, distributes, and...
We are a leading water treatment and specialty ingredients company that formulates, manufactures, distributes, and blends products for our Water Treatment, Food and Health Sciences, and Industrial Solutions customers. We believe that we create value for our customers through superb service and support, quality products, personalized applications and trustworthy, creative employees.