Skip to main content
HRHealthcare Realty Trust IncorpoSell4.6·$21.64+1.10%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A healthcare real estate trust trading above its near-term technical resistance with a quality profile below the minimum investment threshold — no competitive moat, declining revenue, an elevated put/call ratio of 3.25 signaling heavy institutional hedging, and a flagged dividend sustainability concern — presents an unfavorable risk/reward that argues for exiting or avoiding the position.

Thesis pillars

  • Price Above Target Negative GeometryStable
  • Quality Below Minimum FloorStable
  • Elevated Put Call Institutional HedgingDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Healthcare Realty Trust Incorpo (HR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilities

Earnings in 3 days (2026-07-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.64: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.25; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

Healthcare Realty Trust is a self-managed REIT owning 502 consolidated outpatient medical properties totaling $10.3 billion in gross investment near hospital campuses across the U.S. Revenue comes from multi-year leases to physicians, surgery centers, and health systems at 90.4%... Read more

$21.64-14.3% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#15 of 16 REIT - Healthcare Facilities
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield1.92%
IncomeYield4.49%(5y avg 6.01%)Payout251.53%
Stop $20.93Target $21.25(resistance)A.R:R -2.0:1
Analyst target$21.33-1.4%12 analysts
$21.25our TP
$21.64price
$21.33mean
$18
$24

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.64: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.25; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-27
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: medical office/outpatient
Target reached (-14.3% upside)
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)1070.0
Mkt Cap$7.5B
EV/EBITDA16.9
Profit Mgn-17.3%
ROE-4.2%
Rev Growth-6.5%
Beta0.82
Dividend4.49%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C2.25bearish
IV50%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHPropertymedical office/outpatient
    10-K Item 1: 'Medical office/outpatient 2| $| 9,306,615 | | 26,690 | | 481 | | 89.6 | %'
  • LOWGeographicDallas, TX
    10-K Item 1A: 'investment concentrations of greater than 5% of its total investments in the Dallas, TX (9.5%), Seattle, WA (6.1%), Houston, TX (6.0%), and Charlotte, NC (5.4%) markets'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.6
Quality Rank
1.3
Value Rank
4.4

Unprofitable operations — net margin -17.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
0.5
Current Ratio
1.2
Moat
4.0
Operating Margin
4.6
Fcf Quality
5.5
Piotroski F
5.6
Gross Margin
8.4
FCF-positive despite GAAP loss (FCF margin 12%, FCF yield 1.9%)No competitive moat

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.2
Bollinger
0.6
52w Position
10.0

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
1.8
Analyst Target
3.0
Ps
5.9
P Ocf
6.6
P/OCF: 16.2x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R -2.0=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
71 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $20.12Resistance $21.68

Price Targets

$21
$21
A.Upside-14.3%
A.R:R-2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.3% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.64: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.25; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $20.93. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $21.25 (-14.3% upside). Prior stop was $20.93. Stop-loss: $20.93.

What are the risks of investing in HR?

Concentration risk — Property Type: medical office/outpatient; Target reached (-14.3% upside); Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0).

Is HR overvalued or undervalued?

Healthcare Realty Trust Incorpo trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 1070.0). TrendMatrix value score: 3.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HR?

20 analysts cover HR with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $21.

What does Healthcare Realty Trust Incorpo do?Healthcare Realty Trust is a self-managed REIT owning 502 consolidated outpatient medical properties totaling $10.3...

Healthcare Realty Trust is a self-managed REIT owning 502 consolidated outpatient medical properties totaling $10.3 billion in gross investment near hospital campuses across the U.S. Revenue comes from multi-year leases to physicians, surgery centers, and health systems at 90.4% portfolio occupancy. No single tenant exceeded 10% of consolidated revenues in 2025.

Related stocks: OHI (Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc) · SBRA (Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc.) · AHR (American Healthcare REIT, Inc.) · MPT (Medical Properties Trust, Inc.) · VTR (Ventas, Inc.)
Home Stocks HR

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga18d agoAnalyst
Benzinga19d ago
Benzinga40d ago
Benzinga56d agoAnalyst
Benzinga73d ago
Benzinga74d agoAnalyst
Benzinga80d ago
Benzinga81d agoAnalyst
Benzinga84d agoAnalyst
Benzinga84d ago
Benzinga87d agoEarnings
Benzinga88d agoEarnings
Benzinga88d ago
Benzinga88d agoEarnings
Benzinga98d ago