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HRHealthcare Realty Trust IncorpoSell4.0·$20.59-0.51%
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Healthcare Realty Trust Incorpo (HR) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellHigh Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilities

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $20.59: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.25; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

Healthcare Realty Trust is a self-managed REIT owning 502 medical office and outpatient healthcare properties totaling ~$10.3 billion gross investment across the United States as of December 31, 2025. Revenue comes from rents paid by physician practices, health systems, and... Read more

$20.59-0.7% A.UpsideScore 4.0/10#12 of 13 REIT - Healthcare Facilities
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield1.99%
IncomeYield4.64%(5y avg 6.01%)Payout251.53%
Stop $19.77Target $20.47(resistance)A.R:R -2.0:1
Analyst target$20.82+1.1%11 analysts
$20.47our TP
$20.59price
$20.82mean
$18
$22

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $20.59: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.25; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 51, MACD bullish. Score 4.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and SEC filing concern. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-12.1% upside)
Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-517.5
Mkt Cap$7.3B
EV/EBITDA16.6
Profit Mgn-17.3%
ROE-4.2%
Rev Growth-6.5%
Beta0.83
Dividend4.64%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C3.25bearish
IV55%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWGeographicDallas, TX9.5%
    10-K Item 1A: 'the Company had investment concentrations of greater than 5% of its total investments in the Dallas, TX (9.5%), Seattle, WA (6.1%), Houston, TX (6.0%), and Charlotte, NC (5.4%) markets'
  • MEDIUMPropertymedical office/outpatient
    10-K Item 1: 'Healthcare Realty Trust Incorporated is a self-managed and self-administered real estate investment trust ("REIT") that owns, leases, manages, acquires, finances, develops and redevelops income-producing real estate properties associated primarily with the delivery of outpatient healthcare services'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-23Item 4.01HIGH
    Audit Committee elected to replace BDO USA, P.C. with Deloitte & Touche LLP as independent registered public accounting firm effective February 19, 2026. BDO reports contained no adverse opinions or qualifications; no disagreements with BDO cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -6.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.9
Declining revenue: -6%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.8
Growth Rank
0.8
Value Rank
5.4

Unprofitable operations — net margin -17.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
0.5
Current Ratio
1.3
Moat
4.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Operating Margin
4.6
Fcf Quality
5.5
Gross Margin
8.4
FCF-positive despite GAAP loss (FCF margin 12%, FCF yield 2.0%)No competitive moat

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
2.0
Analyst Target
3.0
Ps
6.0
P Ocf
6.8
P/OCF: 15.7x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)
GatesA.R:R -2.0=NEGATIVESEC critical: Momentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $19.34Resistance $20.89

Price Targets

$20
$20
A.Upside-0.6%
A.R:R-2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.1% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $20.59: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.25; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 51, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $19.77. Score 4.0/10, high confidence.

What is the HR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $20.47 (-0.7% upside). Prior stop was $19.77. Stop-loss: $19.77.

What are the risks of investing in HR?

Target reached (-12.1% upside); Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0).

Is HR overvalued or undervalued?

Healthcare Realty Trust Incorpo trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -517.5). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HR?

20 analysts cover HR with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $21.

What does Healthcare Realty Trust Incorpo do?Healthcare Realty Trust is a self-managed REIT owning 502 medical office and outpatient healthcare properties totaling...

Healthcare Realty Trust is a self-managed REIT owning 502 medical office and outpatient healthcare properties totaling ~$10.3 billion gross investment across the United States as of December 31, 2025. Revenue comes from rents paid by physician practices, health systems, and other healthcare tenants. No single tenant accounts for 10% or more of revenues; largest geographic concentrations are Dallas TX (9.5%) and Seattle WA (6.1%).

Related stocks: OHI (Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc) · SBRA (Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc.) · AHR (American Healthcare REIT, Inc.) · SILA (Sila Realty Trust, Inc.) · MPT (Medical Properties Trust, Inc.)
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